Iowa State at Texas Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#8)

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -13 (55.5)
Texas Tech 41 - Iowa State: 38 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (33 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 23 MPH
TTU coming off BYE
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ ISU -4.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 32 - TTU: 27 (59)
ISU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ISU Travel: 735 miles

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-28.5	50.0	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Iowa State vs Iowa	-4.0	45.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/18	Iowa State at UNLV	-32.0	53.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa State at Baylor	-7.0	46.0	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Iowa State vs Kansas	-34.5	57.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Iowa State at Kansas State	-6.5	51.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-7.5	47.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/30	Iowa State at West Virginia	-7.5	49.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa State vs Texas	-6.0	59.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Iowa State at Texas Tech	-13.0	55.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+3.0	59.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa State vs TCU	-16.0	61.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas Tech vs Houston	+2.5	63.0	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas Tech vs Stephen F. Austin	-31.5	51.5	W 28 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas Tech vs Florida International	-20.5	54.0	W 54 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas Tech at Texas	+9.0	63.0	L 35 - 70	O	N
Sat 10/2	Texas Tech at West Virginia	+7.5	55.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas Tech vs TCU	+2.5	60.0	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas Tech at Kansas	-18.5	67.5	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	+1.0	60.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Texas Tech at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Texas Tech vs Iowa State	+13.0	55.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State	+10.0	55.0	L 0 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/27	Texas Tech at Baylor	+14.0	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Texas Tech vs Mississippi State	+10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.24	44%	31.3	40%	2.97	161	47%	264	4.1	.18	41%	20.5	41%	40%	3.74	38.6	1.1	1.4
TTU	.29	47%	30.3	48%	3.23	159	47%	257	4.49	.28	44%	30.2	42%	46%	4.6	44.6	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
TTU	#33 (.25)	44% (50)		45% (49)	3.17 (45)	150	43% (51)	275	4.73 (7)	#104 (.23)	44% (93)		44% (76)	44% (101)	3.97 (83)	59.4	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	31.3	33.3	43.8%	4.1	1.1	22	425	161	264	5.1	44%	56%	40%	47%	15%	.24
TTU Defense	13	30.2	30.2	44.4%	4.6	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	46%	17%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	20.5	26.8	40.7%	3.74	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	19%	.18
TTU Offense	13	30.3	29.7	47%	4.49	1.5	20	416	159	257	4.7	51%	49%	48%	47%	18%	.29

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	30:54	21.5	36%	65%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	6.5	2.5	1	28
Texas Tech	13	27:58	19.5	43%	48%	5.2	44.6	1.5	1.2	4.7	1.5	2	27.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.6	160.7	5.1	25	.13	2.97	63%	10%	1.11
TTU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.96	66%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	69%	14%	0.98
TTU Offense	13	51%	48%	33.5	159.1	4.7	30	.22	3.23	90%	11%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	56%	47%	24.1	34.3	263.8	7.7	11	22	9	.34	1.4	31%	29%	.29	5%	2
TTU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.7	30%	35%	.48	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.6	30%	31%	.48	6%	2.3
TTU Offense	13	49%	47%	18.8	29.8	257.2	8.6	13.7	18	11	.4	1.6	27%	33%	.37	7%	2

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: Texas Tech: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3 Texas Tech: 9.8

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 32
Texas Tech 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 34
Texas Tech 27

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 31
Texas Tech 27

Total Points: 58

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

Texas Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Iowa State	22	Texas Tech	23	Iowa State -13.5	Texas Tech	55.0	Under
2022	11/19	Iowa State	10	Texas Tech	14	Iowa State -3.5	Texas Tech	47.5	Under
2021	11/13	Texas Tech	41	Iowa State	38	Iowa State -13	Texas Tech	55.5	Over
2020	10/10	Iowa State	31	Texas Tech	15	Iowa State -10.5	Iowa State	63.0	Under
2019	10/19	Texas Tech	24	Iowa State	34	Iowa State -10	NA	58.0	Push
2018	10/27	Iowa State	40	Texas Tech	31	Iowa State -5.5	Iowa State	57.5	Over
2017	10/21	Texas Tech	13	Iowa State	31	Texas Tech -7	Iowa State	67.0	Under
2016	11/19	Iowa State	66	Texas Tech	10	Texas Tech -3	Iowa State	74.5	Over
2015	10/10	Texas Tech	66	Iowa State	31	Texas Tech -11.5	Texas Tech	72.0	Over
2014	11/22	Iowa State	31	Texas Tech	34	Iowa State -1.5	Texas Tech	0
2013	10/12	Texas Tech	42	Iowa State	35	Texas Tech -16.5	Iowa State	0
2012	09/29	Iowa State	13	Texas Tech	24
2011	10/29	Texas Tech	7	Iowa State	41
2010	10/02	Iowa State	52	Texas Tech	38
2007	10/06	Texas Tech	42	Iowa State	17
2006	10/21	Iowa State	26	Texas Tech	42
2003	10/11	Texas Tech	52	Iowa State	21
2002	10/12	Iowa State	31	Texas Tech	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	10	5	4 Overs
Iowa State	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	5 - 5	3 - 5	2 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 10	5 - 5	0 - 2	5 - 3

(#) ISU at (#) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	TTU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#40
Perf GradeGrade	#35	#74
OffenseOff	#53	#56
DefenseDef	#24	#91
Spec TeamsST	#57	#86
TalentTal	#55	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa State Injury Report

Texas Tech Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TTU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#91
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#60	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#48	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#58	#118
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#30	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#62	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72° - Wind: 23 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Iowa State 13.0 (55.5)
Texas Tech won vs Iowa State this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Iowa State last year (23-22)
Texas Tech beat Iowa State in 2022 (14-10)

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TTU's OC Sonny Cumbie (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Keith Patterson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD