Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#4)

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -54.5 (63.5) (0) Open: -52.5 | 62.5
Texas Tech 67 - Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 7

Golden Lions (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 67 (7 - 67 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Our Line: Texas Tech -30.5 (SP+ TTU -30)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 100%

Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
UAPB Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Texas Tech	+54.5	63.5	L 7 - 67	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-54.5	63.5	W 67 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Texas Tech vs Kent State	-48.5	60.0	W 62 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/13	Texas Tech vs Oregon State	-24.5	61.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Texas Tech at Utah	+3.5	58.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Texas Tech at Houston	-13.5	51.5	W 35 - 11	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Texas Tech vs Kansas	-13.5	58.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Texas Tech at Arizona State	-7.5	52.5	L 22 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/25	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State	-37.5	56.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Texas Tech at Kansas State	-7.5	51.5	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Texas Tech vs BYU	-13.5	50.5	W 29 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Texas Tech vs UCF	-24.5	48.5	W 48 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-24.5	53.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/6	Texas Tech vs BYU	-12.5	50.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Thu 1/1	Texas Tech vs Oregon	-1.5	50.5	L 0 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAPB		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	67	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU	#22 (.27)	44% (49)	39.4	44% (59)	2.9 (77)	178	45% (38)	268	4.15 (34)	#1 (-.09)	30% (1)	11.3	31% (3)	30% (2)	2.48 (5)	53.1	1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAPB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU	#33 (.25)	44% (50)		45% (49)	3.17 (45)	150	43% (51)	275	4.73 (7)	#104 (.23)	44% (93)		44% (76)	44% (101)	3.97 (83)	59.4	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAPB Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TTU Defense	14	11.3	8.7	30.1%	2.48	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	31%	30%	24%	-.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAPB Defense	1	67	67	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TTU Offense	14	39.4	47.9	44.2%	4.15	1	22	446	178	268	4.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Texas Tech	14	28:35	22	50%	58%	6.4	53.1	1	2.2	6.9	2.8	2	37

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAPB Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TTU Defense	14	41% (1)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.12 (1)	2.01 (1)	62% (11)	15% (4)	0.88 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAPB Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TTU Offense	14	47% (93)	44% (59)	37	178.4	4.8	30 (26)	.19 (35)	2.9 (77)	82% (6)	9% (45)	1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAPB Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TTU Defense	14	57% (135)	30% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (22)	-.02 (3)	1.4 (9)	40% (1)	21% (2)	.06 (4)	9% (8)	1.8 (16)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAPB Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TTU Offense	14	52% (40)	45% (38)	21.4	32.4	267.9	8.3	12.5	33 (5)	8 (88)	.38 (29)	1.6 (38)	33% (94)	33% (33)	.42 (29)	6% (78)	2.2 (24)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Ratings
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Expected Record: -
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: Texas Tech: 30.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: Texas Tech: 29.9

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 30.575 #9
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.67 #36
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.9 #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.8 #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 67 PPG
Defense on Road: 67

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 47
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 17

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 46
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 17

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 55
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 8

Total Points: 63

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Texas Tech	67	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	7	Texas Tech -54.5	Texas Tech	63.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	1	1	1 Overs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) UAPB at (#9) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAPB	TTU
Power RatePwr	NR	#9
SP+SP+	NR	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#3
OffenseOff	NR	#12
DefenseDef	NR	#1
Spec TeamsST	NR	#3
TalentTal	NR	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#26

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Injury Report

Texas Tech Notes(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report

Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Offense


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TTU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	#1
ExplosiveExp	NR	#14
PPAPPA	NR	#1
PowerPwr	NR	#3
SP+SP+	NR	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	#5
HavocHav	NR	#2

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Run Game


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#3
Run ExplRExp	NR	#27
PPAExp	NR	#1
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#1
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#11
TackleTak	-	#2

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#2
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#9
PPAExp	NR	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	#4
DB HavocDB	NR	#8

Texas Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	UAPB Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	NR
SuccessSuc	#49	NR
ExplosiveExp	#18	NR
PPAPPA	#22	NR
PowerPwr	#36	NR
SP+SP+	#2	NR
Pts POPPO	#34	NR
HavocHav	#58	NR

Texas Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	UAPB Def
Run GameRun	#13	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	NR
Run ExplRExp	#31	NR
PPAExp	#35	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#77	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#53	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	UAPB Def
Pass GamePass	#24	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#38	NR
PPAExp	#29	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#22	NR
F7 HavocF7	#45	NR
DB HavocDB	#78	NR

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UAPB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 78° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Texas Tech -54.5 (63.5)
Texas Tech won vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff this year (67-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UAPB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Peters	162	289	56%	1924	12	9	6.7
Garrison Davis	13	20	65%	86	0	0	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Jennings	177	839	10	4.7	56
Christian Peters	75	249	2	3.3	22
Bryant Sanchez	29	151	0	5.2	19
Dae'Trell Cooper	26	116	0	4.5	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kareem Burke	34	480	2	14.1	53
D'Avery Robinson	44	457	2	10.4	41
Ellis Stewart	27	320	6	11.9	32
Jordan Jackson	17	247	0	14.5	47

View Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Full Roster

UAPB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Azayvonne Stribling	6	1
Kyle Knox	5	0
Na'il Johnson	5	0
Ja'Marlin Green	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL
Azayvonne Stribling	6	1
Kaun Green	2	0
Kaylon Bradley	1	0
Isaiah Jones	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL
Azayvonne Stribling	6	1
Kaun Green	2	0
Kaylon Bradley	1	0

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Behren Morton	201	301	67%	2643	22	4	8.8
Will Hammond	68	108	63%	668	7	3	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Dickey	200	1109	14	5.5	71
J'Koby Williams	141	785	6	5.6	43
Will Hammond	43	299	5	7.0	64
Adam Hill	45	240	0	5.3	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Douglas	53	830	7	15.7	61
Reginald Virgil	55	676	6	12.3	42
Coy Eakin	48	642	6	13.4	42
Terrance Carter (Tr)	46	552	5	12.0	50

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	111	10	1	1	6
Ben Roberts	72	3	0	3	5
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)	69	5	1	0	6
John Curry	68	4	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey (Tr)	42	18	14	10	1
Romello Height (Tr)	32	10	9	13	1
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)	37	10	5	7	4
Lee Hunter (Tr)	35	9	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Rodriguez	111	10	1	1	6
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)	69	5	1	0	6
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	23	1	0	0	5