Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas-Pine Bluff logo   Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -54.5 (63.5) (0)  Open: -52.5 | 62.5
Texas Tech 67 - Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 7

 
Golden Lions (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 67 (7 - 67 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Texas Tech -26  (SP+ TTU -28)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 100%
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Texas Tech+54.563.5L 7 - 67ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAPB0%70%000%000%670%0%0000
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)39.445% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)11.344% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAPB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAPB Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TTU Defense1311.38.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAPB Defense167670%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TTU Offense1339.447.944.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas-Pine Bluff10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAPB Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAPB Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAPB Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAPB Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Ratings
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Expected Record: -
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff:    Texas Tech: 26.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff:    Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.095  #10
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 17.67  #39
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -1.92  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas-Pine Bluff Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 67 PPG
Defense on Road: 67

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 45
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 19


Projected Total Points: 63
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Texas Tech67Arkansas-Pine Bluff7Texas Tech -54.5Texas Tech63.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech111 Overs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UAPB at (#10) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUAPBTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #10
SP+SP+NR #3
Perf GradeGradeNR #3
OffenseOffNR #22
DefenseDefNR #1
Spec TeamsSTNR #6
TalentTalNR #28
Blue ChipsBC%NR #26
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Offense
CategoryCat
UAPB OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #1
SuccessSucNR #93
ExplosiveExpNR #120
PPAPPANR #104
PowerPwrNR #3
SP+SP+NR #3
Pts POPPONR #83
HavocHavNR #123
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Run Game
CategoryCat
UAPB OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNR #1
Run SuccessRSucNR #76
Run ExplRExpNR #111
PPAExpNR #69
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #30
Stuff RateStuffNR #35
TackleTak -  #1
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pass Game
CategoryCat
UAPB OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNR #1
Pass SuccessPSucNR #101
Pass ExplPExlNR #106
PPAExpNR #108
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #2
F7 HavocF7NR #108
DB HavocDBNR #124
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffUAPB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22NR
SuccessSuc #50NR
ExplosiveExp #40NR
PPAPPA #33NR
PowerPwr #39NR
SP+SP+ #7NR
Pts POPPO #7NR
HavocHav #36NR
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffUAPB Def
Run GameRun #22NR
Run SuccessRSuc #49NR
Run ExplRExp #42NR
PPAExp #46NR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #45NR
Stuff RateStuff #51NR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffUAPB Def
Pass GamePass #37NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51NR
Pass ExplPExl #77NR
PPAExp #44NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23NR
F7 HavocF7 #38NR
DB HavocDB #66NR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UAPB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Texas Tech -54.5 (63.5)
Texas Tech won vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff this year (67-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff last year (67-7)

  
UAPB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Peters16228956%19241296.7
Garrison Davis132065%86004.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Jennings177839104.756
Christian Peters7524923.322
Bryant Sanchez2915105.219
Dae'Trell Cooper2611604.525
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kareem Burke34480214.153
D'Avery Robinson44457210.441
Ellis Stewart27320611.932
Jordan Jackson17247014.547

View Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Full Roster

UAPB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Azayvonne Stribling61000
Kyle Knox50000
Na'il Johnson50000
Ja'Marlin Green40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Azayvonne Stribling61000
Kaun Green20000
Vaughn Highland10000
Kam Robinson10010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Azayvonne Stribling61000
Kaun Green20000
Vaughn Highland10000

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton21933366%27802268.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil57705612.442
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Ben Roberts884035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
John Curry734124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)512015103
Romello Height (Tr)371110131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)4010574
Lee Hunter (Tr)4211330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
Brice Pollock (Tr)474015