Oregon State at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#21)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5) (-2400)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 45 - Oregon State: 7

 
Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Gunderson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
TTU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -39.5  (SP+ TTU -45)

Projected Score: ORST: 10 - TTU: 49 (59)
TTU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ORST Travel: 1369 miles, 2 hrs behind
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+33.558.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 9/26 Oregon State vs Houston+11.548.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State+1.553.5L 23 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+1.547.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-21.056.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State+3.547.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-21.052.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa+1.550.5L 14 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State+14.042.5L 8 - 32UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#123 (.05)42% (67)17.644% (67)2.82 (90)12742% (70)2252.89 (128)#76 (.18)38% (27)29.441% (52)36% (19)3.41 (49)49.91.70.8
TTU#22 (.27)44% (49)39.444% (59)2.9 (77)17845% (38)2684.15 (34)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.331% (3)30% (2)2.48 (5)53.112.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1217.611.842.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05
TTU Defense1411.38.730.1%2.482.2 - - - - - 41%57%31%30%24%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.435.238.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
TTU Offense1439.447.944.2%4.151224461782684.847%52%44%45%15%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
Texas Tech1428:352250%58%6.453.112.26.92.8237
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1246% (98)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (90)77% (31)9% (60)0.73 (135)
TTU Defense1441% (1)31% (3) - - - - -.12 (1)2.01 (1)62% (11)15% (4)0.88 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1249% (57)41% (52) - - - - .07 (54)2.6 (17)68% (44)10% (57)0.94 (57)
TTU Offense1447% (93)44% (59)37178.44.830 (26).19 (35)2.9 (77)82% (6)9% (45)1.07 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1252% (35)42% (70)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (71)28% (93).05 (132)7% (110)1.7 (134)
TTU Defense1457% (135)30% (2) - - - - - - 16 (22)-.02 (3)1.4 (9)40% (1)21% (2).06 (4)9% (8)1.8 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1249% (81)36% (19) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (98)2 (136)33% (41)29% (69).44 (126)7% (17)2.5 (136)
TTU Offense1452% (40)45% (38)21.432.4267.98.312.533 (5)8 (88).38 (29)1.6 (38)33% (94)33% (33).42 (29)6% (78)2.2 (24)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -3.18  #83
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 1.36  #120
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 4.54  #42
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #121
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #126
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #93

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -3.18   Texas Tech: 30.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.8   Texas Tech: 29.9




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 30.575  #9
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.67  #36
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.9  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 49
Oregon State 10


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 44
Oregon State 18

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 38
Oregon State 13

Total Points: 51
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas Tech45Oregon State7Texas Tech -24.5Texas Tech61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech110 Overs
Oregon State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#83) ORST at (#9) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTTTU
Power RatePwr #83 #9
SP+SP+ #121 #3
Perf GradeGrade #113 #3
OffenseOff #103 #12
DefenseDef #93 #1
Spec TeamsST #136 #3
TalentTal #61 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #26
Oregon State Notes
(11/28) Hired Bama Co-OC JaMarcus Shepard as HC
(11/10) Interim HC Robb Akey fired? That's new
(11/10) OC Ryan Gunderson now interim HC
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
Oregon State Injury Report
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #103 #1
SuccessSuc #67 #1
ExplosiveExp #135 #14
PPAPPA #123 #1
PowerPwr #120 #3
SP+SP+ #126 #4
Pts POPPO #128 #5
HavocHav #90 #2
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #118 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #3
Run ExplRExp #135 #27
PPAExp #120 #1
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #90 #1
Stuff RateStuff #24 #11
TackleTak -  #2
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #106 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #2
Pass ExplPExl #133 #9
PPAExp #123 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #2
F7 HavocF7 #60 #4
DB HavocDB #110 #8
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffORST Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #93
SuccessSuc #49 #27
ExplosiveExp #18 #133
PPAPPA #22 #76
PowerPwr #36 #42
SP+SP+ #2 #93
Pts POPPO #34 #49
HavocHav #58 #40
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffORST Def
Run GameRun #13 #90
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #52
Run ExplRExp #31 #57
PPAExp #35 #54
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #17
Stuff RateStuff #53 #21
TackleTak -  #126
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #24 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #19
Pass ExplPExl #38 #136
PPAExp #29 #98
Pass Block/RushP Blk #22 #64
F7 HavocF7 #45 #57
DB HavocDB #78 #17
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5)
Texas Tech won vs Oregon State this year (45-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)16027658%1802986.5
Gabarri Johnson6210062%501235.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson247108894.465
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
Gabarri Johnson3411913.552
Salahadin Allah197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker68823212.143
David Wells Jr.44466410.656
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Bryce Caufield2921917.630

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas780024
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaheim Patterson671014
Dexter Foster523041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jojo Johnson187380
Jacob Schuster142202
Takari Hickle385250
Shamar Meikle286240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Glasper232005
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Jalil Tucker251015

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton20130167%26432248.8
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2001109145.571
J'Koby Williams14178565.643
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil55676612.342
Coy Eakin48642613.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)46552512.050

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Ben Roberts723035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
John Curry684124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)421814101
Romello Height (Tr)32109131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)3710574
Lee Hunter (Tr)359330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
Dontae Balfour (Tr)231005