Oregon State at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#21)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5) (-2400)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 45 - Oregon State: 7

 
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
TTU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -29.5   (SP+ TTU -30)

Projected Score: ORST: 16 - TTU: 45 (61)
TTU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ORST Travel: 1369 miles, 2 hrs behind
Red Raiders (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 58 - 9 (58 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon State vs Houston+5.5
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State-4.5
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State-7.5
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-18.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State-2.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-16
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-16
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-6
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-14.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-14

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#55 (.24)48% (40)16.344% (68)2.25 (123)7650% (32)2964.23 (55)#89 (.18)37% (54)38.334% (34)41% (73)4 (89)37.721
TTU#6 (.51)60% (6)5867% (1)3.73 (14)20755% (17)3605.42 (15)#1 (-.43)15% (1)9.34% (1)22% (3)2.8 (44)66.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense316.3747.9%4.23222372762962.842%57%44%50%18%.24
TTU Defense39.39.314.5%2.81.7 - - - - - 42%58%4%22%21%-.43
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense338.34536.9%41 - - - - - 55%44%34%41%16%.18
TTU Offense3585859.7%5.421295672073605.843%57%67%55%7%.51

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State332:5821.745%60%5.737.7215.70.3029.7
Texas Tech329:432956%50%866.711.75.72.7138.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense342% (115)44% (68)27.3762.82 (109)-.02 (111)2.25 (123)90% (14)10% (86)0.68 (127)
TTU Defense342% (17)4% (1) - - - - -.43 (1)0.53 (2)0% (2)14% (25)1.61 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense355% (104)34% (34) - - - - .02 (54)2.17 (18)67% (53)9% (85)1.14 (102)
TTU Offense343% (109)67% (1)36207.35.88 (26).37 (18)3.73 (14)71% (67)6% (16)0.78 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense357% (26)50% (32)25.742295.7711.55 (54)5 (129).39 (47)1.4 (102)31% (72)33% (54).23 (94)8% (121)1.7 (112)
TTU Defense358% (123)22% (3) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.43 (1)1.2 (11)51% (1)11% (3)-.33 (2)7% (48)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense344% (31)41% (73) - - - - - - 3 (28).38 (114)1.9 (121)29% (111)28% (65).55 (119)7% (41)2.9 (134)
TTU Offense357% (24)55% (17)2636.73609.813.914 (1)2 (60).62 (14)1.5 (81)22% (11)47% (8).87 (5)1% (3)2.2 (34)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 4.95   Texas Tech: 26.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5   Texas Tech: 19.4




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.54 #14
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 45
Oregon State 16


Total Points: 61

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 58 PPG
Offense at Home: 58
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas Tech45Oregon State7Texas TechTexas Tech -24.5Texas Tech61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech110 Overs
Oregon State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Oregon State has lost 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.

Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTTUORST
OverallOver#1#79
OffenseOff#7#68
DefenseDef#1#86
Special TeamsST#20#113
PassingPass#17#51
RushingRush#7#94
Run BlockRBLK#49#68
Pass BlockPBLK#13#70
Route RunningWR Rt#3#41
TacklingTkl#2#108
Run DefenseR Def#1#79
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#103
Coverage DefCov#9#89

Rematch from Week 3
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5)
Texas Tech won vs Oregon State this year (45-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | TTU
Depth Chart: ORST | TTU
Rosters: ORST | TTU
(#14) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 26.54 #14
Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Great Run Success 67%
Great Pass Success 55%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 15%
Good in Scoring Position 2.8 PPO
Great Run Def Success 4%
Great Pass Def Success 22%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas Tech has won 2 straight
Texas Tech has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Tech Notes
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech in Undefeated
Texas Tech is Undefeated at Home

Texas Tech has Really Good Running Game (#30)
Texas Tech offense is efficent (#6)
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech has a really good defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good run defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good pass defense (#3)
Texas Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#25)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)


  
Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)7612461%893657.2
Gabarri Johnson2450%2000.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson5119013.726
Salahadin Allah83604.516
Gabarri Johnson51503.07
Cornell Hatcher Jr.110010.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker23302013.131
Tastean Reddicks15213014.237
David Wells Jr.10151115.156
Bryce Caufield126715.610

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dexter Foster253010
Skyler Thomas230003
Jaheim Patterson170001
Sailasa Vadrawale141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tahjae Mullix (Tr)43100
Thomas Collins52121
Shamar Meikle62120
Dexter Foster253010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas230003
Jalil Tucker60002
Trey Glasper60002

Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton578170%92311111.4
Will Hammond172471%188217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Hill2420708.636
Cameron Dickey3817744.720
J'Koby Williams2815825.620
Will Hammond7108215.464
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coy Eakin12245320.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)10194319.450
J'Koby Williams11150113.639
Caleb Douglas6142123.761

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Curry151011
Jacob Rodriguez141011
Ben Roberts130022
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)53350
Romello Height (Tr)73370
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton21002
Ben Roberts130022
John Curry151011