Oregon State at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
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Oregon State Beavers at Texas Tech Red Raiders

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Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5) (-2400)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 45 - Oregon State: 7

 
Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
TTU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -31  (SP+ TTU -44)

Projected Score: ORST: 13 - TTU: 44 (56)
TTU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ORST Travel: 1369 miles, 2 hrs behind
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30Oregon State vs California-3.0L15–3451.5L15–34UN
Sat 9/6Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.0L27–3645.5L27–36ON
Sat 9/13Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.5L7–4561.5L7–45UN
Sat 9/20Oregon State at Oregon+33.5L7–4158.5L7–41UN
Fri 9/26Oregon State vs Houston+11.5L24–2748.5L24–27OY
Sat 10/4Oregon State at App State+1.5L23–2753.5L23–27UN
Sat 10/11Oregon State vs Wake Forest+1.5L14–3947.5L14–39ON
Sat 10/18Oregon State vs Lafayette-21.0W45–1356.5W45–13OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/1Oregon State vs Washington State+3.5W10–747.5W10–7UY
Sat 11/8Oregon State vs Sam Houston-21.0L17–2152.5L17–21UN
Sat 11/15Oregon State at Tulsa+1.5L14–3150.5L14–31UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/29Oregon State at Washington State+14.0L8–3242.5L8–32UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.5W67–763.5W67–7OY
Sat 9/6Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.5W62–1460.0W62–14ON
Sat 9/13Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.5W45–761.5W45–7UY
Sat 9/20Texas Tech at Utah+3.5W34–1058.5W34–10UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/4Texas Tech at Houston-13.5W35–1151.5W35–11UY
Sat 10/11Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.5W42–1758.5W42–17OY
Sat 10/18Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.5L22–2652.5L22–26UN
Sat 10/25Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.5W42–056.5W42–0UY
Sat 11/1Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.5W43–2051.5W43–20OY
Sat 11/8Texas Tech vs BYU-13.5W29–750.5W29–7UY
Sat 11/15Texas Tech vs UCF-24.5W48–948.5W48–9OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/29Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.5W49–053.5W49–0UY
Sat 12/6Texas Tech vs BYU-12.5W34–750.5W34–7UY
Thu 1/1Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.5L0–2350.5L0–23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)17.647% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)29.450% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)39.445% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)11.344% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1217.611.843.6%3.871.3223911892014.755%45%47%39%15%.16
TTU Defense1311.38.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.435.248%4.351 - - - - - 56%44%50%45%13%.27
TTU Offense1339.447.944.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1233:0922.344%52%5.145.71.313.80.6124.9
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1255% (33)47% (25)40.3189.24.729 (18).22 (25)3.34 (20)76% (46)9% (50)0.97 (65)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1256% (125)50% (126) - - - - .23 (120)3.39 (123)81% (114)8% (122)0.96 (55)
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1245% (101)39% (100)1830201.46.711.27 (130)11 (72).09 (125)1.4 (123)28% (20)31% (78).16 (123)6% (84)1.8 (124)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1244% (13)45% (112) - - - - - - 5 (117).31 (104)1.5 (41)27% (126)33% (102).46 (121)6% (75)2.1 (70)
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -2.06  #73
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 8.61  #96
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 10.67  #49
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -2.06   Texas Tech: 26.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -15.9   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.095  #10
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 17.67  #39
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -1.92  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 716.1


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 44
Oregon State 13


Projected Total Points: 56
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas Tech45Oregon State7Texas Tech -24.5Texas Tech61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech110 Overs
Oregon State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#73) ORST at (#10) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTTTU
Game ControlGC #113 #22
Momentum ControlMC #129 #24
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #73 #10
SP+SP+ #126 #3
Perf GradeGrade #124 #3
OffenseOff #118 #22
DefenseDef #106 #1
Spec TeamsST #136 #6
TalentTal #61 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #26
Oregon State Notes
(11/28) Hired Bama Co-OC JaMarcus Shepard as HC
(11/10) Interim HC Robb Akey fired? That's new
(11/10) OC Ryan Gunderson now interim HC
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
Oregon State Injury Report
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Game ControlGC #120 #46
Momentum ControlMC #121 #63
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #1
SuccessSuc #59 #93
ExplosiveExp #124 #120
PPAPPA #87 #104
PowerPwr #96 #3
SP+SP+ #125 #3
Pts POPPO #75 #83
HavocHav #56 #123
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #121 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #76
Run ExplRExp #65 #111
PPAExp #25 #69
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #20 #30
Stuff RateStuff #11 #35
TackleTak -  #1
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #118 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #101
Pass ExplPExl #123 #106
PPAExp #125 #108
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #2
F7 HavocF7 #50 #108
DB HavocDB #84 #124
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffORST Def
Game ControlGC #13 #109
Momentum ControlMC #9 #129
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #106
SuccessSuc #50 #125
ExplosiveExp #40 #31
PPAPPA #33 #117
PowerPwr #39 #49
SP+SP+ #7 #96
Pts POPPO #7 #117
HavocHav #36 #115
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffORST Def
Run GameRun #22 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #126
Run ExplRExp #42 #55
PPAExp #46 #120
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #123
Stuff RateStuff #51 #108
TackleTak -  #128
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #37 #101
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #112
Pass ExplPExl #77 #41
PPAExp #44 #104
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #84
F7 HavocF7 #38 #122
DB HavocDB #66 #75
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Texas Tech -24.5 (61.5)
Texas Tech won vs Oregon State this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Oregon State last year (45-7)

  
ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)16027658%1802986.5
Gabarri Johnson6210062%501235.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson247108894.465
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
Gabarri Johnson3411913.552
Salahadin Allah197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker68823212.143
David Wells Jr.44466410.656
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Bryce Caufield2921917.630

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Keith Heyward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas780024
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaheim Patterson671014
Dexter Foster523041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jojo Johnson187380
Jacob Schuster142202
Takari Hickle385250
Shamar Meikle286240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Tucker251015
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Trey Glasper232005

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton21933366%27802268.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil57705612.442
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Ben Roberts884035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
John Curry734124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)512015103
Romello Height (Tr)371110131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)4010574
Lee Hunter (Tr)4211330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez12210116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)756106
Brice Pollock (Tr)474015