Kansas State at Texas Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -1 (60.5)
Kansas State 25 - Texas Tech: 24  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ KSU -4.5)

Projected Score: KSU: 20 - TTU: 35 (55)
KSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
KSU Travel: 486 miles
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kansas State vs Stanford-3.054.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Kansas State vs Southern Illinois-17.055.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Kansas State vs Nevada+1.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/25 Kansas State at Oklahoma State+6.047.5L 20 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Kansas State vs Oklahoma+12.053.0L 31 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Kansas State vs Iowa State+6.551.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 10/23 Kansas State at Texas Tech-1.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Kansas State vs TCU-3.558.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 11/6 Kansas State at Kansas-24.056.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/13 Kansas State vs West Virginia-6.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Kansas State vs Baylor-2.549.5L 10 - 20UN
Fri 11/26 Kansas State at Texas+3.054.5L 17 - 22UN
Tue 1/4 Kansas State vs LSU-9.547.0W 42 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas Tech vs Houston+2.563.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Texas Tech vs Stephen F. Austin-31.551.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 9/18 Texas Tech vs Florida International-20.554.0W 54 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 Texas Tech at Texas+9.063.0L 35 - 70ON
Sat 10/2 Texas Tech at West Virginia+7.555.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 Texas Tech vs TCU+2.560.0L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Texas Tech at Kansas-18.567.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 10/23 Texas Tech vs Kansas State+1.060.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 10/30 Texas Tech at Oklahoma+18.567.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Texas Tech vs Iowa State+13.055.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/20 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State+10.055.0L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/27 Texas Tech at Baylor+14.051.5L 24 - 27UY
Tue 12/28 Texas Tech vs Mississippi State+10.058.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU.1637%29.440%2.5715235%1863.69.2444%26.741%46%3.9256.41.51.2
TTU.1543%39.446%2.8816440%2653.08.1944%11.345%43%4.2357.41.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1029.430.837.5%3.691.5163381521864.356%44%40%35%18%.16
TTU Defense1011.38.744.1%4.231 - - - - - 52%48%45%43%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1026.726.443.7%3.921.2 - - - - - 47%53%41%46%17%.24
TTU Offense1039.447.942.5%3.081.8224291642654.945%55%46%40%17%.15

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1028:4415.533%60%6.556.41.51.26.82.8430.7
Texas Tech1027:0421.537%55%6.657.41.815.81.7132.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1056%40%35.3152.24.317.082.5768%11%1.07
TTU Defense1052%45% - - - - .12.9871%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1047%41% - - - - .182.879%11%1.23
TTU Offense1045%46%33.7163.74.917.152.8869%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1044%35%13.724.7185.77.513.61210.261.933%26%.287%2.3
TTU Defense1048%43% - - - - - - 5.291.529%31%.316%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1053%46% - - - - - - 7.31.431%34%.416%2.1
TTU Offense1055%40%25.739.5264.96.710.31811.171.432%31%.238%1.8

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State:    Texas Tech: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.2   Texas Tech: 9.8




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #28
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 35
Kansas State 20


Projected Total Points: 55
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Kansas State20Texas Tech43Texas Tech -7.5Texas Tech51.5Over
202310/14Texas Tech21Kansas State38Texas Tech -1Kansas State57.0Over
202210/01Kansas State37Texas Tech28Kansas State -7.5Kansas State56.0Over
202110/23Texas Tech24Kansas State25Kansas State -1NA60.5Under
202010/03Kansas State31Texas Tech21Texas Tech -1.5Kansas State61.5Under
201911/23Texas Tech27Kansas State30Texas Tech -1Kansas State58.0Under
201811/17Kansas State21Texas Tech6Texas Tech -6.5Kansas State55.0Under
201711/04Texas Tech35Kansas State42Texas Tech -3.5Kansas State63.0Over
201610/08Kansas State44Texas Tech38Kansas State -9Texas Tech67.5Over
201511/14Texas Tech59Kansas State44Texas Tech -5.5Texas Tech67.0Over
201410/04Kansas State45Texas Tech13Kansas State -12.5Kansas State0
201311/09Texas Tech26Kansas State49Texas Tech -4Kansas State0
201210/27Kansas State55Texas Tech24
201110/15Texas Tech34Kansas State41
200910/10Texas Tech66Kansas State14
200810/04Kansas State28Texas Tech58
200510/15Texas Tech59Kansas State20
200410/30Kansas State25Texas Tech35
200110/13Texas Tech38Kansas State19
200010/20Kansas State28Texas Tech23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech736 Overs
Kansas State1384 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 95 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams9 - 116 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) KSU at (#) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #40
Perf GradeGrade #53 #74
OffenseOff #38 #56
DefenseDef #75 #91
Spec TeamsST #118 #86
TalentTal #67 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #91
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #16 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #79 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCatTTU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #75
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #68 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #129
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatTTU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #30 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Kansas State 1.0 (60.5)
Kansas State won at Texas Tech this year (25-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kansas State last year (43-20)
Kansas State beat Texas Tech in 2023 (38-21)

  
KSU's OC Courtney Messingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TTU's OC Sonny Cumbie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Keith Patterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD