Oklahoma State at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#7)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (1 - 5) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Meacham (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 37 (8 - 55 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1.4 - 10.6 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
OKST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -41.5  (SP+ TTU -37)

Projected Score: OKST: 8 - TTU: 49 (57)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
OKST Travel: 324 miles
Red Raiders (6 - 0) (5 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 48 - 11 (54 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 0.3 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-26.056.5W 27 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+28.555.5L 3 - 69ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-10.554.5L 12 - 19UN
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+21.058.5L 27 - 45OY
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+21.556.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston+14.547.5L 17 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+21.557.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+41.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+14.5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+17.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-9.551.5
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-41.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-19.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-14
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-28

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#129 (.04)33% (134)16.535% (130)2.53 (123)12531% (131)1763.46 (109)#130 (.3)45% (107)36.741% (54)50% (130)4.05 (88)60.70.81.2
TTU#10 (.37)49% (24)47.550% (19)2.72 (102)23647% (32)3234.43 (42)#1 (-.1)30% (3)1130% (4)30% (6)2.71 (13)77.31.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense616.5833%3.460.8153011251763.646%54%35%31%19%.04
TTU Defense61111.330%2.712.2 - - - - - 41%59%30%30%22%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense636.75544.9%4.051.2 - - - - - 51%48%41%50%16%.3
TTU Offense647.55448.7%4.431.227559236323648%52%50%47%13%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State627:3015.333%38%6.560.70.81.25.82125.6
Texas Tech630:2426.552%60%8.877.31.22.273.5135.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense646% (96)35% (130)35124.73.65 (115)-.03 (128)2.53 (123)71% (76)11% (107)0.92 (92)
TTU Defense641% (5)30% (4) - - - - -.18 (1)2.11 (3)58% (14)14% (10)0.62 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense651% (84)41% (54) - - - - .14 (95)2.9 (79)74% (83)10% (69)1.17 (121)
TTU Offense648% (84)50% (19)39235.5616 (20).23 (27)2.72 (102)85% (12)8% (26)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense654% (38)31% (131)16.730.7176.25.710.64 (125)4 (50).1 (120)1.6 (60)40% (136)21% (132).17 (109)8% (125)2.1 (43)
TTU Defense659% (132)30% (6) - - - - - - 8 (12)-.04 (5)1.4 (23)40% (3)18% (2)-.02 (2)8% (15)2 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense648% (52)50% (130) - - - - - - 3 (93).49 (132)1.7 (103)29% (113)31% (88).43 (119)6% (80)2 (68)
TTU Offense652% (51)47% (32)24.235.5323.39.113.418 (4)5 (77).5 (13)1.7 (22)30% (56)37% (25).64 (6)5% (42)2.4 (9)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -9.22  #108
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 4.05  #110
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 13.27  #97
2025 Talent Rating: 872.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.4 - 10.6
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.2  #112
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #111
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -9.22   Texas Tech: 30.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -12.2   Texas Tech: 24.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 30.785  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.73  #24
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 11.7 - 0.3
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 49
Oklahoma State 8


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 40
Oklahoma State 13

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 48
Oklahoma State 12

Total Points: 60
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 47.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Oklahoma State48Texas Tech56Texas Tech -5Texas Tech63.5Over
202210/08Oklahoma State41Texas Tech31Oklahoma State -11Texas Tech66.0Over
202111/20Texas Tech0Oklahoma State23Oklahoma State -10Oklahoma State55.0Under
202011/28Oklahoma State50Texas Tech44Oklahoma State -12Texas Tech57.0Over
201910/05Texas Tech45Oklahoma State35Oklahoma State -9Texas Tech62.5Over
201809/22Oklahoma State17Texas Tech41Oklahoma State -14.5Texas Tech76.0Under
201709/30Texas Tech34Oklahoma State41Oklahoma State -10.5Texas Tech84.5Under
201611/12Oklahoma State45Texas Tech44Oklahoma State -11Texas Tech87.5Over
201510/31Texas Tech53Oklahoma State70Oklahoma State -1Oklahoma State77.5Over
201409/25Oklahoma State45Texas Tech35Oklahoma State -14Texas Tech0
201311/02Texas Tech34Oklahoma State52Oklahoma State -2.5Oklahoma State0
201211/17Oklahoma State59Texas Tech21
201111/12Texas Tech6Oklahoma State66
201010/16Texas Tech17Oklahoma State34
200911/14Oklahoma State24Texas Tech17
200811/08Texas Tech56Oklahoma State20
200709/22Oklahoma State49Texas Tech45
200611/18Texas Tech30Oklahoma State24
200511/12Oklahoma State24Texas Tech17
200411/27Texas Tech31Oklahoma State15
200310/18Oklahoma State51Texas Tech49
200211/09Texas Tech49Oklahoma State24
200111/10Oklahoma State30Texas Tech49
200011/10Texas Tech58Oklahoma State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech986 Overs
Oklahoma State1533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 92 - 90 - 52 - 4
Road Teams9 - 159 - 24 - 25 - 0

(#108) OKST at (#6) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTTTU
Power RatePwr #108 #6
SP+SP+ #112 #3
Perf GradeGrade #129 #2
OffenseOff #134 #8
DefenseDef #97 #1
Spec TeamsST #88 #14
TalentTal #32 #28
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #26

Oklahoma State Notes
(10/10) Sam Jackson now QB1, was WR. Prev Cal QB
(9/23) HC Gundy fired. What next? OSU invest level?
(9/23) Gundy firing a mess, staff not notified, bad juju
(9/19) Physically dominated by Tulsa. Bottom P5 team
(9/19) Have lost 11 straight games to FBS teams
(8/29) Top portal DE Kyran Duhon DNP vs UT Martin
(8/28) QB1 Henjy hurt vs UT Martin, Z Flores is QB2
(8/26) QB1 Hauss Hejny (TCU) start, Flores will play
(7/30) 65 total new players, 35 added after spring
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper

Texas Tech Notes
(10/12) QB Morton (leg) again vs Kansas, sounds OK though
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
Oklahoma State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #134 #1
SuccessSuc #134 #3
ExplosiveExp #64 #10
PPAPPA #129 #1
PowerPwr #110 #4
SP+SP+ #111 #17
Pts POPPO #109 #13
HavocHav #123 #6
Oklahoma State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #100 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #130 #4
Run ExplRExp #92 #1
PPAExp #128 #1
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #123 #3
Stuff RateStuff #91 #36
TackleTak -  #6
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKST OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #132 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #6
Pass ExplPExl #60 #23
PPAExp #120 #5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #1
F7 HavocF7 #107 #10
DB HavocDB #125 #15
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatTTU OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #8 #97
SuccessSuc #24 #107
ExplosiveExp #33 #126
PPAPPA #10 #130
PowerPwr #24 #97
SP+SP+ #2 #109
Pts POPPO #42 #88
HavocHav #26 #73
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
TTU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #8 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #54
Run ExplRExp #68 #121
PPAExp #27 #95
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #79
Stuff RateStuff #52 #70
TackleTak -  #114
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatTTU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #6 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #32 #130
Pass ExplPExl #22 #103
PPAExp #13 #132
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #67
F7 HavocF7 #26 #69
DB HavocDB #42 #80
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State last year (56-48)
Oklahoma State beat Texas Tech in 2022 (41-31)

  
OKST's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zane Flores7714055%696035.0
Sam Jackson142752%161116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Fields Jr.5525704.736
Kalib Hicks (Tr)3911703.014
Zane Flores3011413.827
Trenten Howland2710824.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Freeman19203210.733
Rodney Fields Jr.16188111.863
Shamar Rigby (Tr)12171014.341
Terrill Davis (Tr)12149012.441

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Clint Bowen (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)401011
Brandon Rawls402200
Parker Robertson353002
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)260001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendell Gregory (Tr)199341
Brandon Rawls402200
Malik Charles (Tr)162200
Poasa Utu62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Smith120013
Kenneth Harris150013
Landyn Cleveland151002

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton10415268%15011339.9
Will Hammond375666%399427.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey9360586.571
J'Koby Williams6735645.323
Will Hammond2423149.664
Adam Hill2420708.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas23379116.561
Coy Eakin25357314.342
Terrance Carter (Tr)23297512.950
Reginald Virgil23286412.435

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez445113
John Curry341011
Ben Roberts310024
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)252101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)1710970
Romello Height (Tr)145570
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)216341
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts310024
Jacob Rodriguez445113
Dontae Balfour (Tr)141003