Texas Tech at Texas - 2021 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -9 (63.0)
Texas 70 - Texas Tech: 35 (Big 12)

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX 2nd straight Home Game
TEX is playing their 4th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ TTU -1.5)
Projected Score: TTU: 28 - TEX: 24 (52)
TEX Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TTU Travel: 333 miles

Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas Tech vs Houston	+2.5	63.0	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas Tech vs Stephen F. Austin	-31.5	51.5	W 28 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas Tech vs Florida International	-20.5	54.0	W 54 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas Tech at Texas	+9.0	63.0	L 35 - 70	O	N
Sat 10/2	Texas Tech at West Virginia	+7.5	55.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas Tech vs TCU	+2.5	60.0	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas Tech at Kansas	-18.5	67.5	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	+1.0	60.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Texas Tech at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Texas Tech vs Iowa State	+13.0	55.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State	+10.0	55.0	L 0 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/27	Texas Tech at Baylor	+14.0	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Texas Tech vs Mississippi State	+10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas vs Louisiana	-8.5	58.0	W 38 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas at Arkansas	-6.0	57.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/18	Texas vs Rice	-26.0	52.0	W 58 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas vs Texas Tech	-9.0	63.0	W 70 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Texas at TCU	-3.5	65.5	W 32 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas vs Oklahoma	+4.0	65.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	61.0	L 24 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Texas at Baylor	+2.0	61.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas at Iowa State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Texas vs Kansas	-31.0	61.5	L 56 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas at West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/26	Texas vs Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.15	43%	39.4	46%	2.88	164	40%	265	3.08	.19	44%	11.3	45%	43%	4.23	57.4	1.8	1
TEX	.25	43%	30.5	46%	3.08	195	41%	280	4.44	.14	43%	20.3	40%	46%	3.42	79	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	10	39.4	36.6	42.5%	3.08	1.8	22	429	164	265	4.9	45%	55%	46%	40%	17%	.15
TEX Defense	10	20.3	17	43.2%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	46%	19%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	10	11.3	13.4	44.1%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	43%	15%	.19
TEX Offense	10	30.5	38.8	43.2%	4.44	0.9	22	476	195	280	5.3	47%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	10	27:04	21.5	37%	55%	6.6	57.4	1.8	1	5.8	1.7	1	32.6
Texas	10	27:36	22.4	37%	50%	8.2	79	0.9	1.8	7.4	1.5	2	30.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	10	45%	46%	33.7	163.7	4.9	17	.15	2.88	69%	9%	0.96
TEX Defense	10	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.44	73%	12%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	10	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.98	71%	9%	0.95
TEX Offense	10	47%	46%	36.8	195.4	5.3	20	.15	3.08	63%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	10	55%	40%	25.7	39.5	264.9	6.7	10.3	18	11	.17	1.4	32%	31%	.23	8%	1.8
TEX Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	30%	31%	.23	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	10	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.29	1.5	29%	31%	.31	6%	2
TEX Offense	10	53%	41%	20.8	34.5	280.1	8.1	13.5	32	5	.35	1.7	31%	34%	.49	7%	2.3

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8 #40
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: Texas: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 9.8 Texas: 8.5

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 28
Texas 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/24	Texas	57	Texas Tech	7	Texas -16.5	Texas	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Texas Tech	37	Texas	34	Texas -7	Texas Tech	60.0	Over
2021	09/25	Texas	70	Texas Tech	35	Texas -9	Texas	63.0	Over
2020	09/26	Texas Tech	56	Texas	63	Texas -17	Texas Tech	71.0	Over
2019	11/29	Texas	49	Texas Tech	24	Texas -9.5	Texas	65.5	Over
2018	11/10	Texas Tech	34	Texas	41	Texas -2	Texas	62.5	Over
2017	11/24	Texas	23	Texas Tech	27	Texas -7.5	Texas Tech	58.5	Under
2016	11/05	Texas Tech	37	Texas	45	Texas -4	Texas	85.5	Under
2015	11/26	Texas	45	Texas Tech	48	Texas -2	Texas Tech	70.5	Over
2014	11/01	Texas Tech	13	Texas	34	Texas -5	Texas	0
2013	11/28	Texas	41	Texas Tech	16	Texas -6	Texas	0
2012	11/03	Texas Tech	22	Texas	31
2011	11/05	Texas	52	Texas Tech	20
2010	09/18	Texas Tech	14	Texas	24
2009	09/19	Texas	34	Texas Tech	24
2008	11/01	Texas Tech	39	Texas	33
2007	11/10	Texas	59	Texas Tech	43
2006	10/28	Texas Tech	31	Texas	35
2005	10/22	Texas	52	Texas Tech	17
2004	10/23	Texas Tech	21	Texas	51
2003	11/15	Texas	43	Texas Tech	40
2001	09/29	Texas	42	Texas Tech	7
2000	11/03	Texas Tech	17	Texas	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	19	7	7 Overs
Texas Tech	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 12	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) TTU at (#) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#48
Perf GradeGrade	#74	#79
OffenseOff	#56	#46
DefenseDef	#91	#110
Spec TeamsST	#86	#45
TalentTal	#59	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Tech Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#68	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#30	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#62	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#91
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#6	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#118
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Texas -9.0 (63.0)
Texas won vs Texas Tech this year (70-35)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Texas Tech in 2023 (57-7)

TTU's OC Sonny Cumbie (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Keith Patterson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD