Arizona State at Texas Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview

Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX

Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas Tech -25.5 (SP+ TTU -24)
Projected Score: ASU: 13 - TTU: 39 (52)
TTU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ASU Travel: 579 miles, 1 hrs behind

Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona State vs Morgan State	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Arizona State at Texas A&M	+22
Sat 9/19	Arizona State vs Kansas	-5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arizona State vs Baylor	-4.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona State vs Hawai'i	-12
Sat 10/17	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+25.5
Sat 10/24	Arizona State vs Kansas State	-0
Sat 10/31	Arizona State at BYU	+14
Sat 11/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/14	Arizona State at UCF	-3.5
Sat 11/21	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	-14.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona State at Arizona	+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-50
Sat 9/12	Texas Tech at Oregon State	-39.5
Sat 9/19	Texas Tech vs Houston	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Texas Tech vs Sam Houston	-51.5
Sat 10/3	Texas Tech at Colorado	-32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-25.5
Sat 10/24	Texas Tech at Cincinnati	-20.5
Sat 10/31	Texas Tech vs Arizona	-21
Sat 11/7	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-31.5
Sat 11/14	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-32.5
Sat 11/21	Texas Tech at Baylor	-22
Sat 11/28	Texas Tech vs TCU	-21

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#91 (.14)	40% (99)	25.8	43% (75)	2.86 (82)	193	39% (101)	224	3.37 (103)	#35 (.1)	41% (58)	24.5	42% (63)	40% (51)	3.46 (51)	57.8	1.6	1.2
TTU	#28 (.24)	43% (61)	39.4	43% (72)	2.87 (80)	184	43% (51)	278	4 (41)	#1 (-.09)	30% (1)	11.3	29% (1)	31% (3)	2.41 (2)	55.7	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	13	25.8	24.6	40.2%	3.37	1.6	21	417	193	224	5.1	51%	47%	43%	39%	17%	.14
TTU Defense	14	11.3	8.7	30.1%	2.41	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	29%	31%	23%	-.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	13	24.5	25.2	40.8%	3.46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	42%	40%	19%	.1
TTU Offense	14	39.4	47.9	42.8%	4	1.3	23	462	184	278	4.7	46%	52%	43%	43%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	13	31:33	21.1	33%	58%	7.2	57.8	1.6	1.2	6.6	2.6	0	27.7
Texas Tech	14	30:10	22.7	49%	50%	6.8	55.7	1.3	2.3	7.6	2.9	2	36

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	13	51% (54)	43% (75)	38	192.9	5.1	18 (78)	.11 (72)	2.86 (82)	63% (118)	10% (87)	0.97 (63)
TTU Defense	14	43% (5)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.16 (1)	1.94 (1)	56% (3)	15% (4)	0.86 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	13	45% (16)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.03 (28)	2.72 (36)	71% (63)	11% (40)	0.92 (47)
TTU Offense	14	46% (97)	43% (72)	39.1	184	4.7	30 (26)	.17 (41)	2.87 (80)	80% (15)	9% (59)	1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	13	47% (89)	39% (101)	19.3	33.1	223.7	6.8	11.6	20 (86)	9 (20)	.25 (68)	1.6 (46)	32% (79)	28% (88)	.26 (86)	7% (105)	1.9 (99)
TTU Defense	14	56% (132)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (22)	- (3)	1.4 (9)	39% (1)	22% (2)	.06 (4)	8% (10)	1.8 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	13	54% (123)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.17 (32)	1.5 (39)	32% (58)	28% (56)	.2 (28)	8% (11)	2.1 (98)
TTU Offense	14	52% (38)	43% (51)	22.7	34.7	277.6	8	12.2	33 (5)	10 (88)	.35 (38)	1.6 (53)	34% (108)	33% (40)	.4 (28)	6% (86)	2.2 (24)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 3.94 #49
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 10.24 #71
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 11.30 #33
2026 Talent Rating: 822.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.94 Texas Tech: 29.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.9 Texas Tech: 27.6

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 29.225 #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70 #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15 #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6 #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 39
Arizona State 13

Projected Total Points: 52

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Arizona State	26	Texas Tech	22	Texas Tech -7.5	Arizona State	52.5	Under
2024	09/21	Texas Tech	30	Arizona State	22	Texas Tech -4.5	Texas Tech	58.5	Under
2017	09/16	Texas Tech	52	Arizona State	45	Texas Tech -7	Push	74.0	Over
2016	09/10	Arizona State	68	Texas Tech	55	Arizona State -5	Arizona State	80.0	Over
2013	12/30	Texas Tech	37	Arizona State	23	Arizona State -17	Texas Tech	72.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	3	2	2 Overs
Arizona State	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 0	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 5	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 2

(#49) ASU at (#6) TTU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	TTU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#49	#6
SP+SP+	#60	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#46	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#26

Arizona State Injury Report

Texas Tech Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	TTU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#99	#1
ExplosiveExp	#60	#19
PPAPPA	#91	#1
PowerPwr	#71	#4
SP+SP+	#59	#3
Pts POPPO	#103	#2
HavocHav	#99	#1

Arizona State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#1
Run ExplRExp	#63	#17
PPAExp	#72	#1
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#88	#13
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#9
PPAExp	#68	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#87	#4
DB HavocDB	#105	#10

Texas Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ASU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#61	#58
ExplosiveExp	#21	#53
PPAPPA	#28	#35
PowerPwr	#14	#33
SP+SP+	#7	#44
Pts POPPO	#41	#51
HavocHav	#61	#15

Texas Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#63
Run ExplRExp	#21	#47
PPAExp	#41	#28
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#36
Stuff RateStuff	#59	#34
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#39
PPAExp	#38	#32
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#40
DB HavocDB	#86	#11

Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Texas Tech last year (26-22)
Texas Tech beat Arizona State in 2024 (30-22)

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)	198	301	66%	2160	15	12	7.2
Kanyon Floyd	1	1	100%	19	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)	183	1145	7	6.3	75
David Avit (Tr)	125	687	8	5.5	34
Jason Brown Jr.	15	137	1	9.1	44
Kyson Brown	18	106	0	5.9	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)	44	807	8	18.3	70
Reed Harris (Tr)	39	673	5	17.3	57
Derek Eusebio	22	341	2	15.5	68
Jalen Moss	16	273	1	17.1	51

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)	67	0	0	0	4
Adrian Wilson	57	1	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)	24	6	4	4	0
Jalen Thompson (Tr)	29	6	3	8	1
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
Ramere Davis (Tr)	9	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Montana Warren	40	2	2	8
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	3	7
Adrian Wilson	57	1	1	6

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Will Hammond	68	108	63%	668	7	3	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Dickey	211	1138	14	5.4	71
J'Koby Williams	154	866	6	5.6	50
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	100	580	9	5.8	41
Will Hammond	43	299	5	7.0	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)	47	1119	9	23.8	87
Kenny Johnson (Tr)	47	658	5	14.0	42
Coy Eakin	49	653	6	13.3	42
Terrance Carter	55	624	5	11.3	50

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	0	3	5
John Curry	73	4	1	2	4
Austin Romaine (Tr)	66	7	1	7	2
Brenden Jordan	59	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick (Tr)	57	12	8	12	4
Trey White (Tr)	47	11	7	12	1
Jamond Mathis (Tr)	28	8	6	6	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	40	10	5	7	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	3	5
Brice Pollock	47	4	1	5
Amier Boyd-Matthews	26	2	0	5