Arizona State at Texas Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#17)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -4.5 (58.5) (-198)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 30 - Arizona State: 22  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
ASU 2nd straight Road Game
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -7  (SP+ ASU -5)

Projected Score: ASU: 35 - TTU: 28 (63)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 579 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1432.930.349.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31
TTU Defense1334.835.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1422.620.742.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
TTU Offense1337.643.744.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01   Texas Tech: 5.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695  #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17  #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59  #99
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 35
Texas Tech 28


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 38
Arizona State 35

Total Points: 73

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 34
Texas Tech 31

Total Points: 65
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Arizona State26Texas Tech22Texas Tech -7.5Arizona State52.5Under
202409/21Texas Tech30Arizona State22Texas Tech -4.5Texas Tech58.5Under
201709/16Texas Tech52Arizona State45Texas Tech -7Push74.0Over
201609/10Arizona State68Texas Tech55Arizona State -5Arizona State80.0Over
201312/30Texas Tech37Arizona State23Arizona State -17Texas Tech72.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech322 Overs
Arizona State223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 04 - 02 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 50 - 40 - 20 - 2

(#12) ASU at (#55) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUTTU
Power RatePwr #12 #55
SP+SP+ #35 #54
Perf GradeGrade #76 #84
OffenseOff #40 #40
DefenseDef #98 #122
Spec TeamsST #86 #24
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #33
Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #122
SuccessSuc #8 #93
ExplosiveExp #100 #120
PPAPPA #13 #104
PowerPwr #7 #99
SP+SP+ #32 #95
Pts POPPO #48 #83
HavocHav #11 #123
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #7 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #76
Run ExplRExp #71 #111
PPAExp #12 #69
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #30
Stuff RateStuff #30 #35
TackleTak -  #133
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #19 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #101
Pass ExplPExl #43 #106
PPAExp #14 #108
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #20 #108
F7 HavocF7 #18 #108
DB HavocDB #16 #124
Texas Tech on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatTTU OffASU Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #98
SuccessSuc #50 #79
ExplosiveExp #40 #55
PPAPPA #33 #36
PowerPwr #49 #43
SP+SP+ #25 #26
Pts POPPO #7 #51
HavocHav #36 #75
Texas Tech Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffASU Def
Run GameRun #46 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #49
Run ExplRExp #42 #76
PPAExp #46 #27
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #61
Stuff RateStuff #51 #47
TackleTak -  #78
Texas Tech Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatTTU OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #34 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #106
Pass ExplPExl #77 #18
PPAExp #44 #57
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #134
F7 HavocF7 #38 #116
DB HavocDB #66 #21
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Texas Tech -4.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won vs Arizona State this year (30-22)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Arizona State last year (30-22)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Harvey Dyson III103241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003