Arizona State at Texas Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -4.5 (58.5) (-198)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 30 - Arizona State: 22  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
ASU 2nd straight Road Game
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -7   (SP+ ASU -5)

Projected Score: ASU: 34 - TTU: 27 (64)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 579 miles, 2 hrs behind
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)32.944% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)22.647% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)37.647% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)34.842% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1232.930.337.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12
TTU Defense1334.835.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1222.620.746.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
TTU Offense1337.643.742.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 736.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01   Texas Tech: 5.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 34
Texas Tech 27


Projected Total Points: 64
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Texas Tech30Arizona State22Texas TechTexas Tech -4.5Texas Tech58.5Under
201709/16Texas Tech52Arizona State45Texas TechTexas Tech -7Push74.0Over
201609/10Arizona State68Texas Tech55Arizona StateArizona State -5Arizona State80.0Over
201312/30Texas Tech37Arizona State23Texas TechArizona State -17Texas Tech72.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech322 Overs
Arizona State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#12) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.01 #12
Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 736.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona State     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #12
#55
Off #7
#49
Def #43
#99
Talent #46
#23
SP+ #35
#54
SP+ Off #32
#25
SP+ Def #26
#95

Rematch from Week 4
Texas Tech -4.5 (58.5)
Texas Tech won vs Arizona State this year (30-22)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Arizona State last year (30-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 21 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ASU | TTU
Depth Chart: ASU | TTU
Rosters: ASU | TTU
(#55) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof


  
Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
Jeff Sims (Tr)2410114.212
Raleek Brown (Tr)94204.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629
Kyson Brown13189114.568
Malik McClain (Tr)285142.543

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Keyshaun Elliott (Tr)644221
Jordan Crook (Tr)574002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Prince Dorbah124331
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Cam'Ron Valdez94004.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
Maurion Horn462014
Chapman Lewis421003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Jayden Cofield184200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Chapman Lewis421003