Tarleton State at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tarleton State logo   Tarleton State Texans at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -36.5 (75.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 41 - Tarleton State: 3

 
Texans (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (30 - 27 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -5.5  (SP+ TTU -4)
TTU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tarleton State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Tarleton State at Texas Tech+36.575.5L 3 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tarleton State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%300%000%000%270%0%0000
TTU.2142%39.447%3.2715938%3023.92.1640%11.342%39%3.5144.31.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TTU Defense1311.38.740.1%3.511.7 - - - - - 51%48%42%39%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Defense127270%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TTU Offense1339.447.941.8%3.921.927462159302444%56%47%38%17%.21

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tarleton State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas Tech1329:5926.536%64%5.744.31.91.76.32.2130.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TTU Defense1351%42% - - - - .132.8864%10%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TTU Offense1344%47%40.4159.5428.293.2778%10%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TTU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 9.231.733%33%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TTU Offense1356%38%26.843.8302.16.911.32618.161.533%32%.47%1.9

Tarleton State's Power Ratings
Tarleton State's Power Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Offense Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tarleton State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Tarleton State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 196.23
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Texas Tech: 3.7




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65  #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06  #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91  #46
2023 Talent Rating: 694.26  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Tarleton State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Tarleton State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 35
Tarleton State 30

Projected Total Points: 65
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Texas Tech41Tarleton State3Texas Tech -36.5Texas Tech75.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech110 Overs
Tarleton State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TAR at (#49) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTARTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #49
SP+SP+NR #52
Perf GradeGradeNR #47
OffenseOffNR #56
DefenseDefNR #55
Spec TeamsSTNR #31
TalentTalNR #40
Blue ChipsBC%NR #43
Tarleton State on Offense
CategoryCat
TAR OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #46
SP+SP+NR #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tarleton State Run Game
CategoryCat
TAR OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNR #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #12
Tarleton State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TAR OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNR #52
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCatTTU OffTAR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #81NR
SP+SP+ #53NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffTAR Def
Run GameRun #20NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatTTU OffTAR Def
Pass GamePass #114NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Texas Tech -36.5 (75.5)
Texas Tech won vs Tarleton State this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Tarleton State in 2023 (41-3)

  
TAR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Victor Gabalis18731659%28973069.2
Daniel Greek (Tr)497169%7918111.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deangelo Rosemond19198010.465
Daniel Greek (Tr)428051.914
Victor Gabalis52-241-0.533
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trevon West44749517.047
Dawson Hearne10101610.126

View Tarleton State's Full Roster

TAR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Taylor841011
Devin Sterling121001
Brandon Tolvert112010
Blake Smith91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Griffis52100
Kyle Taylor841011
Devin Sterling121001
Brandon Tolvert112010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Taylor841011
Devin Sterling121001
Brandon Tolvert112010

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007