Tarleton State at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tarleton State logo Tarleton State Texans at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#21)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -36.5 (75.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 41 - Tarleton State: 3

 
Texans (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 41 (3 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -5.5   (SP+ TTU -4)
TTU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tarleton State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Tarleton State at Texas Tech+36.575.5L 3 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tarleton State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%30%000%000%410%0%0000
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)27.447% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)2642% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TTU Defense132626.340.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TTU Offense1327.433.342.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tarleton State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Tarleton State's Power Ratings
Tarleton State's Power Rating: #NR
Tarleton State's Offense Rating: #NR
Tarleton State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Tarleton State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Tarleton State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Tarleton State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Tarleton State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Texas Tech: 3.7




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tarleton State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Tarleton State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 34
Tarleton State 29

Total Points: 63

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Texas Tech41Tarleton State3Texas TechTexas Tech -36.5Texas Tech75.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech110 Overs
Tarleton State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Tarleton State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tarleton State Highlights

Tarleton State Deficiencies
Tarleton State has a really bad Offense
Tarleton State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTTUTAR
OverallOver#39—
OffenseOff#52—
DefenseDef#47—
Special TeamsST#29—
PassingPass#96—
RushingRush#13—
Run BlockRBLK#35—
Pass BlockPBLK#6—
Route RunningWR Rt#73—
TacklingTkl#10—
Run DefenseR Def#60—
Pass Rush DefPRush#58—
Coverage DefCov#42—

Rematch from Week 3
Texas Tech -36.5 (75.5)
Texas Tech won vs Tarleton State this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Tarleton State in 2023 (41-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TAR | TTU
Depth Chart: TAR | TTU
Rosters: TAR | TTU
(#49) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70


Texas Tech has lost 2 straight
Texas Tech has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Texas Tech throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Texas Tech offense is not Explosive (#98)


  
Tarleton State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tarleton State's Full Roster
Tarleton State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. Harris90000
Kyle Taylor60000
Ty Rawls51000
Kasyus Kurns50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. Harris90000
Kyle Taylor60000
Ty Rawls51000
Kasyus Kurns50001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kasyus Kurns50001
D.J. Harris90000
Kyle Taylor60000

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007