Texas Tech at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

(#21)Texas Tech Red Raiders at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 17th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
NC State -10.5 (55.5)
NC State 27 - Texas Tech: 14

Red Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (22 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ TTU -1.5)
Projected Score: TTU: 24 - NCST: 30 (54)
NCST Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TTU Travel: 1321 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas Tech vs Murray State	-38.0	64.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas Tech vs Houston	-3.5	62.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/17	Texas Tech at NC State	+10.5	55.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/24	Texas Tech vs Texas	+7.0	60.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas Tech at Kansas State	+7.5	56.0	L 28 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	+11.0	66.0	L 31 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-5.0	65.5	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-1.5	61.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/5	Texas Tech at TCU	+8.5	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	Texas Tech vs Kansas	-3.5	63.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+3.5	47.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma	+2.0	65.5	W 51 - 48	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Texas Tech vs Ole Miss	+4.5	73.0	W 42 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.21	42%	34.2	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	29.2	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7
NCST	.13	39%	24.3	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	19.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	#33 (.25)	44% (50)		45% (49)	3.17 (45)	150	43% (51)	275	4.73 (7)	#104 (.23)	44% (93)		44% (76)	44% (101)	3.97 (83)	59.4	1.5	1.6
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	34.2	22.2	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21
NCST Defense	13	19.2	15.3	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	29.2	29.8	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16
NCST Offense	13	24.3	30.6	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #41
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #18
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: NC State: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 8.5 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 34.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Texas Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 30
Texas Tech 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 31
Texas Tech 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
NC State 29
Texas Tech 23

Total Points: 52

NC State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/17	NC State	27	Texas Tech	14	NC State -10.5	NC State	55.5	Under
2003	09/20	NC State	49	Texas Tech	21
2002	09/21	Texas Tech	48	NC State	51

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	1	0 Overs
Texas Tech	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) TTU at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#54
OffenseOff	#90	#94
DefenseDef	#81	#20
Spec TeamsST	#53	#13
TalentTal	#44	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Tech Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#45	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#79	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#105	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#53
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 3
NC State -10.5 (55.5)
NC State won vs Texas Tech this year (27-14)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Texas Tech in 2022 (27-14)

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD