Texas Tech at Cincinnati - 2026 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH

Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas Tech -20.5 (SP+ TTU -23)
Projected Score: TTU: 37 - CIN: 16 (53)
TTU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
TTU Travel: 1037 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian	-50
Sat 9/12	Texas Tech at Oregon State	-39.5
Sat 9/19	Texas Tech vs Houston	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Texas Tech vs Sam Houston	-51.5
Sat 10/3	Texas Tech at Colorado	-32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Texas Tech vs Arizona State	-25.5
Sat 10/24	Texas Tech at Cincinnati	-20.5
Sat 10/31	Texas Tech vs Arizona	-21
Sat 11/7	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-31.5
Sat 11/14	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	-32.5
Sat 11/21	Texas Tech at Baylor	-22
Sat 11/28	Texas Tech vs TCU	-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-10.5
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-27
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-10
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+0
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	-3.5
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+20.5
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+10.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+5.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+3
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+14.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	#28 (.24)	43% (61)	39.4	43% (72)	2.87 (80)	184	43% (51)	278	4 (41)	#1 (-.09)	30% (1)	11.3	29% (1)	31% (3)	2.41 (2)	55.7	1.3	2.3
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	14	39.4	36.6	42.8%	4	1.3	23	462	184	278	4.7	46%	52%	43%	43%	15%	.24
CIN Defense	13	25.6	19.6	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	14	11.3	13.4	30.1%	2.41	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	29%	31%	23%	-.09
CIN Offense	13	30.3	34.4	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	14	30:10	22.7	49%	50%	6.8	55.7	1.3	2.3	7.6	2.9	2	36
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	14	46% (97)	43% (72)	39.1	184	4.7	30 (26)	.17 (41)	2.87 (80)	80% (15)	9% (59)	1.09 (21)
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	14	43% (5)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.16 (1)	1.94 (1)	56% (3)	15% (4)	0.86 (17)
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	14	52% (38)	43% (51)	22.7	34.7	277.6	8	12.2	33 (5)	10 (88)	.35 (38)	1.6 (53)	34% (108)	33% (40)	.4 (28)	6% (86)	2.2 (24)
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	14	56% (132)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (22)	- (3)	1.4 (9)	39% (1)	22% (2)	.06 (4)	8% (10)	1.8 (10)
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 25.85 #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70 #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15 #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6 #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 25.85 Cincinnati: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 27.6 Cincinnati: 4.5

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 6.08 #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93 #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27 #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 37
Cincinnati 16

Projected Total Points: 53

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Texas Tech	44	Cincinnati	41	Texas Tech -3	Push	60.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	0	1 Overs
Texas Tech	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#6) TTU at (#55) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#6	#55
SP+SP+	#3	#56
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#19	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#79

Texas Tech Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#61	#112
ExplosiveExp	#21	#17
PPAPPA	#28	#105
PowerPwr	#14	#68
SP+SP+	#7	#67
Pts POPPO	#41	#96
HavocHav	#61	#128

Texas Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#120
Run ExplRExp	#21	#43
PPAExp	#41	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#59	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TTU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#45
PPAExp	#38	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#116
DB HavocDB	#86	#128

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#1
ExplosiveExp	#37	#19
PPAPPA	#17	#1
PowerPwr	#35	#4
SP+SP+	#50	#3
Pts POPPO	#11	#2
HavocHav	#12	#1

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#1
Run ExplRExp	#35	#17
PPAExp	#14	#1
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#13
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#9
PPAExp	#14	#3
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#4
DB HavocDB	#42	#10

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Cincinnati in 2024 (44-41)

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Will Hammond	68	108	63%	668	7	3	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Dickey	211	1138	14	5.4	71
J'Koby Williams	154	866	6	5.6	50
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	100	580	9	5.8	41
Will Hammond	43	299	5	7.0	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)	47	1119	9	23.8	87
Kenny Johnson (Tr)	47	658	5	14.0	42
Coy Eakin	49	653	6	13.3	42
Terrance Carter	55	624	5	11.3	50

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	0	3	5
John Curry	73	4	1	2	4
Austin Romaine (Tr)	66	7	1	7	2
Brenden Jordan	59	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick (Tr)	57	12	8	12	4
Trey White (Tr)	47	11	7	12	1
Jamond Mathis (Tr)	28	8	6	6	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	40	10	5	7	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	88	4	3	5
Brice Pollock	47	4	1	5
Amier Boyd-Matthews	26	2	0	5

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Samaj Jones	4	7	57%	72	1	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21
Zion Johnson	22	106	1	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5