Colorado at Texas Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo   Colorado Buffaloes at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Colorado -5.0 (62.0) (-150)  Open: -3.0 | 63.0
Colorado 41 - Texas Tech: 27  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO coming off BYE
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -5  (SP+ COLO -4)

Projected Score: COLO: 31 - TTU: 26 (57)
COLO Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 482 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)20.936% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)30.548% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)39.447% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)11.342% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.841.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21
TTU Defense1311.38.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.447.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
TTU Offense1339.447.942.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48  #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21  #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47  #15
2024 Talent Rating: 380.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 21%  #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48   Texas Tech: 5.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695  #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17  #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59  #99
2024 Talent Rating: 436.00  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 31
Texas Tech 26


Projected Total Points: 57
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Texas Tech27Colorado41Colorado -5.0Colorado62.0Over
201010/23Colorado24Texas Tech27
200710/27Texas Tech26Colorado31
200610/14Colorado30Texas Tech6
200311/01Texas Tech26Colorado21
200210/26Colorado37Texas Tech13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech201 Overs
Colorado410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams3 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#18) COLO at (#55) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #18 #55
SP+SP+ #39 #54
Perf GradeGrade #27 #84
OffenseOff #26 #40
DefenseDef #39 #122
Spec TeamsST #87 #24
TalentTal #45 #27
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #33
Colorado Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report
Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report
Colorado on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26 #122
SuccessSuc #77 #54
ExplosiveExp #30 #40
PPAPPA #58 #51
PowerPwr #36 #99
SP+SP+ #27 #95
Pts POPPO #33 #42
HavocHav #90 #91
Colorado Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #98 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #63
Run ExplRExp #98 #74
PPAExp #127 #73
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLY #75 #76
Stuff RateStuff #44 #73
TackleTak -  #133
Colorado Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #3 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #51
Pass ExplPExl #87 #22
PPAExp #53 #37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #108
F7 HavocF7 #111 #101
DB HavocDB #40 #71
Texas Tech on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatTTU OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #39
SuccessSuc #59 #128
ExplosiveExp #107 #73
PPAPPA #92 #123
PowerPwr #49 #15
SP+SP+ #25 #45
Pts POPPO #70 #113
HavocHav #52 #82
Texas Tech Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #46 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #115
Run ExplRExp #69 #87
PPAExp #32 #114
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #78
Stuff RateStuff #43 #68
TackleTak -  #72
Texas Tech Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatTTU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #34 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #128
Pass ExplPExl #116 #49
PPAExp #111 #116
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #33
F7 HavocF7 #12 #68
DB HavocDB #118 #84
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Colorado 5.0 (62.0)
Colorado won at Texas Tech this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Texas Tech in 2024 (41-27)

  
COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Harvey Dyson III103241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003