Colorado at Texas Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Colorado -5.0 (62.0) (-150)  Open: -3.0 | 63.0
Colorado 41 - Texas Tech: 27  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.2 MPH
COLO coming off BYE
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -5   (SP+ COLO -4)

Projected Score: COLO: 34 - TTU: 29 (64)
COLO Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 482 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 6, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)32.936% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)23.148% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)37.647% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)34.842% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1232.932.241.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21
TTU Defense1334.835.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1223.118.447.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
TTU Offense1337.643.742.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48   Texas Tech: 5.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 34
Texas Tech 29


Projected Total Points: 64
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Texas Tech27Colorado41ColoradoColorado -5.0Colorado62.0Over
201010/23Colorado24Texas Tech27Texas Tech
200710/27Texas Tech26Colorado31Colorado
200610/14Colorado30Texas Tech6Colorado
200311/01Texas Tech26Colorado21Texas Tech
200210/26Colorado37Texas Tech13Colorado
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech201 Overs
Colorado410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams3 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#18) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Colorado Notes
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
Colorado     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #18
#55
Off #36
#49
Def #15
#99
Talent #54
#23
SP+ #39
#54
SP+ Off #27
#25
SP+ Def #45
#95

Rematch from Week 11
Colorado 5.0 (62.0)
Colorado won at Texas Tech this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Texas Tech last year (41-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 65° - Wind: 16 mph


Team Information
Injuries: COLO | TTU
Depth Chart: COLO | TTU
Rosters: COLO | TTU
(#55) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.695 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof


  
Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Drelon Miller3227738.749
Omarion Miller10216121.658

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027
Arden Walker337520
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Taje Mccoy244420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027
Colton Hood (Tr)231006

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Cam'Ron Valdez94004.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
Maurion Horn462014
Chapman Lewis421003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Jayden Cofield184200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Chapman Lewis421003