Texas Tech at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#17)Texas Tech Red Raiders at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 58 - 9 (58 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Texas Tech -6   (SP+ TTU -10.5)
Projected Score: TTU: 33 - ASU: 27 (59)
TTU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TTU Travel: 579 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (36 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-16
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-16
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-6
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-14.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-14

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+2.560.5
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+8
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+6
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-12.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.5
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-9
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-8.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#6 (.51)60% (6)5867% (1)3.73 (14)20755% (17)3605.42 (15)#1 (-.43)15% (1)9.34% (1)22% (3)2.8 (44)66.711.7
ASU#43 (.3)46% (54)30.752% (29)3.62 (19)23338% (99)1764.17 (61)#52 (.08)43% (90)19.344% (96)42% (81)2.86 (46)60.711
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense3585859.7%5.421295672073605.843%57%67%55%7%.51
ASU Defense319.31742.7%2.861 - - - - - 43%57%44%42%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense39.39.314.5%2.81.7 - - - - - 42%58%4%22%21%-.43
ASU Offense330.73645.7%4.171224092331766.154%46%52%38%15%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech329:432956%50%866.711.75.72.7138.6
Arizona State332:2221.724%67%8.360.71183.7028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense343% (109)67% (1)36207.35.88 (26).37 (18)3.73 (14)71% (67)6% (16)0.78 (117)
ASU Defense343% (22)44% (96) - - - - .02 (55)2.32 (29)69% (63)12% (38)0.88 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense342% (17)4% (1) - - - - -.43 (1)0.53 (2)0% (2)14% (25)1.61 (134)
ASU Offense354% (49)52% (29)382336.16 (49).37 (17)3.62 (19)71% (67)8% (66)1.21 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense357% (24)55% (17)2636.73609.813.914 (1)2 (60).62 (14)1.5 (81)22% (11)47% (8).87 (5)1% (3)2.2 (34)
ASU Defense357% (116)42% (81) - - - - - - 1 (87).15 (52)1.4 (36)32% (75)28% (68).3 (76)9% (20)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense358% (123)22% (3) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.43 (1)1.2 (11)51% (1)11% (3)-.33 (2)7% (48)2 (68)
ASU Offense346% (87)38% (99)16.729175.76.110.55 (54)3 (92).23 (80)1.6 (62)33% (98)30% (77).33 (73)6% (100)2 (71)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 28.68   Arizona State: 17.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 19.4   Arizona State: 9.0




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 58 PPG
Offense on Road: 58
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 9.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 33
Arizona State 27


Total Points: 59

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Texas Tech30Arizona State22Texas TechTexas Tech -4.5Texas Tech58.5Under
201709/16Texas Tech52Arizona State45Texas TechTexas Tech -7Push74.0Over
201609/10Arizona State68Texas Tech55Arizona StateArizona State -5Arizona State80.0Over
201312/30Texas Tech37Arizona State23Texas TechArizona State -17Texas Tech72.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State112 Overs
Texas Tech322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#14) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Great Run Success 67%
Great Pass Success 55%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 15%
Good in Scoring Position 2.8 PPO
Great Run Def Success 4%
Great Pass Def Success 22%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas Tech has lost 3 straight
Texas Tech has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Tech Notes
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech in Undefeated

Texas Tech has Really Good Running Game (#30)
Texas Tech offense is efficent (#6)
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech has a really good defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good run defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good pass defense (#3)
Texas Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#25)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatASUTTU
OverallOver#52#1
OffenseOff#54#7
DefenseDef#66#1
Special TeamsST#13#20
PassingPass#80#17
RushingRush#14#7
Run BlockRBLK#51#49
Pass BlockPBLK#17#13
Route RunningWR Rt#81#3
TacklingTkl#36#2
Run DefenseR Def#57#1
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#2
Coverage DefCov#68#9

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Arizona State last year (30-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TTU | ASU
Depth Chart: TTU | ASU
Rosters: TTU | ASU
(#27) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Arizona State has lost 3 straight
Arizona State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home

Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton578170%92311111.4
Will Hammond172471%188217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Hill2420708.636
Cameron Dickey3817744.720
J'Koby Williams2815825.620
Will Hammond7108215.464
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coy Eakin12245320.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)10194319.450
J'Koby Williams11150113.639
Caleb Douglas6142123.761

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Curry151011
Jacob Rodriguez141011
Ben Roberts130022
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)53350
Romello Height (Tr)73370
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton21002
Ben Roberts130022
John Curry151011

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt508658%527536.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown3529228.375
Sam Leavitt2715735.852
Kanye Udoh (Tr)3213814.321
Kyson Brown98409.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson24314413.136
Chamon Metayer780111.427
Kyson Brown672012.022
Raleek Brown73404.911

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Myles Rowser191001
Martell Hughes140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clayton Smith125310
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Albert Smith III21101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney111103
Montana Warren121013
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)60002