Texas Tech at Oklahoma State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -11 (66.0)
Oklahoma State 41 - Texas Tech: 31 (Big 12)

Red Raiders (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TTU 2nd straight Road Game
TTU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ OKST -3)
Projected Score: TTU: 34 - OKST: 14 (48)
OKST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 324 miles

Cowboys (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (149 - 69)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas Tech vs Murray State	-38.0	64.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Texas Tech vs Houston	-3.5	62.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/17	Texas Tech at NC State	+10.5	55.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/24	Texas Tech vs Texas	+7.0	60.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Texas Tech at Kansas State	+7.5	56.0	L 28 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/8	Texas Tech at Oklahoma State	+11.0	66.0	L 31 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Texas Tech vs West Virginia	-5.0	65.5	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Texas Tech vs Baylor	-1.5	61.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/5	Texas Tech at TCU	+8.5	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	Texas Tech vs Kansas	-3.5	63.5	W 43 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Texas Tech at Iowa State	+3.5	47.5	W 14 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Texas Tech vs Oklahoma	+2.0	65.5	W 51 - 48	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Texas Tech vs Ole Miss	+4.5	73.0	W 42 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Oklahoma State vs Central Michigan	-20.5	58.0	W 58 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	-12.0	58.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-54.5	64.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+2.5	56.0	W 36 - 25	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	-11.0	66.0	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oklahoma State at TCU	+5.0	69.5	L 40 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+6.5	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+2.5	57.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/5	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+3.0	59.5	L 16 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/12	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+2.5	47.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Oklahoma State at Oklahoma	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/26	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-5.5	59.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Tue 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	45.0	L 17 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.29	47%	39.4	48%	3.23	159	47%	257	4.49	.28	44%	11.3	42%	46%	4.6	44.6	1.5	1.2
OKST	.16	42%	14.2	41%	2.72	186	44%	232	3.87	.05	36%	33.3	34%	38%	3.05	55.8	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	39.4	36.6	47%	4.49	1.5	20	416	159	257	4.7	51%	49%	48%	47%	18%	.29
OKST Defense	14	33.3	27.6	36%	3.05	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	34%	38%	23%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	11.3	13.4	44.4%	4.6	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	46%	17%	.28
OKST Offense	14	14.2	17	42.4%	3.87	1.4	24	417	186	232	4.2	54%	46%	41%	44%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	27:58	19.5	43%	48%	5.2	44.6	1.5	1.2	4.7	1.5	2	27.5
Oklahoma State	14	30:52	23.6	43%	54%	6	55.8	1.4	1.5	8.4	4.1	4	31

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	51%	48%	33.5	159.1	4.7	30	.22	3.23	90%	11%	0.99
OKST Defense	14	44%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.35	47%	16%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.96	66%	9%	1.01
OKST Offense	14	54%	41%	44.3	185.5	4.2	27	.04	2.72	65%	11%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	49%	47%	18.8	29.8	257.2	8.6	13.7	18	11	.4	1.6	27%	33%	.37	7%	2
OKST Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.13	1.5	35%	25%	.12	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.7	30%	35%	.48	8%	2.1
OKST Offense	14	46%	44%	19.6	31.9	231.9	7.3	11.9	23	13	.32	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	2

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #41
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #18
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: Oklahoma State: 8.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 8.5 Oklahoma State: 11.3

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 8.15 NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #31
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #22
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas Tech 34
Oklahoma State 14

Projected Total Points: 48

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Texas Tech	42	Oklahoma State	0	Texas Tech -37.5	Texas Tech	56.5	Under
2024	11/23	Oklahoma State	48	Texas Tech	56	Texas Tech -5	Texas Tech	63.5	Over
2022	10/08	Oklahoma State	41	Texas Tech	31	Oklahoma State -11	Texas Tech	66.0	Over
2021	11/20	Texas Tech	0	Oklahoma State	23	Oklahoma State -10	Oklahoma State	55.0	Under
2020	11/28	Oklahoma State	50	Texas Tech	44	Oklahoma State -12	Texas Tech	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Texas Tech	45	Oklahoma State	35	Oklahoma State -9	Texas Tech	62.5	Over
2018	09/22	Oklahoma State	17	Texas Tech	41	Oklahoma State -14.5	Texas Tech	76.0	Under
2017	09/30	Texas Tech	34	Oklahoma State	41	Oklahoma State -10.5	Texas Tech	84.5	Under
2016	11/12	Oklahoma State	45	Texas Tech	44	Oklahoma State -11	Texas Tech	87.5	Over
2015	10/31	Texas Tech	53	Oklahoma State	70	Oklahoma State -1	Oklahoma State	77.5	Over
2014	09/25	Oklahoma State	45	Texas Tech	35	Oklahoma State -14	Texas Tech	0
2013	11/02	Texas Tech	34	Oklahoma State	52	Oklahoma State -2.5	Oklahoma State	0
2012	11/17	Oklahoma State	59	Texas Tech	21
2011	11/12	Texas Tech	6	Oklahoma State	66
2010	10/16	Texas Tech	17	Oklahoma State	34
2009	11/14	Oklahoma State	24	Texas Tech	17
2008	11/08	Texas Tech	56	Oklahoma State	20
2007	09/22	Oklahoma State	49	Texas Tech	45
2006	11/18	Texas Tech	30	Oklahoma State	24
2005	11/12	Oklahoma State	24	Texas Tech	17
2004	11/27	Texas Tech	31	Oklahoma State	15
2003	10/18	Oklahoma State	51	Texas Tech	49
2002	11/09	Texas Tech	49	Oklahoma State	24
2001	11/10	Oklahoma State	30	Texas Tech	49
2000	11/10	Texas Tech	58	Oklahoma State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	15	3	6 Overs
Texas Tech	10	9	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	3 - 9	1 - 5	2 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 16	9 - 3	4 - 2	5 - 1

(#) TTU at (#) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#31
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#89
OffenseOff	#90	#116
DefenseDef	#81	#56
Spec TeamsST	#53	#5
TalentTal	#44	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Tech Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#56
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#45	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#123

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#63
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#79	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#89	#53
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Oklahoma State -11.0 (66.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Texas Tech this year (41-31)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State last year (42-0)
Texas Tech beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (56-48)

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD