BYU at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders(#17)Texas Tech logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 48 - 2 (48 - 2 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
BYU coming off BYE
TTU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -13   (SP+ TTU -7)

Projected Score: BYU: 23 - TTU: 36 (59)
TTU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BYU Travel: 709 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Raiders (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 58 - 9 (58 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-7.549.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-7
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-8.5
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-1.5
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+3
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-9

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-16
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-16
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-6
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-14.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-14

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#38 (.32)47% (45)4850% (40)3.66 (18)31343% (74)1574.5 (46)#2 (-.2)24% (3)1.517% (2)30% (18)0.75 (1)450.52
TTU#6 (.51)60% (6)5867% (1)3.73 (14)20755% (17)3605.42 (15)#1 (-.43)15% (1)9.34% (1)22% (3)2.8 (44)66.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense2484846.7%4.50.523469313157756%44%50%43%8%.32
TTU Defense39.39.314.5%2.81.7 - - - - - 42%58%4%22%21%-.43
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense21.51.524.2%0.752 - - - - - 47%53%17%30%24%-.2
TTU Offense3585859.7%5.421295672073605.843%57%67%55%7%.51

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU234:392346%67%4.5450.528.52.5035.8
Texas Tech329:432956%50%866.711.75.72.7138.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense256% (41)50% (40)44.5312.577 (38).48 (4)3.66 (18)100% (1)6% (23)1.33 (16)
TTU Defense342% (17)4% (1) - - - - -.43 (1)0.53 (2)0% (2)14% (25)1.61 (134)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense247% (45)17% (2) - - - - -.32 (2)0.35 (1)100% (127)21% (2)0.64 (8)
TTU Offense343% (109)67% (1)36207.35.88 (26).37 (18)3.73 (14)71% (67)6% (16)0.78 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense244% (93)43% (74)14.522.5156.5710.83 (90)0 (1).11 (115)1.4 (105)29% (52)27% (100)-.02 (126)2% (10)1.5 (120)
TTU Defense358% (123)22% (3) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.43 (1)1.2 (11)51% (1)11% (3)-.33 (2)7% (48)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense253% (94)30% (18) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.09 (16)0.9 (2)40% (7)12% (6)-.07 (13)3% (124)1.7 (37)
TTU Offense357% (24)55% (17)2636.73609.813.914 (1)2 (60).62 (14)1.5 (81)22% (11)47% (8).87 (5)1% (3)2.2 (34)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 14.25 #41
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
BYU's Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 14.25   Texas Tech: 26.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 12.5   Texas Tech: 19.4




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.54 #14
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


BYU Scoring
Offense: 48 PPG
Offense on Road: 48
Defense: 1.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 1.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 36
BYU 23


Total Points: 59

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 58 PPG
Offense at Home: 58
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21BYU27Texas Tech14BYUTexas Tech -3BYU49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech000 Overs
BYU111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#41) BYU Info
Power Rating: 14.25 #41
Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21
Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Great in Scoring Position 0.75 PPO
Great Run Def Success 17%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

BYU has lost 6 straight
BYU has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

BYU Notes
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team

BYU Highlights
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread
BYU in Undefeated

BYU has Really Good Running Game (#29)
BYU has a top Offensive Line (#18)
BYU offense is good on 3rd downs
BYU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

BYU has a really good defense (#3)
BYU defense does not give up big plays (#1)
BYU defense is really good in red zone (#1)
BYU has a good run defense (#2)
BYU has a good pass defense (#18)
BYU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#1)
BYU Defensive Line is very good (#1)
BYU Front 7 is disruptive (#2)
BYU has a great TO Margin (#11)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)

BYU Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTTUBYU
OverallOver#1#12
OffenseOff#7#15
DefenseDef#1#35
Special TeamsST#20#11
PassingPass#17#61
RushingRush#7#20
Run BlockRBLK#49#9
Pass BlockPBLK#13#34
Route RunningWR Rt#3#59
TacklingTkl#2#34
Run DefenseR Def#1#20
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#44
Coverage DefCov#9#49

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Texas Tech in 2023 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | TTU
Depth Chart: BYU | TTU
Rosters: BYU | TTU
(#14) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 26.54 #14
Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20 #26
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Great Run Success 67%
Great Pass Success 55%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 15%
Good in Scoring Position 2.8 PPO
Great Run Def Success 4%
Great Pass Def Success 22%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas Tech has lost 6 straight
Texas Tech has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Tech Notes
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech in Undefeated
Texas Tech is Undefeated at Home

Texas Tech has Really Good Running Game (#30)
Texas Tech offense is efficent (#6)
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech has a really good defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good run defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good pass defense (#3)
Texas Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#25)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)243863%272307.2
McCae Hillstead4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2624109.349
Sione I Moa106216.219
Cody Hagen257128.557
Jovesa Damuni85006.312
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts688114.741
Carsen Ryan (Tr)583116.625
Cody Hagen235017.524
Jojo Phillips330010.021

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Lutui83000
Isaiah Glasker73120
Jack Kelly63120
Faletau Satuala62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Choe Bryant-Strother21100
Jack Kelly63120
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)51110
Anisi Purcell (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bodie Schoonover20011
Logan Lutui83000
Talan Alfrey31000

Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton578170%92311111.4
Will Hammond172471%188217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Hill2420708.636
Cameron Dickey3817744.720
J'Koby Williams2815825.620
Will Hammond7108215.464
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coy Eakin12245320.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)10194319.450
J'Koby Williams11150113.639
Caleb Douglas6142123.761

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Curry151011
Jacob Rodriguez141011
Ben Roberts130022
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)53350
Romello Height (Tr)73370
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton21002
Ben Roberts130022
John Curry151011