BYU at Texas Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
BYU coming off BYE
TTU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -8.5   (SP+ TTU -0)
Projected Score: BYU: 27 - TTU: 36 (62)
TTU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BYU Travel: 709 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-30
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado+0
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-10
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-6
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+1.5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+8.5
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-35.5
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-41
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-18
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-9
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-11
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State+5
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-16
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State+5.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-8.5
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.247% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.646% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.22844.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22
TTU Defense1334.835.743.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.621.741.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
TTU Offense1337.643.744.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 1.41 #61
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
BYU's Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 1.41   Texas Tech: 14.715

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 11.5   Texas Tech: 11.8




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 14.715 #27
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 21.81 #25
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 9.18 #33
2025 Talent Rating: 868.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 36
BYU 27

Projected Total Points: 62
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21BYU27Texas Tech14BYUTexas Tech -3BYU49.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech000 Overs
BYU111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#61) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.41 #61
Offense Rating: 14.38 #66
Defense Rating: 12.97 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 710.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Def was good LY but replaces a lot, esp DL
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
BYU     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #61
#27
Off #66
#25
Def #59
#33
Talent #69
#25
SP+ #27
#25
SP+ Off #29
#9
SP+ Def #28
#55

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Texas Tech in 2023 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | TTU
Depth Chart: BYU | TTU
Rosters: BYU | TTU
(#27) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.715 #27
Offense Rating: 21.81 #25
Defense Rating: 9.18 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 868.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #26
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Tech Notes
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added
(3/20) WR Douglas/Eakin back. Virgil (M-OH) add
(3/20) OL 2/5 back. Both T's portals (NC/M-OH)


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Kingston1333%331011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Pokaiaua Haunga177604.514
Parker Kingston64307.220
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly50105131
Raider Damuni263100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Raider Damuni263100
Justin Kirkland (Tr)184110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mory Bamba170004
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)165124

Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinten Joyner (Tr)6347837.675
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cam'Ron Valdez94004.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Terrance Carter (Tr)48689414.474
Coy Eakin45605613.470

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
Dontae Balfour (Tr)483009
Skyler Gill-Howard (Tr)487540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)318680
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Skyler Gill-Howard (Tr)487540
Terrell Tilmon84400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)483009
Brice Pollock (Tr)481007
Maurion Horn462014