Texas Tech at West Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#17)Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Field at Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 58 - 9 (58 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
TTU coming off BYE
WVU coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas Tech -14   (SP+ TTU -14)

Projected Score: TTU: 36 - WVU: 22 (57)
TTU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TTU Travel: 1282 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (38 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.058.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-16
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-16
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-6
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-31.5
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-14.5
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-14

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+13.554.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+11
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+2
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+0.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+14

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#6 (.51)60% (6)5867% (1)3.73 (14)20755% (17)3605.42 (15)#1 (-.43)15% (1)9.34% (1)22% (3)2.8 (44)66.711.7
WVU#82 (.16)42% (85)28.744% (78)2.84 (84)21339% (96)2234.33 (51)#17 (-.04)32% (19)14.734% (30)32% (28)2.53 (36)71.32.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense3585859.7%5.421295672073605.843%57%67%55%7%.51
WVU Defense314.713.532.5%2.532 - - - - - 51%48%34%32%20%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense39.39.314.5%2.81.7 - - - - - 42%58%4%22%21%-.43
WVU Offense328.73841.7%4.332.3224362132234.656%44%44%39%15%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech329:432956%50%866.711.75.72.7138.6
West Virginia325:0322.329%50%7.771.32.327.34.3029.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense343% (109)67% (1)36207.35.88 (26).37 (18)3.73 (14)71% (67)6% (16)0.78 (117)
WVU Defense351% (85)34% (30) - - - - -.1 (22)2.32 (30)71% (72)13% (30)0.9 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense342% (17)4% (1) - - - - -.43 (1)0.53 (2)0% (2)14% (25)1.61 (134)
WVU Offense356% (33)44% (78)46.32134.69 (17).12 (77)2.84 (84)71% (67)11% (105)0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense357% (24)55% (17)2636.73609.813.914 (1)2 (60).62 (14)1.5 (81)22% (11)47% (8).87 (5)1% (3)2.2 (34)
WVU Defense348% (53)32% (28) - - - - - - 4 (12).03 (24)1.5 (64)35% (53)27% (56).15 (42)7% (45)1.6 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense358% (123)22% (3) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.43 (1)1.2 (11)51% (1)11% (3)-.33 (2)7% (48)2 (68)
WVU Offense344% (97)39% (96)18.327.7223.38.112.22 (102)3 (92).21 (88)1.4 (110)30% (61)25% (106).19 (101)4% (45)1.7 (104)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 28.68   West Virginia: 9.88

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 19.4   West Virginia: 5.6




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.88 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 58 PPG
Offense on Road: 58
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 9.3

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 36
West Virginia 22


Total Points: 57

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Texas Tech52West Virginia15Texas TechTexas Tech -2.5Texas Tech61.5Over
202309/23West Virginia20Texas Tech13West VirginiaTexas Tech -6West Virginia53.5Under
202210/22Texas Tech48West Virginia10Texas TechTexas Tech -5Texas Tech65.5Under
202110/02West Virginia20Texas Tech23Texas TechWest Virginia -7.5Texas Tech55.0Under
202010/24Texas Tech34West Virginia27Texas TechWest Virginia -2.5Texas Tech54.0Over
201911/09West Virginia17Texas Tech38Texas TechTexas Tech -2.5Texas Tech56.0Under
201809/29Texas Tech34West Virginia42West VirginiaWest Virginia -3.5West Virginia73.0Over
201710/14West Virginia46Texas Tech35West VirginiaWest Virginia -5.5West Virginia77.5Over
201610/15Texas Tech17West Virginia48West VirginiaTexas Tech -1West Virginia82.0Under
201511/07West Virginia31Texas Tech26West VirginiaWest Virginia -7Texas Tech80.0Under
201410/11Texas Tech34West Virginia37West VirginiaWest Virginia -2West Virginia0
201310/19West Virginia27Texas Tech37Texas TechTexas Tech -6.5Texas Tech0
201210/13Texas Tech49West Virginia14Texas Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia654 Overs
Texas Tech776 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 65 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams6 - 77 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#14) Texas Tech Info
Power Rating: 28.68 #14
Offense Rating: 25.75 #18
Defense Rating: -2.93 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 886.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20% #26
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 60%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Great Run Success 67%
Great Pass Success 55%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 15%
Good in Scoring Position 2.8 PPO
Great Run Def Success 4%
Great Pass Def Success 22%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas Tech has lost 8 straight
Texas Tech has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Tech Notes
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 46% comes from portals
(4/19) QB Morton a top B12 QB, missed spring (inj)
(4/4) DE Bailey (Stan)/DT G-Howard (N Ill) huge adds
(4/4) DT Lee Hunter a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/22) Portal TE Carter Jr (ULL) a dynamic weapon
(3/20) RB need much more TY. Joyner (USC) added

Texas Tech Highlights
Texas Tech in Undefeated

Texas Tech has Really Good Running Game (#30)
Texas Tech offense is efficent (#6)
Texas Tech has a top Offensive Line (#14)
Texas Tech offense is good in red zone (#15)
Texas Tech offense is good on 3rd downs
Texas Tech has a really good defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good run defense (#1)
Texas Tech has a good pass defense (#3)
Texas Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
Texas Tech Defensive Line is very good (#2)
Texas Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#25)
Texas Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Texas Tech Deficiencies
Texas Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWVUTTU
OverallOver#62#1
OffenseOff#92#7
DefenseDef#29#1
Special TeamsST#40#20
PassingPass#89#17
RushingRush#75#7
Run BlockRBLK#105#49
Pass BlockPBLK#66#13
Route RunningWR Rt#67#3
TacklingTkl#77#2
Run DefenseR Def#12#1
Pass Rush DefPRush#78#2
Coverage DefCov#45#9

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat West Virginia last year (52-15)
West Virginia beat Texas Tech in 2023 (20-13)
Texas Tech beat West Virginia in 2022 (48-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TTU | WVU
Depth Chart: TTU | WVU
Rosters: TTU | WVU
(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.88 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

West Virginia has lost 8 straight
West Virginia has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia is Undefeated at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
West Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot

West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Texas Tech's OC Mack Leftwich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton578170%92311111.4
Will Hammond172471%188217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Hill2420708.636
Cameron Dickey3817744.720
J'Koby Williams2815825.620
Will Hammond7108215.464
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coy Eakin12245320.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)10194319.450
J'Koby Williams11150113.639
Caleb Douglas6142123.761

View Texas Tech's Full Roster
Texas Tech's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Curry151011
Jacob Rodriguez141011
Ben Roberts130022
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)53350
Romello Height (Tr)73370
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)102141
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton21002
Ben Roberts130022
John Curry151011

West Virginia's OC Rich Rodriguez
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nicco Marchiol517172%594218.4
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)2729%12001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tye Edwards (Tr)2514135.627
Jahiem White2413335.532
Scotty Fox Jr.86518.159
Clay Ash216203.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)12203116.946
Grayson Barnes (Tr)997110.834
Jaden Bray795013.645
Rodney Gallagher87309.120

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Darrian Lewis (Tr)210000
Ben Cutter182011
Kekoura Tarnue151002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson (Tr)134311
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Hammond Russell IV93200
Edward Vesterinen92200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Kekoura Tarnue151002
Eddie Kelly81102