Texas Tech at West Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#5)Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas Tech -24.5 (53.5) (-3000)  Open: -20.5 | 52.5
Texas Tech 49 - West Virginia: 0  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (23 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TTU coming off BYE
WVU coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas Tech -30.5  (SP+ TTU -37)

Projected Score: TTU: 42 - WVU: 11 (53)
TTU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
TTU Travel: 1282 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-54.563.5W 67 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Texas Tech vs Kent State-48.560.0W 62 - 14ON
Sat 9/13 Texas Tech vs Oregon State-24.561.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Texas Tech at Utah+3.558.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas Tech at Houston-13.551.5W 35 - 11UY
Sat 10/11 Texas Tech vs Kansas-13.558.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Texas Tech at Arizona State-7.552.5L 22 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State-37.556.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Texas Tech at Kansas State-7.551.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 Texas Tech vs BYU-13.550.5W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/15 Texas Tech vs UCF-24.548.5W 48 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Texas Tech at West Virginia-24.553.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 12/6 Texas Tech vs BYU-12.550.5W 34 - 7UY
Thu 1/1 Texas Tech vs Oregon-1.550.5L 0 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#22 (.27)44% (49)39.444% (59)2.9 (77)17845% (38)2684.15 (34)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.331% (3)30% (2)2.48 (5)53.112.2
WVU#119 (.07)37% (122)21.839% (114)2.66 (117)16134% (130)1893.53 (85)#64 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (34)43% (81)3.9 (94)561.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1439.436.644.2%4.151224461782684.847%52%44%45%15%.27
WVU Defense1230.828.240.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1411.313.430.1%2.482.2 - - - - - 41%57%31%30%24%-.09
WVU Offense1221.822.736.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1428:352250%58%6.453.112.26.92.8237
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1447% (93)44% (59)37178.44.830 (26).19 (35)2.9 (77)82% (6)9% (45)1.07 (31)
WVU Defense1249% (58)39% (34) - - - - .02 (26)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (14)0.95 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1441% (1)31% (3) - - - - -.12 (1)2.01 (1)62% (11)15% (4)0.88 (27)
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (114)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (117)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1452% (40)45% (38)21.432.4267.98.312.533 (5)8 (88).38 (29)1.6 (38)33% (94)33% (33).42 (29)6% (78)2.2 (24)
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (81) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (105)1.7 (125)34% (28)33% (113).42 (122)6% (70)2.1 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1457% (135)30% (2) - - - - - - 16 (22)-.02 (3)1.4 (9)40% (1)21% (2).06 (4)9% (8)1.8 (16)
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (98)1.7 (23)30% (54)26% (114).21 (98)6% (59)2.1 (51)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 26.25  #9
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.67  #36
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -11.15  #3
2025 Talent Rating: 886.00  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 20%  #26
Texas Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.9  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #2
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 26.25   West Virginia: -2.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 29.9   West Virginia: -7.2




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -2.49  #81
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.00  #51
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #90

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 42
West Virginia 11


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 33
West Virginia 20

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Texas Tech 34
West Virginia 18

Total Points: 52
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29West Virginia0Texas Tech49Texas Tech -24.5Texas Tech53.5Under
202411/30Texas Tech52West Virginia15Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech61.5Over
202309/23West Virginia20Texas Tech13Texas Tech -6West Virginia53.5Under
202210/22Texas Tech48West Virginia10Texas Tech -5Texas Tech65.5Under
202110/02West Virginia20Texas Tech23West Virginia -7.5Texas Tech55.0Under
202010/24Texas Tech34West Virginia27West Virginia -2.5Texas Tech54.0Over
201911/09West Virginia17Texas Tech38Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech56.0Under
201809/29Texas Tech34West Virginia42West Virginia -3.5West Virginia73.0Over
201710/14West Virginia46Texas Tech35West Virginia -5.5West Virginia77.5Over
201610/15Texas Tech17West Virginia48Texas Tech -1West Virginia82.0Under
201511/07West Virginia31Texas Tech26West Virginia -7Texas Tech80.0Under
201410/11Texas Tech34West Virginia37West Virginia -2West Virginia0
201310/19West Virginia27Texas Tech37Texas Tech -6.5Texas Tech0
201210/13Texas Tech49West Virginia14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia654 Overs
Texas Tech887 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 83 - 32 - 5
Road Teams7 - 78 - 55 - 23 - 3

(#9) TTU at (#81) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUWVU
Power RatePwr #9 #81
SP+SP+ #3 #93
Perf GradeGrade #3 #130
OffenseOff #12 #132
DefenseDef #1 #121
Spec TeamsST #3 #59
TalentTal #28 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #56
Texas Tech Notes
(10/27) QB Morton cleared to play vs Kansas State
(10/26) QB2 Hammond out for the season (tore ACL)
(10/22) DT Gil Howard out until postseason?
(10/18) Pass Def torched by ASU, Off only 276 yds w/o Morton
(10/18) QB Hammond was bad, Run Off bad vs ASU.
(9/23) QB Will Hammond looked better than Morton
(9/22) Has 3 guys in top 15 in QB hurries thru 4 games
(9/20) Class of B12, killed Utah, Def best in conference
(8/18) #1 RB Q Joyner torn ACL, out for the season
(6/14) WR #1 Douglas, 2 Eakin, 3 Virgil missed spring
(5/23) T Tech was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/23) DL starters could dominate B12, depth good
Texas Tech Injury Report
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #121
SuccessSuc #49 #54
ExplosiveExp #18 #125
PPAPPA #22 #64
PowerPwr #36 #51
SP+SP+ #2 #90
Pts POPPO #34 #94
HavocHav #58 #28
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #13 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #34
Run ExplRExp #31 #67
PPAExp #35 #26
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #8
Stuff RateStuff #53 #17
TackleTak -  #119
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #24 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #81
Pass ExplPExl #38 #125
PPAExp #29 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #22 #102
F7 HavocF7 #45 #14
DB HavocDB #78 #70
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #132 #1
SuccessSuc #122 #1
ExplosiveExp #81 #14
PPAPPA #119 #1
PowerPwr #106 #3
SP+SP+ #102 #4
Pts POPPO #85 #5
HavocHav #79 #2
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #132 #1
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #3
Run ExplRExp #98 #27
PPAExp #126 #1
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #1
Stuff RateStuff #106 #11
TackleTak -  #2
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #127 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #2
Pass ExplPExl #23 #9
PPAExp #98 #3
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #2
F7 HavocF7 #103 #4
DB HavocDB #59 #8
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 36°
Rematch from Week 14
Texas Tech 24.5 (53.5)
Texas Tech won at West Virginia this year (49-0)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat West Virginia last year (52-15)
West Virginia beat Texas Tech in 2023 (20-13)
Texas Tech beat West Virginia in 2022 (48-10)

  
TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton20130167%26432248.8
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2001109145.571
J'Koby Williams14178565.643
Will Hammond4329957.064
Adam Hill4524005.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas53830715.761
Reginald Virgil55676612.342
Coy Eakin48642613.442
Terrance Carter (Tr)46552512.050

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Ben Roberts723035
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
John Curry684124
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey (Tr)421814101
Romello Height (Tr)32109131
Anthony Holmes Jr. (Tr)3710574
Lee Hunter (Tr)359330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez11110116
Cole Wisniewski (Tr)695106
Dontae Balfour (Tr)231005

WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004