Kansas State at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -1 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kansas State 38 - Texas Tech: 21 (Big 12)

Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU 2nd straight Road Game
TTU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -7.5 (SP+ KSU -11.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 34 - TTU: 27 (64)
TTU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
KSU Travel: 486 miles

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
TTU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Kansas State vs Troy	-15.0	50.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas State at Missouri	-3.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas State vs UCF	-6.0	53.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	-11.5	53.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/14	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	57.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Kansas State vs TCU	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Kansas State vs Houston	-17.5	61.0	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas State at Texas	+4.0	49.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas State vs Baylor	-20.5	55.5	W 59 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Kansas State at Kansas	-7.0	60.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kansas State vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Kansas State vs NC State	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	.25	43%	30.8	44%	3.19	208	42%	211	4.18	.14	39%	23.4	42%	38%	3.58	42.9	0.9	2.1
TTU	.21	42%	37.6	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	34.8	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	14	30.8	26.5	43%	4.18	0.9	20	419	208	211	5.1	57%	43%	44%	42%	12%	.25
TTU Defense	13	34.8	35.7	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	14	23.4	27.3	39.3%	3.58	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	42%	38%	15%	.14
TTU Offense	13	37.6	43.7	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	14	31:43	20.1	39%	59%	5.3	42.9	0.9	2.1	4.9	2.1	3	31.3
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	14	57%	44%	40.6	208.3	5.1	32	.21	3.19	66%	8%	1.1
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	14	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	60%	9%	0.95
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	14	43%	42%	17.3	27.7	210.5	7.6	12.2	21	6	.29	1.7	30%	34%	.51	4%	2.2
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	14	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.23	1.7	32%	27%	.15	6%	2
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38 Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4 Texas Tech: 3.7

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 34
Texas Tech 27

Projected Total Points: 64

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Texas Tech	21	Kansas State	38	Kansas State	Texas Tech -1	Kansas State	57.0	Over
2022	10/01	Kansas State	37	Texas Tech	28	Kansas State	Kansas State -7.5	Kansas State	56.0	Over
2021	10/23	Texas Tech	24	Kansas State	25	Kansas State	Kansas State -1	NA	60.5	Under
2020	10/03	Kansas State	31	Texas Tech	21	Kansas State	Texas Tech -1.5	Kansas State	61.5	Under
2019	11/23	Texas Tech	27	Kansas State	30	Kansas State	Texas Tech -1	Kansas State	58.0	Under
2018	11/17	Kansas State	21	Texas Tech	6	Kansas State	Texas Tech -6.5	Kansas State	55.0	Under
2017	11/04	Texas Tech	35	Kansas State	42	Kansas State	Texas Tech -3.5	Kansas State	63.0	Over
2016	10/08	Kansas State	44	Texas Tech	38	Kansas State	Kansas State -9	Texas Tech	67.5	Over
2015	11/14	Texas Tech	59	Kansas State	44	Texas Tech	Texas Tech -5.5	Texas Tech	67.0	Over
2014	10/04	Kansas State	45	Texas Tech	13	Kansas State	Kansas State -12.5	Kansas State	0
2013	11/09	Texas Tech	26	Kansas State	49	Kansas State	Texas Tech -4	Kansas State	0
2012	10/27	Kansas State	55	Texas Tech	24	Kansas State
2011	10/15	Texas Tech	34	Kansas State	41	Kansas State
2009	10/10	Texas Tech	66	Kansas State	14	Texas Tech
2008	10/04	Kansas State	28	Texas Tech	58	Texas Tech
2005	10/15	Texas Tech	59	Kansas State	20	Texas Tech
2004	10/30	Kansas State	25	Texas Tech	35	Texas Tech
2001	10/13	Texas Tech	38	Kansas State	19	Texas Tech
2000	10/20	Kansas State	28	Texas Tech	23	Kansas State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas Tech	6	2	5 Overs
Kansas State	13	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 5	3 - 5	2 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 11	5 - 5	0 - 2	5 - 3

(#16) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.38 #16
Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Team Profile

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Kansas State Ratings Matchup Texas Tech

Power #16

#49

Off #16

#81

Def #22

#46

Talent #44

#49

SP+ #15

#52

SP+ Off #8

#53

SP+ Def #39

#61

Rematch from Week 7
Texas Tech -1.0 (57.0)
Kansas State won at Texas Tech this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Texas Tech in 2023 (38-21)
Kansas State beat Texas Tech in 2022 (37-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: KSU | TTU
Depth Chart: KSU | TTU
Rosters: KSU | TTU

(#49) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.65 #49
Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70

Team Profile

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Kansas State's OC Collin Klein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	205	1343	7	6.6	66
Shane Porter	97	648	5	6.7	79
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Will Howard	105	226	7	2.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	15	268	4	17.9	59
DJ Giddens	21	258	1	12.3	53
Jadon Jackson	15	207	1	13.8	60
Shane Porter	16	91	0	5.7	13

View Kansas State's Full Roster

Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Sigle (Tr)	60	7	0	0	3
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1
Kobe Savage	57	3	0	0	1
Jacob Parrish	50	3	0	4	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Mott	45	11	8	5	0
Nate Matlack	23	7	5	8	3
Jevon Banks (Tr)	21	5	2	4	2
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III	42	1	0	10
Jacob Parrish	50	3	4	7
Keenan Garber	29	1	0	5

Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Tahj Brooks	2	3	67%	38	0	0	12.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	286	1505	17	5.3	40
Nehemiah Martinez	19	185	0	9.7	35
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Tyler King	13	100	2	7.7	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nehemiah Martinez	76	1022	10	13.4	75
Myles Price	38	466	3	12.3	41
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36
Loic Fouonji	12	187	0	15.6	40

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jesiah Pierre	28	3	0	0	1
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	0	0	3
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steve Linton (Tr)	26	7	3	3	0
Harvey Dyson III	10	3	2	4	1
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Joseph Plunk	3	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Watts	20	1	4
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	60	3	3
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	27	0	3