Kansas State at Texas Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders  Texas Tech logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -1 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kansas State 38 - Texas Tech: 21  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU 2nd straight Road Game
TTU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -7.5  (SP+ KSU -11.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 32 - TTU: 24 (56)
TTU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
KSU Travel: 486 miles
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU.2543%29.444%3.1920842%2114.18.1439%26.742%38%3.5842.90.92.1
TTU.2142%39.447%3.2715938%3023.92.1640%11.342%39%3.5144.31.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1429.430.843%4.180.9204192082115.157%43%44%42%12%.25
TTU Defense1311.38.740.1%3.511.7 - - - - - 51%48%42%39%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1426.726.439.3%3.582.1 - - - - - 48%50%42%38%15%.14
TTU Offense1339.447.941.8%3.921.927462159302444%56%47%38%17%.21

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1431:4320.139%59%5.342.90.92.14.92.1331.3
Texas Tech1329:5926.536%64%5.744.31.91.76.32.2130.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1457%44%40.6208.35.132.213.1966%8%1.1
TTU Defense1351%42% - - - - .132.8864%10%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1448%42% - - - - .143.2160%9%0.95
TTU Offense1344%47%40.4159.5428.293.2778%10%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1443%42%17.327.7210.57.612.2216.291.730%34%.514%2.2
TTU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 9.231.733%33%.395%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1450%38% - - - - - - 16.231.732%27%.156%2
TTU Offense1356%38%26.843.8302.16.911.32618.161.533%32%.47%1.9

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38  #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70  #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11  #22
2023 Talent Rating: 616.00  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38   Texas Tech: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4   Texas Tech: 3.7




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 5.65  #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06  #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91  #46
2023 Talent Rating: 694.26  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 32
Texas Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 56
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Kansas State20Texas Tech43Texas Tech -7.5Texas Tech51.5Over
202310/14Texas Tech21Kansas State38Texas Tech -1Kansas State57.0Over
202210/01Kansas State37Texas Tech28Kansas State -7.5Kansas State56.0Over
202110/23Texas Tech24Kansas State25Kansas State -1NA60.5Under
202010/03Kansas State31Texas Tech21Texas Tech -1.5Kansas State61.5Under
201911/23Texas Tech27Kansas State30Texas Tech -1Kansas State58.0Under
201811/17Kansas State21Texas Tech6Texas Tech -6.5Kansas State55.0Under
201711/04Texas Tech35Kansas State42Texas Tech -3.5Kansas State63.0Over
201610/08Kansas State44Texas Tech38Kansas State -9Texas Tech67.5Over
201511/14Texas Tech59Kansas State44Texas Tech -5.5Texas Tech67.0Over
201410/04Kansas State45Texas Tech13Kansas State -12.5Kansas State0
201311/09Texas Tech26Kansas State49Texas Tech -4Kansas State0
201210/27Kansas State55Texas Tech24
201110/15Texas Tech34Kansas State41
200910/10Texas Tech66Kansas State14
200810/04Kansas State28Texas Tech58
200510/15Texas Tech59Kansas State20
200410/30Kansas State25Texas Tech35
200110/13Texas Tech38Kansas State19
200010/20Kansas State28Texas Tech23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech736 Overs
Kansas State1384 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 95 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams9 - 116 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#16) KSU at (#49) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #16 #49
SP+SP+ #15 #52
Perf GradeGrade #32 #47
OffenseOff #23 #56
DefenseDef #68 #55
Spec TeamsST #69 #31
TalentTal #68 #40
Blue ChipsBC% #61 #43
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #16 #46
SP+SP+ #8 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #15 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #12
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #61 #52
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCatTTU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #81 #22
SP+SP+ #53 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #20 #95
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #123
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatTTU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #114 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Texas Tech -1.0 (57.0)
Kansas State won at Texas Tech this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kansas State last year (43-20)
Kansas State beat Texas Tech in 2023 (38-21)

  
KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007