Texas Tech at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#17)Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -6 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 20 - Texas Tech: 13  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
WVU 3rd straight Home Game
WVU is playing their 4th straight game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -4  (SP+ WVU -2)

Projected Score: TTU: 25 - WVU: 29 (54)
TTU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TTU Travel: 1282 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38UN
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23UN
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57ON
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)27.447% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)2642% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
WVU#35 (.27)45% (37)31.547% (29)3.24 (42)22943% (60)2064.04 (54)#78 (.19)42% (61)26.244% (76)40% (47)4.16 (106)46.411.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1327.420.342.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15
WVU Defense1326.218.741.5%4.161.2 - - - - - 47%52%44%40%19%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense132627.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
WVU Offense1331.534.345.1%4.041224352292065.362%38%47%43%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
West Virginia1332:3022.240%53%5.146.411.25.62131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)
WVU Defense1347% (31)44% (76) - - - - .16 (86)3.08 (63)76% (91)11% (49)1.02 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
WVU Offense1362% (6)47% (29)43.5228.95.332 (10).26 (15)3.24 (42)67% (108)9% (41)1.13 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)
WVU Defense1352% (109)40% (47) - - - - - - 11 (53).26 (56)1.6 (82)32% (57)30% (71).36 (89)8% (10)2.1 (73)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
WVU Offense1338% (127)43% (60)13.725.5205.78.11518 (81)7 (21).32 (55)1.7 (38)31% (51)36% (20).47 (25)5% (47)2 (75)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.60  #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06  #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91  #46
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.60   West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 3.7   West Virginia: 5.4




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935  #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21  #88
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.7

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 29
Texas Tech 25


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 31
Texas Tech 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
West Virginia 30
Texas Tech 23

Total Points: 53
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29West Virginia0Texas Tech49Texas Tech -24.5Texas Tech53.5Under
202411/30Texas Tech52West Virginia15Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech61.5Over
202309/23West Virginia20Texas Tech13Texas Tech -6West Virginia53.5Under
202210/22Texas Tech48West Virginia10Texas Tech -5Texas Tech65.5Under
202110/02West Virginia20Texas Tech23West Virginia -7.5Texas Tech55.0Under
202010/24Texas Tech34West Virginia27West Virginia -2.5Texas Tech54.0Over
201911/09West Virginia17Texas Tech38Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech56.0Under
201809/29Texas Tech34West Virginia42West Virginia -3.5West Virginia73.0Over
201710/14West Virginia46Texas Tech35West Virginia -5.5West Virginia77.5Over
201610/15Texas Tech17West Virginia48Texas Tech -1West Virginia82.0Under
201511/07West Virginia31Texas Tech26West Virginia -7Texas Tech80.0Under
201410/11Texas Tech34West Virginia37West Virginia -2West Virginia0
201310/19West Virginia27Texas Tech37Texas Tech -6.5Texas Tech0
201210/13Texas Tech49West Virginia14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia654 Overs
Texas Tech887 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 83 - 32 - 5
Road Teams7 - 78 - 55 - 23 - 3

(#49) TTU at (#45) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUWVU
Power RatePwr #49 #45
SP+SP+ #52 #44
Perf GradeGrade #47 #46
OffenseOff #56 #31
DefenseDef #55 #85
Spec TeamsST #31 #127
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #43
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Perf GradePerf #56 #85
SuccessSuc #59 #61
ExplosiveExp #107 #91
PPAPPA #92 #78
PowerPwr #81 #88
SP+SP+ #53 #63
Pts POPPO #70 #106
HavocHav #52 #18
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #20 #61
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #76
Run ExplRExp #69 #83
PPAExp #32 #86
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLY #17 #63
Stuff RateStuff #43 #63
TackleTak -  #70
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #114 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #47
Pass ExplPExl #116 #82
PPAExp #111 #56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #85
F7 HavocF7 #12 #49
DB HavocDB #118 #10
West Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatWVU OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #31 #55
SuccessSuc #37 #54
ExplosiveExp #52 #40
PPAPPA #35 #51
PowerPwr #32 #46
SP+SP+ #38 #61
Pts POPPO #54 #42
HavocHav #37 #91
West Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #6 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #29 #63
Run ExplRExp #16 #74
PPAExp #15 #73
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #42 #76
Stuff RateStuff #72 #73
TackleTak -  #12
West Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatWVU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #28 #52
Pass SuccessPSuc #60 #51
Pass ExplPExl #38 #22
PPAExp #55 #37
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #75
F7 HavocF7 #41 #101
DB HavocDB #47 #71
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 57° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 4
Texas Tech 6.0 (53.5)
West Virginia won vs Texas Tech this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat West Virginia last year (52-15)
West Virginia beat Texas Tech in 2023 (20-13)
Texas Tech beat West Virginia in 2022 (48-10)

  
TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton18229462%17541586.0
Tyler Shough6711160%746746.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2911545105.346
Cam'Ron Valdez5128015.554
Tyler Shough4814923.158
Jake Strong661010.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier White39556114.372
Jerand Bradley36431412.034
Coy Eakin36416211.643
Myles Price4341059.533

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts1057130
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)775025
Dadrion Taylor722127
Jesiah Pierre662110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Bradford Jr.426410
Jaylon Hutchings427321
Amier Washington44300
Charles Esters III255321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)383008
Dadrion Taylor722127
Malik Dunlap361007

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005