Sam Houston at Texas Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX

 
Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -51.5  (SP+ TTU -55)
Projected Score: SHSU: 1 - TTU: 53 (54)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
SHSU Travel: 420 miles
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sam Houston's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Sam Houston at Texas Tech+51.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-50
Sat 9/12 Texas Tech at Oregon State-39.5
Sat 9/19 Texas Tech vs Houston-22.5
Sat 9/26 Texas Tech vs Sam Houston-51.5
Sat 10/3 Texas Tech at Colorado-32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-25.5
Sat 10/24 Texas Tech at Cincinnati-20.5
Sat 10/31 Texas Tech vs Arizona-21
Sat 11/7 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-31.5
Sat 11/14 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-32.5
Sat 11/21 Texas Tech at Baylor-22
Sat 11/28 Texas Tech vs TCU-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#131 (.01)37% (120)17.840% (104)2.67 (117)13335% (127)1842.79 (129)#109 (.22)48% (129)37.847% (115)50% (134)3.85 (86)59.41.31.5
TTU#28 (.24)43% (61)39.443% (72)2.87 (80)18443% (51)2784 (41)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.329% (1)31% (3)2.41 (2)55.71.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1217.815.136.9%2.791.3173171331844.343%55%40%35%20%.01
TTU Defense1411.38.730.1%2.412.3 - - - - - 43%56%29%31%23%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1237.83947.8%3.851.5 - - - - - 51%47%47%50%14%.22
TTU Offense1439.447.942.8%41.3234621842784.746%52%43%43%15%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1228:3016.722%30%6.459.41.31.55.31.8326.8
Texas Tech1430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.9236
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (116)40% (104)30.8132.84.310 (122).07 (94)2.67 (117)66% (104)13% (128)1.09 (20)
TTU Defense1443% (5)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1251% (79)47% (115) - - - - .15 (95)2.89 (72)68% (44)10% (62)0.96 (72)
TTU Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (19)35% (127)17.832.41845.710.412 (103)10 (60).01 (133)1.4 (130)35% (123)22% (134).01 (135)7% (105)2 (63)
TTU Defense1456% (132)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1247% (58)50% (134) - - - - - - 8 (100).36 (116)1.5 (51)27% (130)35% (125).17 (21)5% (114)1.8 (12)
TTU Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -17.12  #126
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 2.92  #117
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 25.04  #121
2026 Talent Rating: 446.00  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Sam Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Sam Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.8  #135
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #135

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 445.2
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -17.12   Texas Tech: 29.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -27.8   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 29.225  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70  #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15  #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20  #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.1
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 53
Sam Houston 1

Projected Total Points: 54
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/05Texas Tech59Sam Houston45
200509/17Texas Tech80Sam Houston21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech200 Overs
Sam Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#126) SHSU at (#6) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSHSUTTU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #126 #6
SP+SP+ #135 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #120 #19
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #26
Sam Houston on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #120 #1
ExplosiveExp #69 #19
PPAPPA #131 #1
PowerPwr #117 #4
SP+SP+ #129 #3
Pts POPPO #129 #2
HavocHav #132 #1
Sam Houston Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #1
Run ExplRExp #20 #17
PPAExp #94 #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #117 #1
Stuff RateStuff #131 #13
TackleTak - NR
Sam Houston Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #3
Pass ExplPExl #130 #9
PPAExp #133 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #128 #4
DB HavocDB #105 #10
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffSHSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #61 #129
ExplosiveExp #21 #59
PPAPPA #28 #109
PowerPwr #14 #121
SP+SP+ #7 #135
Pts POPPO #41 #86
HavocHav #61 #100
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffSHSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #115
Run ExplRExp #21 #72
PPAExp #41 #95
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #80 #72
Stuff RateStuff #59 #97
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #134
Pass ExplPExl #53 #51
PPAExp #38 #116
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #62
DB HavocDB #86 #114
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SHSU's OC Zack Patterson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Landyn Locke7114150%765445.4
DJ Bailey2367%420014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landan Brown8448755.863
Jerrian Parker5000.02
Shane Porter2-10-0.54
Grady O'Neill1-50-5.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Reed30460515.354
Grady O'Neill38392110.329
Landan Brown3723706.424
Tim Burns Jr.12228119.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Bailey451102
Dylan Frazier414222
Dean Ford326220
Chauncey Chidi314300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Chidi314300
Dean Ford326220
Dylan Frazier414222
Darien Jackson112101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Bailey451102
Dylan Frazier414222
Ca'lub Holloway291152

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)20633562%27862658.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10058095.841
Will Hammond4329957.064
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)471119923.887
Kenny Johnson (Tr)47658514.042
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
John Curry734124
Austin Romaine (Tr)667172
Brenden Jordan592001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick (Tr)57128124
Trey White (Tr)47117121
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
Anthony Holmes Jr.4010574
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
Brice Pollock474015
Amier Boyd-Matthews262005