Texas Tech at Oregon State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR

 
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Texas Tech -39.5  (SP+ TTU -43.5)
Projected Score: TTU: 44 - ORST: 5 (49)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
TTU Travel: 1369 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-50
Sat 9/12 Texas Tech at Oregon State-39.5
Sat 9/19 Texas Tech vs Houston-22.5
Sat 9/26 Texas Tech vs Sam Houston-51.5
Sat 10/3 Texas Tech at Colorado-32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-25.5
Sat 10/24 Texas Tech at Cincinnati-20.5
Sat 10/31 Texas Tech vs Arizona-21
Sat 11/7 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-31.5
Sat 11/14 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-32.5
Sat 11/21 Texas Tech at Baylor-22
Sat 11/28 Texas Tech vs TCU-21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon State at Houston+24.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon State vs Texas Tech+39.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#28 (.24)43% (61)39.443% (72)2.87 (80)18443% (51)2784 (41)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.329% (1)31% (3)2.41 (2)55.71.32.3
ORST#124 (.05)42% (68)17.644% (67)2.82 (89)12742% (68)2252.89 (128)#77 (.18)38% (25)29.441% (51)36% (18)3.41 (46)49.91.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1439.436.642.8%41.3234621842784.746%52%43%43%15%.24
ORST Defense1229.425.338.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1411.313.430.1%2.412.3 - - - - - 43%56%29%31%23%-.09
ORST Offense1217.621.742.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.9236
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)
ORST Defense1249% (59)41% (51) - - - - .07 (52)2.6 (17)68% (43)10% (57)0.94 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1443% (5)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
ORST Offense1246% (98)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (89)77% (30)9% (61)0.73 (135)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)
ORST Defense1249% (81)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (98)2 (136)33% (44)29% (69).44 (126)7% (15)2.5 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1456% (132)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
ORST Offense1252% (36)42% (68)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (68)28% (96).05 (131)7% (110)1.7 (134)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 25.85  #6
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 20.70  #14
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: -0.15  #4
2026 Talent Rating: 960.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 20%  #26
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 25.85   Oregon State: -12.715

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 27.6   Oregon State: -15.9




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -12.715  #116
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.49  #129
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.02  #84
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 619.25
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 44
Oregon State 5

Projected Total Points: 49
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas Tech45Oregon State7Texas Tech -24.5Texas Tech61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State000 Overs
Texas Tech111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#6) TTU at (#116) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #6 #116
SP+SP+ #3 #126
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #19 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #65
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #61 #25
ExplosiveExp #21 #133
PPAPPA #28 #77
PowerPwr #14 #84
SP+SP+ #7 #96
Pts POPPO #41 #46
HavocHav #61 #36
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #51
Run ExplRExp #21 #57
PPAExp #41 #52
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #80 #17
Stuff RateStuff #59 #22
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #18
Pass ExplPExl #53 #136
PPAExp #38 #98
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #57
DB HavocDB #86 #15
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #68 #1
ExplosiveExp #135 #19
PPAPPA #124 #1
PowerPwr #129 #4
SP+SP+ #125 #3
Pts POPPO #128 #2
HavocHav #89 #1
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #1
Run ExplRExp #135 #17
PPAExp #120 #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #89 #1
Stuff RateStuff #24 #13
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #3
Pass ExplPExl #133 #9
PPAExp #123 #3
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #4
DB HavocDB #110 #10
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Oregon State last year (45-7)

  
TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)20633562%27862658.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10058095.841
Will Hammond4329957.064
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)471119923.887
Kenny Johnson (Tr)47658514.042
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
John Curry734124
Austin Romaine (Tr)667172
Brenden Jordan592001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick (Tr)57128124
Trey White (Tr)47117121
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
Anthony Holmes Jr.4010574
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
Brice Pollock474015
Amier Boyd-Matthews262005

ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy16027658%1802986.5
Brady Jones (Tr)194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
AJ Newberry (Tr)185733.216
Kourdey Glass2703.57
Jake Reichle3612.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
D.C. Temple1714328.419
Eddie Freauff12139111.630
Karson Boschma489122.328
Malachi Durant32719.011

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Sullivan727151
Takari Hickle385250
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Tyree Blake292001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Takari Hickle385250
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaylen Hill21101
Malachi Durant10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Trey Glasper232005
Mason White281002