Texas Tech at Kansas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Kansas -3.5 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 16 - Kansas: 13 (Big 12)

Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#72)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Kansas -8 (SP+ KU -6)
Projected Score: TTU: 25 - KU: 33 (57)
KU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 523 miles

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TTU Players
KU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas Tech at Wyoming	-13.0	50.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/9	Texas Tech vs Oregon	+4.5	70.0	L 30 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/16	Texas Tech vs Tarleton State	-36.5	75.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas Tech at West Virginia	-6.0	53.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Texas Tech vs Houston	-8.5	52.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas Tech at Baylor	-2.5	59.5	W 39 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Texas Tech vs Kansas State	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/21	Texas Tech at BYU	-3.0	49.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	Texas Tech vs TCU	-2.5	59.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas Tech at Kansas	+3.5	61.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas Tech vs UCF	-2.0	59.0	W 24 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/24	Texas Tech at Texas	+16.5	53.5	L 7 - 57	O	N
Sat 12/16	Texas Tech vs California	-3.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU	.21	42%	39.4	47%	3.27	159	38%	302	3.92	.16	40%	11.3	42%	39%	3.51	44.3	1.9	1.7
KU	.34	45%	28.1	42%	3.18	184	49%	254	4.46	.28	47%	26.8	50%	45%	4.01	46.5	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TTU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Offense	13	39.4	36.6	41.8%	3.92	1.9	27	462	159	302	4	44%	56%	47%	38%	17%	.21
KU Defense	13	26.8	22.1	47.4%	4.01	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	50%	45%	12%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TTU Defense	13	11.3	13.4	40.1%	3.51	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	39%	15%	.16
KU Offense	13	28.1	32.6	44.8%	4.46	1.5	20	438	184	254	5.4	52%	48%	42%	49%	13%	.34

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas Tech	13	29:59	26.5	36%	64%	5.7	44.3	1.9	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	30.9
Kansas	13	28:50	20.3	51%	47%	5.3	46.5	1.5	1.8	4.4	1.8	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Offense	13	44%	47%	40.4	159.5	4	28	.29	3.27	78%	10%	1.11
KU Defense	13	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.49	77%	7%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TTU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.88	64%	10%	1.06
KU Offense	13	52%	42%	34.3	183.5	5.4	29	.2	3.18	74%	8%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Offense	13	56%	38%	26.8	43.8	302.1	6.9	11.3	26	18	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.4	7%	1.9
KU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.35	1.5	29%	37%	.47	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TTU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.7	33%	33%	.39	5%	2
KU Offense	13	48%	49%	18.6	28.5	254.4	8.9	13.7	32	8	.53	1.8	31%	39%	.6	5%	2.1

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.60 #49
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 15.06 #81
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 7.91 #46
2023 Talent Rating: 694.26 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.30 - 6.70
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.60 Kansas: 11.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 3.7 Kansas: 9.3

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 11.025 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 33
Texas Tech 25

Projected Total Points: 57

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Texas Tech	42	Kansas	17	Texas Tech -13.5	Texas Tech	58.5	Over
2023	11/11	Kansas	13	Texas Tech	16	Kansas -3.5	Texas Tech	61.5	Under
2022	11/12	Texas Tech	43	Kansas	28	Texas Tech -3.5	Texas Tech	63.5	Over
2021	10/16	Kansas	14	Texas Tech	41	Texas Tech -18.5	Texas Tech	67.5	Under
2020	12/05	Texas Tech	16	Kansas	13	Texas Tech -27	Kansas	63.5	Under
2019	10/26	Kansas	37	Texas Tech	34	Texas Tech -6	Kansas	65.5	Over
2018	10/20	Texas Tech	48	Kansas	16	Texas Tech -17.5	Texas Tech	59.0	Over
2017	10/07	Kansas	19	Texas Tech	65	Texas Tech -14.5	Texas Tech	76.0	Over
2016	09/29	Texas Tech	55	Kansas	19	Texas Tech -27	Texas Tech	78.5	Under
2015	10/17	Kansas	20	Texas Tech	30	Texas Tech -27	Kansas	74.0	Under
2014	10/18	Texas Tech	34	Kansas	21	Texas Tech -13.5	Kansas	0
2013	10/05	Kansas	16	Texas Tech	54	Texas Tech -16	Texas Tech	0
2012	11/10	Texas Tech	41	Kansas	34
2011	10/01	Kansas	34	Texas Tech	45
2009	10/31	Texas Tech	42	Kansas	21
2008	10/25	Kansas	21	Texas Tech	63
2005	10/01	Texas Tech	30	Kansas	17
2004	09/25	Kansas	30	Texas Tech	31
2001	10/06	Texas Tech	31	Kansas	34
2000	10/27	Kansas	39	Texas Tech	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	2	4	5 Overs
Texas Tech	18	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 10	6 - 6	4 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 10	6 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 4

(#49) TTU at (#27) KU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TTU	KU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#49	#27
SP+SP+	#52	#31
Perf GradeGrade	#47	#16
OffenseOff	#56	#9
DefenseDef	#55	#54
Spec TeamsST	#31	#10
TalentTal	#40	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#69

Texas Tech Injury Report

Kansas Injury Report

Texas Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	TTU Off	KU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#81	#98
SP+SP+	#53	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#20	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#82

Texas Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	TTU Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#6	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	TTU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#55
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#8	#46
SP+SP+	#22	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	TTU Def
Run GameRun	#48	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#12

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	TTU Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#21	#75
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Kansas -3.5 (61.5)
Texas Tech won at Kansas this year (16-13)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Kansas last year (42-17)
Texas Tech beat Kansas in 2023 (16-13)

TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Behren Morton	182	294	62%	1754	15	8	6.0
Tyler Shough	67	111	60%	746	7	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Brooks	291	1545	10	5.3	46
Cam'Ron Valdez	51	280	1	5.5	54
Tyler Shough	48	149	2	3.1	58
Jake Strong	6	61	0	10.2	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier White	39	556	1	14.3	72
Jerand Bradley	36	431	4	12.0	34
Coy Eakin	36	416	2	11.6	43
Myles Price	43	410	5	9.5	33

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Roberts	105	7	1	3	0
C.J. Baskerville (Tr)	77	5	0	2	5
Dadrion Taylor	72	2	1	2	7
Jesiah Pierre	66	2	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Bradford Jr.	42	6	4	1	0
Jaylon Hutchings	42	7	3	2	1
Amier Washington	4	4	3	0	0
Charles Esters III	25	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralyn Lux (Tr)	38	3	0	0	8
Dadrion Taylor	72	2	1	2	7
Malik Dunlap	36	1	0	0	7

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jason Bean	124	199	62%	2130	18	7	10.7
Jalon Daniels	56	75	75%	705	5	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	203	1280	16	6.3	75
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	121	626	8	5.2	29
Jason Bean	47	282	3	6.0	50
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)	45	253	4	5.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lawrence Arnold	44	782	6	17.8	80
Quentin Skinner	29	587	2	20.2	49
Luke Grimm	33	555	6	16.8	60
Mason Fairchild	27	451	3	16.7	59

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ra'Mello Dotson	34	1	1	1	8
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6