Buffalo Team Profile
Buffalo logo
Buffalo Bulls (@UBFootball)
Pete Lembo (2nd year) (13-11)
Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 4)  |  Proj: 5 - 7 (#86)  |  SOS: (#131)
Roster  |  Injuries  |  '26 Portals  |  '26 Croots  |  Map
Buffalo logo
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-5.543.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+3.051.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.553.5W 31 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.547.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-10.048.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green+2.544.5W 28 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan+2.544.5L 19 - 38ON
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+2.538.5L 20 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.044.5L 26 - 31OY

Record Prediction: 5.0 - 7.0  #86
Schedule Rating:  #131
Record: 5 - 7( MAC: 4 - 4)
Spread Record 4 - 7 - 1 | O/U 7 - 5
Future 2026 Schedule

Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Lafayette-3.545.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Missouri+34.553.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-3.545.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/21 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+13.042.5W 23 - 20OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at UConn+6.044.5L 3 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Buffalo vs Toledo+10.544.5W 30 - 15OY
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+1.049.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Ohio+4.046.5L 16 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Akron+1.049.0W 41 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Buffalo vs Ball State-3.555.5W 51 - 48ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+1.053.5W 37 - 20OY
Tue 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-23.550.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 1/4 Buffalo vs Liberty-4.550.5W 26 - 7UY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #129
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (MAC: 6 - 2)
Spread Record 8 - 5 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 4 Bad, 6 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 4 Bad, 6 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 168 points   #97
2025 class: 156 points   #89
2024 class: 141 points   #109
2023 class: 157 points   #87
2022 class: 148 points   #81

Average Class Ranking:   #93
Average Recruiting Points: 154

Four Year Crootin Profile
Improving Average G5
4 Year Class:  #93 - Best:  #81 Worst:  #109



CFB Crootin Averages
Mid-American Class: 135  #102
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 138 points   #98
2020 class: 115 points   #130
2019 class: 135 points   #106
2018 class: 81 points   #136
2017 class: 113 points   #113

Average Class Ranking:   #117
Average Recruiting Points: 116
 

2025 Portal Class  #132 - 6 players, 83 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #116 - 8 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #67 - 9 players, 84 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #45 - 20 players, 83 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Dave Patenaude (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)20635658%252017127.1
Gunnar Gray295355%228224.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson18275564.141
Terrance Shelton Jr.5724414.320
Lamar Sperling3923416.063
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)8312531.540
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan61975316.055
Victor Snow62815813.175
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)36410311.439
Al-Jay Henderson2518117.222
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Joe Bowen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Dion Crawford795431
Miles Greer (Tr)743313
Mitchell Gonser (Tr)706120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Malin White559440
Junior Poyser305420
Dion Crawford795431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobi Blackwell200007
Solomon Brown560005
Saveon Brown527224
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 57%  #62
Offense Returning Production: 41%  #105
Defense Returning Production: 73%  #9

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #132
6 Commits, 83.3 Avg Rating
20% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 10% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Offense Talent  #109 | Defense Talent  #111
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #117 | 2021  #124


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 5

2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2022 Record: 7 - 6
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

Four Year Record: 24 - 26
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 24 - 24 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 18 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 6 - 1
2020 Conf Record: 5 - 1
Spread: 5 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 3

2019 Record: 8 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2018 Record: 10 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 4

Eight Year Record: 52 - 44
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 49 - 43 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 42 - 26

Buffalo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Bahamas Bowl Buffalo vs Liberty-4.550.5W 26 - 7
2022Camellia Bowl Buffalo vs Georgia Southern+6.067.0W 23 - 21
2020Camellia Bowl Buffalo vs Marshall-5.553.5W 17 - 10
2019Bahamas Bowl Buffalo vs Charlotte-7.052.0W 31 - 9
2018General Bowl Buffalo vs Troy-2.050.5L 32 - 42
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.07 (116)1.2 (104)39% (109)3.5 (91)29.5 (54)36%40%.12 (49)1.23 (56)39% (35)3.07 (21)28.5 (58)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.17 (77)1.31 (41)40% (104)4.22 (41)31.2 (24)34%52%.17 (72)1.33 (97)43% (82)3.84 (74)29.5 (82)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251228:0319.436%40%5.445.71.81.36.12.81
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.22



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense122424.623.238.8% (109)3.5 (91)1.8193621332293.945% (105)53% (31)39% (108)39% (104)16% (87).07 (116)
2025 Defense1223.524.122.639.1% (35)3.07 (21)1.3 - - - - - 55% (124)43% (11)39% (27)40% (47)15% (75).12 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1328.838.22039.6% (104)4.22 (41)1173291531764.255% (36)45% (99)38% (115)42% (70)17% (91).17 (77)
2024 Defense1326.422.333.742.8% (82)3.84 (74)1.5 - - - - - 46% (21)53% (109)43% (71)43% (97)18% (33).17 (72)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1245% (105)39% (108)34.4133.23.915 (70)-.03 (128)2.68 (115)69% (92)9% (65)0.88 (108)
2025 Defense1255% (124)39% (27) - - - - .05 (38)2.96 (79)66% (30)10% (52)0.89 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)
2024 Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1253% (31)39% (104)19.634.32296.711.719 (75)14 (34).19 (103)1.5 (101)34% (112)27% (108).28 (76)7% (104)2 (76)
2025 Defense1243% (11)40% (47) - - - - - - 7 (123).23 (61)1.6 (98)32% (51)28% (36).17 (18)5% (95)1.7 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)
2024 Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)




Overall
Power Rating  #94 | SP+ Rating  #100
Performance Grade  #58
Special Teams Grade  #23
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0  #86
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5

5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Offense
Power  #120 | SP+  #120 | Grade  #80
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
Off Success  #109 | Explosivness  #104
Rush Grade  #111 | Pass Grade  #116
Rush Success  #108 | Explosiveness  #108
Pass Success  #104 | Explosiveness  #101
Run Block  #20 | Pass Block  #58
OL YDS  #115 | Stuff Rate  #68
Scoring Zone Off:  #91

Defense
Power  #62 | SP+  #74 | Grade  #36
Def Success  #35 | Explosivness  #56
Rush Success  #27 | Explosiveness  #34
Tackling  #13 | Run Def  #42
Pass Success  #47 | Explosiveness  #98
Pass Rush  #19 | Coverage  #87
F7 Havoc  #52 | DB Havoc  #95
DL YDS  #79 | Def Stuff Rate  #94
Scoring Zone Def  #21


Roster
Team Talent  #109 Blue Chips: 0%  #101
Offense Talent  #109 Defense Talent  #111
Crootin: '25 Class  #97 - 4 YR Class:  #93
Profile: Improving Average G5
Portal Class  #132 - 6 players, 83 Avg
20% of Roster from Portal, 10% TY
59 New Players, 64% of '25 Roster  #54

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 24 - 23.5 | Scoring Margin: (0.5)
Home: 25 - 24 (0.5) | Road: 23 - 23 (0.6)
OC: Dave Patenaude - in his second season
DC: Joe Bowen - in his second season

2025 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 7 - 1) (MAC: 4 - 4)
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 5 - 0) (MAC: 6 - 2)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (5 - 7 - 0) (MAC: 3 - 5)
4 Yr Record: (24 - 26) | 8 Yr Record: (52 - 44)


Notes
Hard L vs M-OH. QB Roberson great, 3 TO's cost
Avg OL/DL, QB Roberson OK but good mobility
WR Snow best MAC weapon, RB Henderson good
Bulls look like frauds, 4 W's vs truly awful teams
Same staff, but regressing badly vs #135 SOS?
Could have lost to Kent. Allowed 420+? Yikes
Blew 17-0 4th Q lead vs Troy at home? Bad loss
Off really bad, Def shockingly avg at best.
Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Poor when off Schedule 27%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 28%

Returning Prod
BUFF lost their '24 starting QB (6%)  #120
Returning Production: 57%  #62
Offense: 41%  #105 | Defense: 73%  #9
OL Prod: 84%  #10, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3663  #34 | From Portal: 12  #95
Rush Prod: 71%  #39 | Rec Prod: 60%  #48
Def Front Seven: 74% - Secondary: 83%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #100 - Power Rating:  #94
2024 SP+ Overall:  #87 - Power Rating:  #106
2023 SP+ Overall:  #117 - Power Rating:  #120
2022 SP+ Overall:  #98

#98 #119 #97 #97

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #120 - Power Rating:  #120
2024 SP+ Offense:  #84 - Power Rating:  #104
2023 SP+ Offense:  #125 - Power Rating:  #125
2022 SP+ Offense:  #79

#79 #125 #94 #120

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #74 - Power Rating:  #62
2024 SP+ Defense:  #93 - Power Rating:  #93
2023 SP+ Defense:  #87 - Power Rating:  #50
2022 SP+ Defense:  #104

#104 #69 #93 #68