Buffalo Bulls at Bowling Green Falcons
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Doyt Perry Stadium - Bowling Green, OH (Mid-American)
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -4 (SP+ BUFF -4)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - BGSU: 19 (42)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 272 miles
Our Line: Buffalo -4 (SP+ BUFF -4)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - BGSU: 19 (42)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 272 miles
Falcons (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (25 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (25 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +16.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -37.0 | 48.0 | W 45 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Buffalo at Kent State | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Buffalo vs Troy | -6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Buffalo vs UConn | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Buffalo vs Akron | -17 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/12 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -14.5 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -10 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Buffalo vs Ohio | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Bowling Green vs Lafayette | -21.0 | 53.0 | W 26 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Bowling Green at Cincinnati | +21.5 | 46.5 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Bowling Green vs Liberty | +6.0 | 51.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Bowling Green at Louisville | +26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Bowling Green at Ohio | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Bowling Green vs Toledo | +17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Bowling Green vs Central Michigan | -13 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Bowling Green at Kent State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Bowling Green vs Buffalo | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan | -4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/18 | Bowling Green vs Akron | -10.5 | |||||
| Tue 11/25 | Bowling Green at Massachusetts | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #73 (.19) | 41% (91) | 28.7 | 45% (62) | 3.02 (67) | 186 | 35% (113) | 186 | 4.58 (43) | #79 (.15) | 40% (74) | 19 | 34% (32) | 46% (105) | 2.3 (27) | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| BGSU | #121 (.06) | 41% (89) | 23 | 37% (110) | 2.91 (77) | 138 | 46% (53) | 176 | 3.27 (105) | #81 (.16) | 34% (29) | 18 | 29% (11) | 38% (58) | 3.78 (77) | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 20.5 | 40.8% | 4.58 | 1.3 | 21 | 372 | 186 | 186 | 4.8 | 60% | 39% | 45% | 35% | 11% | .19 |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 18 | 10 | 33.6% | 3.78 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 19 | 25.5 | 40.2% | 2.3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 46% | 12% | .15 |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 23 | 24.5 | 41.2% | 3.27 | 0 | 18 | 314 | 138 | 176 | 3.7 | 53% | 47% | 37% | 46% | 13% | .06 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 3 | 27:09 | 21.3 | 43% | 50% | 3.7 | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 0 | 32.3 |
| Bowling Green | 3 | 33:29 | 18.3 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 33.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 60% (18) | 45% (62) | 38.7 | 185.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (55) | 3.02 (67) | 83% (28) | 6% (23) | 0.97 (65) |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (67) | 29% (11) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (15) | 2.35 (31) | 80% (107) | 14% (26) | 0.69 (12) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 47% (53) | 34% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (20) | 2.93 (84) | 75% (80) | 7% (117) | 0.65 (9) |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 53% (51) | 37% (110) | 37.7 | 137.7 | 3.7 | 3 (95) | -.08 (125) | 2.91 (77) | 58% (109) | 11% (100) | 0.83 (101) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 39% (120) | 35% (113) | 17 | 27.3 | 186 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (72) | 1.6 (48) | 29% (56) | 30% (81) | .25 (87) | 5% (63) | 1.4 (126) |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (71) | 38% (58) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .45 (116) | 2 (126) | 32% (83) | 34% (105) | .65 (127) | 3% (125) | 2.4 (122) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 53% (87) | 46% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (113) | 1.6 (90) | 34% (57) | 32% (85) | .27 (71) | 6% (76) | 1.6 (23) |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 47% (82) | 46% (53) | 19 | 29 | 176.3 | 6.1 | 9.3 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .22 (85) | 1.2 (129) | 31% (68) | 30% (81) | .17 (105) | 2% (12) | 1.4 (128) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.16 Bowling Green: -8.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Bowling Green: -9.6
Buffalo: -4.16 Bowling Green: -8.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Bowling Green: -9.6
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 23
Bowling Green 19
Total Points: 42
Buffalo 23
Bowling Green 19
Total Points: 42
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10/14 | Buffalo | 14 | Bowling Green | 24 | Bowling Green | Buffalo -3 | Bowling Green | 44.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Bowling Green | 7 | Buffalo | 38 | Buffalo | Buffalo -2 | Buffalo | 55.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Buffalo | 44 | Bowling Green | 56 | Bowling Green | Buffalo -13.5 | Bowling Green | 51.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/17 | Bowling Green | 17 | Buffalo | 42 | Buffalo | Buffalo -31.5 | Bowling Green | 57.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/29 | Buffalo | 49 | Bowling Green | 7 | Buffalo | Buffalo -28 | Buffalo | 53.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 14 | Buffalo | 44 | Buffalo | Buffalo -16 | Buffalo | 62.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/07 | Buffalo | 38 | Bowling Green | 28 | Buffalo | Buffalo -7 | Buffalo | 61.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/25 | Bowling Green | 27 | Buffalo | 19 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -11 | Buffalo | 60.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Buffalo | 22 | Bowling Green | 28 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -6.5 | Buffalo | 67.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Bowling Green | 36 | Buffalo | 35 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -5 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Buffalo | 7 | Bowling Green | 24 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -3.5 | Bowling Green | 52.0 | Under |
| 2012 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 21 | Buffalo | 7 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2011 | 11/25 | Buffalo | 28 | Bowling Green | 42 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | Bowling Green | 26 | Buffalo | 28 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/03 | Buffalo | 29 | Bowling Green | 30 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2008 | 11/21 | Bowling Green | 34 | Buffalo | 40 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Buffalo | 17 | Bowling Green | 31 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2006 | 09/09 | Bowling Green | 48 | Buffalo | 40 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | Buffalo | 7 | Bowling Green | 27 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2001 | 09/08 | Bowling Green | 35 | Buffalo | 0 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2000 | 09/22 | Buffalo | 20 | Bowling Green | 17 | Buffalo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 13 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Buffalo | 8 | 7 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 13 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 8 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 4 - 2 |
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 5 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 5 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BGSU | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #75 | #44 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #43 |
| DefenseDef | #70 | #60 |
| Special TeamsST | #27 | #32 |
| PassingPass | #76 | #67 |
| RushingRush | #80 | #71 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #77 | #19 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #51 | #30 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #87 | #69 |
| TacklingTkl | #15 | #33 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #54 | #41 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #47 | #38 |
| Coverage DefCov | #85 | #88 |
(#112) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has lost 5 straight
Bowling Green has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green is Undefeated at Home
Bowling Green is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has lost 5 straight
Bowling Green has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green is Undefeated at Home
Bowling Green is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 50 | 80 | 63% | 558 | 5 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Gunnar Gray | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 50 | 198 | 3 | 4.0 | 38 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 28 | 158 | 2 | 5.6 | 40 |
| James McNeil Jr. | 10 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Lamar Sperling | 13 | 50 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 40 |
| Nik McMillan | 10 | 148 | 1 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Chance Morrow | 6 | 99 | 1 | 16.5 | 26 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 10 | 80 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Greer (Tr) | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dion Crawford | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Junior Poyser | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen McNair | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Pyne (Tr) | 57 | 85 | 67% | 529 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaderris Roberts | 27 | 152 | 0 | 5.6 | 14 |
| Cameron Pettaway | 26 | 124 | 0 | 4.8 | 30 |
| Chris McMillian | 26 | 102 | 1 | 3.9 | 14 |
| Mar'Kel Porter | 8 | 19 | 2 | 2.4 | 6 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jyrin Johnson (Tr) | 10 | 138 | 1 | 13.8 | 31 |
| Finn Hogan | 8 | 114 | 0 | 14.3 | 24 |
| RJ Garcia II | 10 | 105 | 0 | 10.5 | 25 |
| Kaderris Roberts | 10 | 55 | 0 | 5.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Pringle | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kal-El Pascal | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eriq George (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| David Afogho | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Bradley | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key'on Washington (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Collins Acheampong (Tr) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |