Buffalo at Miami (OH) - 2021 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Tuesday, November 9th 2021 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -7 (58.0)
Miami (OH) 45 - Buffalo: 18  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF coming off BYE
Our Line: -8  (SP+ M-OH -11)
Projected Score: BUFF: 26 - M-OH: 31 (57)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 392 miles
RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (37 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Buffalo vs Wagner-44.054.5W 69 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Buffalo at Nebraska+13.554.0L 3 - 28UN
Sat 9/18 Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina+14.058.0L 25 - 28UY
Sat 9/25 Buffalo at Old Dominion-13.050.5W 35 - 34ON
Sat 10/2 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+7.059.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/9 Buffalo at Kent State+7.066.0L 38 - 48ON
Sat 10/16 Buffalo vs Ohio-7.554.5W 27 - 26UN
Sat 10/23 Buffalo at Akron-13.558.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/30 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-13.551.5L 44 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/9 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.058.0L 18 - 45ON
Wed 11/17 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+2.059.5L 27 - 33ON
Tue 11/23 Buffalo at Ball State+6.059.5L 3 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+22.549.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Miami (OH) at Minnesota+18.555.0L 26 - 31OY
Sat 9/18 Miami (OH) vs Long Island University-39.555.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/25 Miami (OH) at Army+7.549.0L 10 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+2.556.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-2.558.0L 12 - 13UN
Sat 10/16 Miami (OH) vs Akron-20.051.0W 34 - 21ON
Sat 10/23 Miami (OH) at Ball State+3.553.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Miami (OH) at Ohio-7.054.5L 33 - 35ON
Tue 11/9 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.058.0W 45 - 18OY
Tue 11/16 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-17.052.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Miami (OH) at Kent State-1.068.0L 47 - 48ON
Thu 12/23 Miami (OH) vs North Texas-2.056.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1843%29.345%3.1619642%2153.82.3144%29.945%43%3.67521.61.3
M-OH.2742%28.941%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%23.141%43%3.7560.80.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1229.323.743.2%3.821.6244101962154.456%43%45%42%14%.18
M-OH Defense1323.11441.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1229.930.843.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%19%.31
M-OH Offense1328.936.641.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:3523.847%58%5.4521.61.37.33.1026
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1256%45%44.9195.54.430.163.1683%9%0.91
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256%45% - - - - .323.1772%14%1.37
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1243%42%18.230.6214.9711.81211.261.528%31%.35%1.9
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 3.371.832%39%.595%2.1
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5  #104
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #90
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Miami (OH): 3.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.5   Miami (OH): 1.5




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 3.25 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Buffalo's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 31
Buffalo 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 31
Buffalo 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 31
Buffalo 22

Total Points: 53
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 14

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/19Buffalo20Miami (OH)37Miami (OH) -2.5Miami (OH)38.5Over
202311/15Miami (OH)23Buffalo10Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)36.5Under
202210/01Buffalo24Miami (OH)20Buffalo -3Buffalo50.0Under
202111/09Miami (OH)45Buffalo18Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)58.0Over
202011/10Buffalo42Miami (OH)10Buffalo -7.5Buffalo55.0Under
201909/28Miami (OH)34Buffalo20Buffalo -2.5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201810/30Buffalo51Miami (OH)42Buffalo -7Buffalo53.0Over
201710/21Miami (OH)24Buffalo14Miami (OH) -3Miami (OH)47.0Under
201611/12Buffalo24Miami (OH)35Miami (OH) -12Buffalo50.5Over
201510/29Miami (OH)24Buffalo29Buffalo -9.5Miami (OH)50.0Over
201409/27Buffalo35Miami (OH)27Buffalo -6.5Buffalo0
201311/19Miami (OH)7Buffalo44Buffalo -24Buffalo0
201211/03Buffalo27Miami (OH)24
201110/29Miami (OH)41Buffalo13
201010/30Buffalo9Miami (OH)21
200911/18Miami (OH)17Buffalo42
200811/04Buffalo37Miami (OH)17
200711/03Miami (OH)31Buffalo28
200610/14Buffalo31Miami (OH)38
200511/05Miami (OH)54Buffalo13
200410/16Buffalo7Miami (OH)25
200310/11Miami (OH)59Buffalo3
200210/19Buffalo0Miami (OH)49
200110/06Miami (OH)31Buffalo14
200011/17Buffalo16Miami (OH)17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1666 Overs
Buffalo964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 1010 - 27 - 03 - 2
Road Teams10 - 152 - 102 - 30 - 7

(#) BUFF at (#) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #73
Perf GradeGrade #96 #58
OffenseOff #99 #55
DefenseDef #72 #50
Spec TeamsST #89 #130
TalentTal #124 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #99 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #70 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #115 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #55 #72
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #92 #27
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #16
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #29 #132
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #8
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) -7.0 (58.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Buffalo this year (45-18)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)
Buffalo beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (24-20)

  
BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD