St. Francis (PA) at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
St. Francis (PA) logo St. Francis (PA) Red Flash at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -37.0 (48.0) (0)  Open: -35.5 | 49.5
Buffalo 45 - St. Francis (PA): 6

 
Red Flash (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 37 (3 - 37 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPH
SFU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ BUFF -8)
BUFF Win prob: 100% | Cover: 57%
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Pete Lembo (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 St. Francis (PA) at UL Monroe+31.047.0L 0 - 29UY
Sat 9/6 St. Francis (PA) at Buffalo+37.048.0L 6 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for St. Francis (PA)'s Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-5.543.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+3.051.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.553.5W 31 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.547.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-10.048.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green+2.544.5W 28 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan+2.544.5L 19 - 38ON
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+2.538.5L 20 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.044.5L 26 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFU0%30%000%000%370%0%0000
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)2438% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)23.543% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFU Offense2330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Defense1323.524.142.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFU Defense237370%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Offense132424.639.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
St. Francis (PA)20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

St. Francis (PA)'s Power Ratings
St. Francis (PA)'s Power Rating: NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Offense Rating: NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Expected Record: -
St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Offense SP+ Rating: NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
St. Francis (PA):    Buffalo: -5.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
St. Francis (PA):    Buffalo: -7.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.635  #94
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 4.27  #120
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 13.04  #62
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #118
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


St. Francis (PA) Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 37 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 31
St. Francis (PA) 13

Projected Total Points: 44
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Buffalo45St. Francis (PA)6Buffalo -37.0Buffalo48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo111 Overs
St. Francis (PA)000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) SFU at (#94) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSFUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #94
SP+SP+NR #95
Perf GradeGradeNR #58
OffenseOffNR #80
DefenseDefNR #36
Spec TeamsSTNR #23
TalentTalNR #109
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
Buffalo Notes
(11/20) Hard L vs M-OH. QB Roberson great, 3 TO's cost
(10/31) Avg OL/DL, QB Roberson OK but good mobility
(10/31) WR Snow best MAC weapon, RB Henderson good
(10/31) Bulls look like frauds, 4 W's vs truly awful teams
(10/31) Same staff, but regressing badly vs #135 SOS?
(9/20) Could have lost to Kent. Allowed 420+? Yikes
(9/20) Blew 17-0 4th Q lead vs Troy at home? Bad loss
(9/20) Off really bad, Def shockingly avg at best.
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
Buffalo Injury Report
St. Francis (PA) on Offense
CategoryCat
SFU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #36
SuccessSucNR #82
ExplosiveExpNR #97
PPAPPANR #72
PowerPwrNR #62
SP+SP+NR #70
Pts POPPONR #74
HavocHavNR #33
St. Francis (PA) Run Game
CategoryCat
SFU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNR #42
Run SuccessRSucNR #71
Run ExplRExpNR #45
PPAExpNR #47
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #68
Stuff RateStuffNR #64
TackleTak -  #13
St. Francis (PA) Pass Game
CategoryCat
SFU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNR #87
Pass SuccessPSucNR #97
Pass ExplPExlNR #97
PPAExpNR #91
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #19
F7 HavocF7NR #35
DB HavocDBNR #38
Buffalo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffSFU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80NR
SuccessSuc #104NR
ExplosiveExp #41NR
PPAPPA #77NR
PowerPwr #120NR
SP+SP+ #118NR
Pts POPPO #41NR
HavocHav #91NR
Buffalo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
BUFF OffSFU Def
Run GameRun #111NR
Run SuccessRSuc #115NR
Run ExplRExp #17NR
PPAExp #96NR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #117NR
Stuff RateStuff #96NR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffSFU Def
Pass GamePass #116NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #70NR
Pass ExplPExl #80NR
PPAExp #47NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58NR
F7 HavocF7 #84NR
DB HavocDB #89NR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

SFU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Buffalo -37.0 (48.0)
Buffalo won vs St. Francis (PA) this year (45-6)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat St. Francis (PA) last year (45-6)

  
SFU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Whitfield Jr.16527360%15725105.8
Jeff Hoenstine223465%185205.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raphael Ekechi9234423.716
Jahmil Perryman3518715.319
Jordan Theodore4916513.417
Nahjee Adams4313403.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Maultsby20307115.456
Peyton Nelson3224507.736
Brenden Hodge14215015.447
Jahmil Perryman1917809.425

View St. Francis (PA)'s Full Roster

SFU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Geno Calgaro274000
Kendric Council123001
Zachary Betts91000
Corey Williams91001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Vines82200
Balaam Miller91100
Geno Calgaro274000
Shamar Jones20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Douglas80002
Corey Williams91001
Malikai Nichols10001

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)20635658%252017127.1
Gunnar Gray295355%228224.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson18275564.141
Terrance Shelton Jr.5724414.320
Lamar Sperling3923416.063
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)8312531.540
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan61975316.055
Victor Snow62815813.175
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)36410311.439
Al-Jay Henderson2518117.222

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Dion Crawford795431
Miles Greer (Tr)743313
Mitchell Gonser (Tr)706120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Malin White559440
Junior Poyser305420
Dion Crawford795431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobi Blackwell200007
Solomon Brown560005
Keontez Bradley (Tr)280004