St. Francis (PA) at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash at Buffalo Bulls

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -37.0 (48.0) (0) Open: -35.5 | 49.5
Buffalo 45 - St. Francis (PA): 6

Red Flash (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 37 (3 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SFU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ BUFF -6)
BUFF Win prob: 100% | Cover: 57%

Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
SFU Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	St. Francis (PA) at UL Monroe	+31.0	47.0	L 0 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/6	St. Francis (PA) at Buffalo	+37.0	48.0	L 6 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for St. Francis (PA)'s Schedule

Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Buffalo at Minnesota	+16.5	45.5	L 10 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)	-37.0	48.0	W 45 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Buffalo at Kent State	-23.5	48.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	Buffalo vs Troy	-6.0	42.5
Sat 9/27	Buffalo vs UConn	+6
Sat 10/4	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-16
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-16.5
Sat 10/25	Buffalo vs Akron	-17
Sat 11/1	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-4
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12	Buffalo at Central Michigan	-14.5
Wed 11/19	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-10
Fri 11/28	Buffalo vs Ohio	-3.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SFU		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	37	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF	#73 (.19)	41% (91)	28.7	45% (62)	3.02 (67)	186	35% (113)	186	4.58 (43)	#79 (.15)	40% (74)	19	34% (32)	46% (105)	2.3 (27)	38.7	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SFU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SFU Offense	2	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BUFF Defense	3	19	6	40.2%	2.3	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	34%	46%	12%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SFU Defense	2	37	37	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BUFF Offense	3	28.7	45	40.8%	4.58	1.3	21	372	186	186	4.8	60%	39%	45%	35%	11%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
St. Francis (PA)	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Buffalo	3	27:09	21.3	43%	50%	3.7	38.7	1.3	1	6.7	3	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SFU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
BUFF Defense	3	47% (53)	34% (32)	-	-	-	-	-.1 (20)	2.93 (84)	75% (80)	7% (117)	0.65 (9)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SFU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
BUFF Offense	3	60% (18)	45% (62)	38.7	185.7	4.8	6 (49)	.17 (55)	3.02 (67)	83% (28)	6% (23)	0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SFU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BUFF Defense	3	53% (87)	46% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.38 (113)	1.6 (90)	34% (57)	32% (85)	.27 (71)	6% (76)	1.6 (23)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SFU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BUFF Offense	3	39% (120)	35% (113)	17	27.3	186	6.8	10.9	5 (54)	3 (92)	.28 (72)	1.6 (48)	29% (56)	30% (81)	.25 (87)	5% (63)	1.4 (126)

St. Francis (PA)'s Power Ratings
St. Francis (PA)'s Power Rating: #NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Offense Rating: #NR
St. Francis (PA)'s Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Expected Record: -
St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
St. Francis (PA)'s Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
St. Francis (PA)'s Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
St. Francis (PA): Buffalo: -2.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
St. Francis (PA): Buffalo: -5.5

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

St. Francis (PA) Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 37 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

St. Francis (PA)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 37
St. Francis (PA) 8

Total Points: 45

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Buffalo	45	St. Francis (PA)	6	Buffalo	Buffalo -37.0	Buffalo	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	1	1	1 Overs
St. Francis (PA)	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) St. Francis (PA) Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

St. Francis (PA) has lost 1 straight
St. Francis (PA) has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

St. Francis (PA) Highlights

St. Francis (PA) Deficiencies
St. Francis (PA) has a really bad Offense
St. Francis (PA) Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	BUFF	SFU
OverallOver	#44	—
OffenseOff	#43	—
DefenseDef	#60	—
Special TeamsST	#32	—
PassingPass	#67	—
RushingRush	#71	—
Run BlockRBLK	#19	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#30	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#69	—
TacklingTkl	#33	—
Run DefenseR Def	#41	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#38	—
Coverage DefCov	#88	—

Rematch from Week 2
Buffalo -37.0 (48.0)
Buffalo won vs St. Francis (PA) this year (45-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SFU | BUFF
Depth Chart: SFU | BUFF
Rosters: SFU | BUFF

(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Buffalo has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though

Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)

Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)

Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)

St. Francis (PA)'s OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Whitfield Jr.	39	69	57%	306	0	3	4.4
Jeff Hoenstine	4	8	50%	18	0	0	2.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raphael Ekechi	25	93	0	3.7	15
Jahmil Perryman	11	59	1	5.4	19
Jordan Theodore	11	15	1	1.4	4
Adrian Mejia	2	8	0	4.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Lukas Gilland	1	71	71.0	71
Peyton Nelson	8	48	6.0	16
Emmanuel Dyson	7	43	6.1	10
Andrew Vines	3	25	8.3	25

View St. Francis (PA)'s Full Roster

St. Francis (PA)'s DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Geno Calgaro	27	4	0	0
Kendric Council	12	3	0	1
Balaam Miller	9	1	1	0
Corey Williams	9	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Andrew Vines	8	2	2
Balaam Miller	9	1	1
Geno Calgaro	27	4	0
Airriss Rosemond	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Colin Douglas	8	0	2
Corey Williams	9	1	1
Malikai Nichols	1	0	1

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	50	80	63%	558	5	2	7.0
Gunnar Gray	1	2	50%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Al-Jay Henderson	50	198	3	4.0	38
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	28	158	2	5.6	40
James McNeil Jr.	10	66	1	6.6	26
Lamar Sperling	13	50	0	3.8	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Victor Snow	11	168	3	15.3	40
Nik McMillan	10	148	1	14.8	38
Chance Morrow	6	99	1	16.5	26
Al-Jay Henderson	10	80	0	8.0	22

View Buffalo's Full Roster

Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khalil Murdock	32	3	1	0	0
Miles Greer (Tr)	22	1	0	0	1
Dion Crawford	20	0	0	1	0
Solomon Brown	18	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Saveon Brown	13	3	2	2	2
Khalil Murdock	32	3	1	0	0
Kobe Stewart	6	2	1	2	0
Junior Poyser	4	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Saveon Brown	13	3	2	2	2
Solomon Brown	18	0	0	0	2
Jalen McNair	15	1	0	1	2