Buffalo at Kent State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -6.5 (44.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 24 - Kent State: 6 (Mid-American)

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (19 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT is playing their 8th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -8.5 (SP+ BUFF -11.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 27 - KENT: 18 (45)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#130 (.03)	37% (116)	20.9	43% (67)	2.93 (102)	134	32% (129)	185	3.54 (95)	#41 (.14)	39% (33)	27.4	37% (25)	42% (68)	3.55 (48)	41.6	1.6	1.6
KENT	#125 (.05)	35% (130)	14.7	32% (133)	2.84 (113)	106	40% (89)	165	3.27 (110)	#125 (.32)	45% (111)	34.6	47% (108)	44% (97)	4.88 (132)	46.2	1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	20.9	19.2	37.4%	3.54	1.6	17	319	134	185	3.7	51%	48%	43%	32%	16%	.03
KENT Defense	12	34.6	28.6	45%	4.88	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	27.4	25.5	38.7%	3.55	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	37%	42%	18%	.14
KENT Offense	12	14.7	18.6	35.2%	3.27	1	15	270	106	165	2.9	53%	47%	32%	40%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	30:32	17.2	34%	37%	4.8	41.6	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.4	2	29.4
Kent State	12	28:49	15	30%	46%	5.4	46.2	1	0.8	4.1	0.9	0	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	51% (61)	43% (67)	36.3	133.6	3.7	15 (100)	.09 (102)	2.93 (102)	65% (119)	9% (40)	0.92 (103)
KENT Defense	12	56% (124)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.24 (117)	3.23 (98)	79% (107)	7% (131)	1.08 (106)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56% (119)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	.15 (76)	2.82 (24)	65% (25)	12% (19)	1.25 (131)
KENT Offense	12	53% (44)	32% (133)	36.8	105.9	2.9	8 (130)	-.03 (132)	2.84 (113)	67% (109)	12% (117)	0.91 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	48% (77)	32% (129)	17.7	32.8	185.3	5.6	10.5	14 (106)	11 (68)	.04 (130)	1.5 (99)	32% (68)	26% (108)	.16 (116)	8% (119)	1.9 (109)
KENT Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.44 (127)	1.8 (117)	32% (73)	31% (76)	.33 (79)	6% (91)	2 (55)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43% (13)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (29)	1.4 (18)	35% (32)	28% (39)	.23 (30)	5% (95)	2 (54)
KENT Offense	12	47% (90)	40% (89)	13.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	12.3	11 (117)	6 (14)	.16 (110)	1.6 (72)	36% (122)	25% (112)	.18 (108)	7% (99)	2 (76)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23 Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1 Kent State: -26.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 27
Kent State 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 28
Kent State 16

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 26
Kent State 22

Total Points: 48

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.6

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Kent State	28	Buffalo	31	Buffalo -23.5	Kent State	48.5	Over
2024	11/26	Buffalo	43	Kent State	7	Buffalo -23.5	Buffalo	50.5	Under
2023	10/21	Kent State	6	Buffalo	24	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	44.0	Under
2022	11/26	Buffalo	27	Kent State	30	Buffalo -4.5	Kent State	51.0	Over
2021	10/09	Kent State	48	Buffalo	38	Kent State -7	Kent State	66.0	Over
2020	11/28	Buffalo	70	Kent State	41	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	70.0	Over
2019	11/14	Kent State	30	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -6	Kent State	54.5	Over
2018	11/06	Buffalo	48	Kent State	14	Buffalo -17	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2017	09/30	Kent State	13	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	41.0	Under
2016	10/08	Buffalo	20	Kent State	44	Buffalo -2	Kent State	42.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kent State	17	Buffalo	18	Buffalo -3	Kent State	43.5	Under
2013	10/26	Kent State	21	Buffalo	41	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	0
2012	09/19	Buffalo	7	Kent State	23
2009	11/27	Kent State	6	Buffalo	9
2008	11/28	Buffalo	21	Kent State	24
2007	11/24	Kent State	23	Buffalo	30
2006	11/04	Buffalo	41	Kent State	14
2005	11/12	Kent State	6	Buffalo	10
2004	11/06	Buffalo	7	Kent State	33
2003	11/22	Kent State	34	Buffalo	24
2002	10/26	Buffalo	12	Kent State	16
2001	10/20	Kent State	35	Buffalo	13
2000	11/03	Buffalo	20	Kent State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	10	6	7 Overs
Buffalo	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 14	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 9	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#120) BUFF at (#133) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#120	#133
SP+SP+	#117	#133
Perf GradeGrade	#114	#131
OffenseOff	#130	#123
DefenseDef	#52	#129
Spec TeamsST	#22	#97
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Buffalo Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#129
SuccessSuc	#116	#111
ExplosiveExp	#121	#106
PPAPPA	#130	#125
PowerPwr	#125	#132
SP+SP+	#125	#115
Pts POPPO	#95	#132
HavocHav	#79	#122

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#90	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#108
Run ExplRExp	#103	#106
PPAExp	#102	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#108
TackleTak	-	#118

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#97
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#117
PPAExp	#130	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#89	#131
F7 HavocF7	#40	#131
DB HavocDB	#119	#91

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#52
SuccessSuc	#130	#33
ExplosiveExp	#83	#99
PPAPPA	#125	#41
PowerPwr	#124	#50
SP+SP+	#133	#87
Pts POPPO	#110	#48
HavocHav	#111	#39

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#132	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	#133	#25
Run ExplRExp	#105	#131
PPAExp	#132	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#32
TackleTak	-	#121

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#18
PPAExp	#110	#29
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#84
F7 HavocF7	#117	#19
DB HavocDB	#99	#95

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Buffalo 6.5 (44.0)
Buffalo won at Kent State this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)
Kent State beat Buffalo in 2022 (30-27)

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder	203	372	55%	2109	13	9	5.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	8	21	38%	87	1	2	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ron Cook Jr.	148	609	6	4.1	36
Michael Washington	90	362	2	4.0	49
Jacqez Barksdale	52	248	2	4.8	39
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	51	214	3	4.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marlyn Johnson	40	495	4	12.4	80
Darrell Harding Jr.	23	451	3	19.6	52
Boobie Curry	29	303	1	10.4	48
Cole Harrity	35	294	3	8.4	29

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)	82	11	1	2	2
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Marcus Fuqua	51	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
George Wolo	23	6	4	3	1
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Jaylon Bass	12	2	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Oliver	17	1	0	0	5
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3

KENT's OC Matt Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Alaimo	79	144	55%	932	2	4	6.5
Tommy Ulatowski	60	121	50%	737	7	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Garcia	138	544	2	3.9	42
Jaylen Thomas	133	460	2	3.5	34
Xavier Williams	42	137	1	3.3	18
Tommy Ulatowski	47	89	1	1.9	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	41	610	4	14.9	42
Luke Floriea	39	414	4	10.6	43
Trell Harris	26	400	1	15.4	43
Jameel Gardner Jr.	24	298	1	12.4	50

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Nick Giacolone	50	5	0	0	1
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0
D.J. Miller	46	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Harris	31	6	2	0	1
Marcus Winfield	11	3	2	1	0
Macyo Williams	18	3	2	2	0
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Capone Blue	30	0	0	0	10
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Alex Branch	32	2	1	0	3