Buffalo at Kent State Game Matchup

Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -6.5 (44.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 24 - Kent State: 6 (Mid-American)

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT is playing their 8th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -8.5 (SP+ BUFF -11.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 30 - KENT: 21 (57)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (20 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.17	44%	28.8	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	26.4	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2
KENT	.22	44%	13.9	47%	3.33	203	42%	215	3.64	.27	48%	44.1	47%	51%	3.81	54.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	13	28.8	20	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17
KENT Defense	12	44.1	38.2	48.4%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	47%	51%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	13	26.4	33.7	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27
KENT Offense	12	13.9	20.4	44.5%	3.64	1.1	23	418	203	215	4.7	57%	42%	47%	42%	19%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5
Kent State	12	26:07	22.8	41%	50%	6.7	54.3	1.1	1.3	5.8	2.2	2	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83
KENT Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	72%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33
KENT Offense	12	57%	47%	43.1	202.8	4.7	23	.22	3.33	84%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2
KENT Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.46	1.5	27%	35%	.37	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1
KENT Offense	12	42%	42%	16.2	29.1	215.2	7.4	13.3	17	8	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.44	8%	2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23 Kent State: -21.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1 Kent State: -26.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Kent State 21

Projected Total Points: 57

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.2

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/26	Buffalo	43	Kent State	7	Buffalo	Buffalo -23.5	Buffalo	50.5	Under
2023	10/21	Kent State	6	Buffalo	24	Buffalo	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	44.0	Under
2022	11/26	Buffalo	27	Kent State	30	Kent State	Buffalo -4.5	Kent State	51.0	Over
2021	10/09	Kent State	48	Buffalo	38	Kent State	Kent State -7	Kent State	66.0	Over
2020	11/28	Buffalo	70	Kent State	41	Buffalo	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	70.0	Over
2019	11/14	Kent State	30	Buffalo	27	Kent State	Buffalo -6	Kent State	54.5	Over
2018	11/06	Buffalo	48	Kent State	14	Buffalo	Buffalo -17	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2017	09/30	Kent State	13	Buffalo	27	Buffalo	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	41.0	Under
2016	10/08	Buffalo	20	Kent State	44	Kent State	Buffalo -2	Kent State	42.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kent State	17	Buffalo	18	Buffalo	Buffalo -3	Kent State	43.5	Under
2013	10/26	Kent State	21	Buffalo	41	Buffalo	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	0
2012	09/19	Buffalo	7	Kent State	23	Kent State
2009	11/27	Kent State	6	Buffalo	9	Buffalo
2008	11/28	Buffalo	21	Kent State	24	Kent State
2007	11/24	Kent State	23	Buffalo	30	Buffalo
2006	11/04	Buffalo	41	Kent State	14	Buffalo
2005	11/12	Kent State	6	Buffalo	10	Buffalo
2004	11/06	Buffalo	7	Kent State	33	Kent State
2003	11/22	Kent State	34	Buffalo	24	Kent State
2002	10/26	Buffalo	12	Kent State	16	Kent State
2001	10/20	Kent State	35	Buffalo	13	Kent State
2000	11/03	Buffalo	20	Kent State	17	Buffalo

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	10	5	6 Overs
Buffalo	12	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 13	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 9	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Buffalo Ratings Matchup Kent State

Power #120

#133

Off #125

#124

Def #50

#132

Talent #116

#99

SP+ #117

#133

SP+ Off #125

#133

SP+ Def #87

#115

Rematch from Week 8
Buffalo 6.5 (44.0)
Buffalo won at Kent State this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)
Kent State beat Buffalo in 2022 (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | KENT
Depth Chart: BUFF | KENT
Rosters: BUFF | KENT

(#133) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.295 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90

Team Profile

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Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder	239	402	60%	2676	15	9	6.7
Michael Washington	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Washington	158	713	8	4.5	47
Cole Snyder	136	322	4	2.4	29
Jacqez Barksdale	82	306	2	3.7	19
Jacob Orlando (Tr)	0	1	0	0.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marlyn Johnson	17	169	0	9.9	22
Javien Cuff	11	155	1	14.1	28
Tadd Barr	7	128	1	18.3	42
Jacob Orlando (Tr)	11	101	2	9.2	34

View Buffalo's Full Roster

Buffalo's DC Robert Wright

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaun Dolac	168	18	5	4	5
Marcus Fuqua	55	4	0	0	2
Devin Grant	51	8	2	2	3
Kameron Olds	42	7	6	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Stewart	40	12	10	3	2
Kameron Olds	42	7	6	2	1
Shaun Dolac	168	18	5	4	5
Devin Grant	51	8	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaun Dolac	168	18	5	4	5
Devin Grant	51	8	2	2	3
Marcus Fuqua	55	4	0	0	2

Kent State's OC Matt Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Luke Floriea	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	1	17	0	17.0	10
Tommy Ulatowski	62	-22	1	-0.4	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Trell Harris	15	221	2	14.7	45
Justin Holmes	1	11	0	11.0	11

View Kent State's Full Roster

Kent State's DC David Duggan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Khalib Johns	46	2	0	1	0
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ West	42	8	2	0	1
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Luke Murphy	94	5	0	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
CJ Harris	44	8	0	0	1