Ohio at Buffalo - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Tuesday, November 7th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Ohio -9.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 20 - Buffalo: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -11   (SP+ OHIO -13)
Projected Score: OHIO: 30 - BUFF: 19 (52)
OHIO Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
OHIO Travel: 307 miles
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2344%29.342%2.9414347%2783.83.2243%18.141%46%3.8244.10.92.2
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1429.323.344.3%3.830.9214221432784.149%50%42%47%15%.23
BUFF Defense1326.422.341.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1418.123.543.4%3.822.2 - - - - - 43%56%41%46%18%.22
BUFF Offense1328.838.243.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1432:0920.742%35%4.944.10.92.25.92.6131.2
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1449%42%35.2143.44.123.112.9473%10%0.91
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1443%41% - - - - .122.8766%12%1.11
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1450%47%21.633.1278.18.412.9285.371.632%34%.425%2
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1456%46% - - - - - - 12.331.533%33%.376%2.1
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65   Buffalo: -10.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2   Buffalo: -15.1




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.165 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 30
Buffalo 19

Projected Total Points: 52
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Ohio47Buffalo16OhioOhio -4.0Ohio46.5Over
202311/07Buffalo10Ohio20OhioOhio -9.5Ohio45.5Under
202211/01Ohio45Buffalo24OhioBuffalo -2.5Ohio61.0Over
202110/16Buffalo27Ohio26BuffaloBuffalo -7.5Ohio54.5Under
201910/05Buffalo20Ohio21OhioOhio -3Buffalo53.0Under
201811/14Ohio52Buffalo17OhioOhio -2.5Ohio66.0Over
201711/24Buffalo31Ohio24BuffaloOhio -7Buffalo56.0Under
201611/03Ohio34Buffalo10OhioOhio -19Ohio51.5Under
201510/24Buffalo41Ohio17BuffaloOhio -2Buffalo53.0Over
201411/05Ohio37Buffalo14OhioOhio -2Ohio0
201311/05Buffalo30Ohio3BuffaloBuffalo -2.5Buffalo0
201210/06Ohio38Buffalo31Ohio
201110/08Buffalo38Ohio37Buffalo
201011/04Ohio34Buffalo17Ohio
200911/10Buffalo24Ohio27Ohio
200810/28Ohio19Buffalo32Buffalo
200710/06Buffalo31Ohio10Buffalo
200610/21Ohio42Buffalo7Ohio
200510/29Buffalo20Ohio34Ohio
200409/25Ohio34Buffalo0Ohio
200310/25Buffalo26Ohio17Buffalo
200209/28Ohio34Buffalo32Ohio
200111/03Buffalo44Ohio0Buffalo
200010/06Ohio42Buffalo20Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo944 Overs
Ohio1575 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 59 - 25 - 14 - 1
Road Teams5 - 192 - 91 - 41 - 5

(#42) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20

Team Profile






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Ohio     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #42
#120
Off #68
#125
Def #5
#50
Talent #118
#116
SP+ #74
#117
SP+ Off #115
#125
SP+ Def #13
#87

Rematch from Week 11
Ohio 9.5 (45.5)
Ohio won at Buffalo this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2022 (45-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | BUFF
Depth Chart: OHIO | BUFF
Rosters: OHIO | BUFF
(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.165 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke22232069%30422959.5
CJ Harris193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
O'Shann Allison6123703.949
CJ Harris184902.713
Kurtis Rourke46-352-0.812
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacoby Jones22327214.940
Miles Cross27324412.034
Aramoni Rhone15235215.752
Will Kacmarek886010.832

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roman Parodie5100010
Keye Thompson282011
Torrie Cox Jr.261004
Chris Mayfield93120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Mayfield93120
Xander Karagosian21100
Roman Parodie5100010
Keye Thompson282011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roman Parodie5100010
Torrie Cox Jr.261004
Keye Thompson282011

Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder23940260%26761596.7
Michael Washington010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Cole Snyder13632242.429
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Jacob Orlando (Tr)0100.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson1716909.922
Javien Cuff11155114.128
Tadd Barr7128118.342
Jacob Orlando (Tr)1110129.234

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Marcus Fuqua554002
Devin Grant518223
Kameron Olds427621
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Kameron Olds427621
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Marcus Fuqua554002