Buffalo at Akron - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -13.5 (58.5)
Buffalo 45 - Akron: 10 (Mid-American)

Bulls (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR is playing their 8th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -13.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - AKR: 24 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tom Arth (2 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Buffalo vs Wagner	-44.0	54.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Buffalo at Nebraska	+13.5	54.0	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/18	Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina	+14.0	58.0	L 25 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Buffalo at Old Dominion	-13.0	50.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	59.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Buffalo at Kent State	+7.0	66.0	L 38 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/16	Buffalo vs Ohio	-7.5	54.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/23	Buffalo at Akron	-13.5	58.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-13.5	51.5	L 44 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/9	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.0	58.0	L 18 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/17	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+2.0	59.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Tue 11/23	Buffalo at Ball State	+6.0	59.5	L 3 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Akron's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Akron at Auburn	+37.5	56.5	L 10 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/11	Akron vs Temple	+6.5	51.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/18	Akron vs Bryant	-14.0	49.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Akron at Ohio State	+48.5	66.5	L 7 - 59	U	N
Sat 10/2	Akron vs Ohio	+10.0	55.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/9	Akron at Bowling Green	+14.0	46.0	W 35 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Akron at Miami (OH)	+20.0	51.0	L 21 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Akron vs Buffalo	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Akron vs Ball State	+20.0	58.0	L 25 - 31	U	Y
Tue 11/9	Akron at Western Michigan	+24.5	62.0	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Akron vs Kent State	+13.5	72.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Akron at Toledo	+28.5	57.5	L 14 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.37	49%	24	49%	3.52	288	50%	191	4.79	.11	40%	23.5	41%	39%	3.15	52.7	0.9	1.4
AKR	.03	36%	22.3	36%	2.9	140	36%	140	3.04	.42	51%	27.4	55%	47%	4.45	30.8	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	7	24	23.2	49.4%	4.79	0.9	22	478	288	191	6.7	64%	36%	49%	50%	9%	.37
AKR Defense	6	27.4	18.5	51.5%	4.45	1	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	55%	47%	9%	.42

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	7	23.5	22.6	39.7%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	16%	.11
AKR Offense	6	22.3	27.5	36%	3.04	1.5	16	280	140	140	4	53%	47%	36%	36%	19%	.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	7	30:33	22	48%	54%	6	52.7	0.9	1.4	5.3	2.9	1	29.5
Akron	6	30:00	15.8	34%	44%	3.8	30.8	1.5	1	2.5	1.5	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	7	64%	49%	43	287.9	6.7	32	.37	3.52	80%	4%	1.27
AKR Defense	6	59%	55%	-	-	-	-	.39	3.91	89%	6%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	7	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.25	70%	10%	0.75
AKR Offense	6	53%	36%	35.2	140.3	4	7	.14	2.9	64%	13%	1.38

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	7	36%	50%	13.9	22.3	190.6	8.6	13.8	7	4	.37	1.4	27%	37%	.5	5%	1.8
AKR Defense	6	41%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.48	1.8	30%	34%	.67	3%	2.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	7	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.16	1.6	30%	21%	.08	7%	2.2
AKR Offense	6	47%	36%	13.8	24.7	139.7	5.7	10.1	4	6	-.1	1.5	35%	33%	.15	6%	1.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #104
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #90
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Akron: -9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.5 Akron: -23.1

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -9.05 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2021 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.1 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 24
Buffalo 23

Projected Total Points: 47

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Buffalo	16	Akron	24	Buffalo -10	Akron	48.5	Under
2024	11/02	Akron	30	Buffalo	41	Akron -1	Buffalo	49.0	Over
2023	09/30	Akron	10	Buffalo	13	Akron -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2022	12/02	Buffalo	23	Akron	22	Buffalo -12.0	Akron	55.0	Under
2021	10/23	Akron	10	Buffalo	45	Buffalo -13.5	Buffalo	58.5	Under
2020	12/12	Buffalo	56	Akron	7	Buffalo -33.5	Buffalo	58.5	Over
2019	10/19	Akron	0	Buffalo	21	Buffalo -17.5	Buffalo	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Buffalo	24	Akron	6	Buffalo -12	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2017	10/28	Akron	21	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -3	Akron	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Buffalo	41	Akron	20	Akron -14.5	Buffalo	63.0	Under
2015	11/21	Akron	42	Buffalo	21	Akron -2.5	Akron	45.0	Over
2014	11/11	Buffalo	55	Akron	24	Akron -2.5	Buffalo	0
2011	11/19	Buffalo	51	Akron	10
2010	11/26	Akron	22	Buffalo	14
2009	10/17	Buffalo	21	Akron	17
2008	11/13	Akron	40	Buffalo	43
2007	10/27	Buffalo	26	Akron	10
2006	11/09	Akron	31	Buffalo	16
2005	10/08	Buffalo	7	Akron	13
2004	10/09	Akron	44	Buffalo	21
2003	09/27	Buffalo	21	Akron	38
2001	11/17	Buffalo	14	Akron	41
2000	11/10	Akron	49	Buffalo	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	10	4	3 Overs
Buffalo	13	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 14	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#) BUFF at (#) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#96	#134
OffenseOff	#99	#126
DefenseDef	#72	#135
Spec TeamsST	#89	#116
TalentTal	#124	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#135
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#70	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#130	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#16

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#8
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Buffalo 13.5 (58.5)
Buffalo won at Akron this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Buffalo last year (24-16)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2024 (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AKR's OC Tommy Zagorski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Matt Feeney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD