Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -1 (49.5) (-115) Open: -1.0
Western Michigan 48 - Buffalo: 41 (Mid-American)
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -6)
Projected Score: WMU: 25 - BUFF: 29 (54)
WMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WMU Travel: 350 miles
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -6)
Projected Score: WMU: 25 - BUFF: 29 (54)
WMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WMU Travel: 350 miles
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
| Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Western Michigan at Wisconsin | +24.0 | 57.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Michigan at Ohio State | +37.5 | 54.5 | L 0 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 59 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Western Michigan at Marshall | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Western Michigan at Ball State | -10.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Western Michigan vs Akron | -9.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Western Michigan at Buffalo | -1.0 | 49.5 | W 48 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Western Michigan vs Kent State | -19.0 | 61.0 | W 52 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois | +2.5 | 51.5 | L 28 - 42 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/12 | Western Michigan at Bowling Green | +9.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Western Michigan at Central Michigan | -6.0 | 56.0 | L 14 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan | -6.5 | 56.5 | W 26 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/14 | Western Michigan vs South Alabama | +6.0 | 53.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Buffalo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Buffalo vs Lafayette | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Buffalo at Missouri | +34.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Buffalo at Northern Illinois | +13.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Buffalo at UConn | +6.0 | 44.5 | L 3 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Buffalo vs Toledo | +10.5 | 44.5 | W 30 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Buffalo vs Western Michigan | +1.0 | 49.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Buffalo at Ohio | +4.0 | 46.5 | L 16 - 47 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Buffalo at Akron | +1.0 | 49.0 | W 41 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Buffalo vs Ball State | -3.5 | 55.5 | W 51 - 48 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/20 | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | +1.0 | 53.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Buffalo vs Kent State | -23.5 | 50.5 | W 43 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 1/4 | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | #43 (.24) | 45% (33) | 28.9 | 45% (59) | 3.05 (62) | 184 | 46% (27) | 187 | 4.11 (49) | #122 (.29) | 49% (128) | 31.3 | 48% (115) | 51% (132) | 4.38 (119) | 39.2 | 1 | 1.6 |
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 28.8 | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 26.4 | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | #43 (.24) | 45% (33) | 45% (59) | 3.05 (62) | 184 | 46% (27) | 187 | 4.11 (49) | #122 (.29) | 49% (128) | 48% (115) | 51% (132) | 4.38 (119) | 39.2 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 13 | 28.9 | 22 | 45.2% | 4.11 | 1 | 19 | 371 | 184 | 187 | 5 | 55% | 45% | 45% | 46% | 15% | .24 |
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 26.4 | 22.3 | 42.8% | 3.84 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 13 | 31.3 | 34.4 | 49.1% | 4.38 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 48% | 51% | 18% | .29 |
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 38.2 | 39.6% | 4.22 | 1 | 17 | 329 | 153 | 176 | 4.2 | 55% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 17% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 13 | 29:58 | 19.5 | 35% | 59% | 4.1 | 39.2 | 1 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 31.3 |
| Buffalo | 13 | 26:20 | 17.2 | 34% | 52% | 4 | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 31.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 13 | 55% (35) | 45% (59) | 36.8 | 184.2 | 5 | 28 (25) | .18 (43) | 3.05 (62) | 75% (53) | 10% (64) | 1.07 (33) |
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .08 (47) | 3.01 (68) | 63% (16) | 12% (35) | 0.94 (45) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 13 | 56% (123) | 48% (115) | - | - | - | - | .19 (105) | 3.18 (96) | 76% (84) | 10% (66) | 1.01 (81) |
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 55% (36) | 38% (115) | 36.2 | 153.3 | 4.2 | 23 (52) | .08 (96) | 2.7 (117) | 61% (122) | 10% (84) | 1.11 (17) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 13 | 45% (100) | 46% (27) | 16.3 | 24.9 | 187 | 7.5 | 11.5 | 18 (68) | 9 (48) | .32 (40) | 1.5 (98) | 28% (16) | 31% (71) | .27 (91) | 6% (59) | 1.9 (108) |
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 53% (109) | 43% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .28 (91) | 1.7 (97) | 32% (58) | 29% (40) | .18 (18) | 7% (38) | 2.2 (100) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 13 | 44% (12) | 51% (132) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .44 (127) | 1.5 (31) | 27% (125) | 33% (103) | .33 (81) | 8% (19) | 1.9 (39) |
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 45% (99) | 42% (70) | 14.2 | 25.2 | 175.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 19 (65) | 6 (10) | .29 (47) | 1.5 (80) | 33% (97) | 31% (75) | .34 (66) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.37 Buffalo: -5.765
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2 Buffalo: -4.0
Western Michigan: -10.37 Buffalo: -5.765
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2 Buffalo: -4.0
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4
Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4
Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Western Michigan 25
Total Points: 54
Buffalo 29
Western Michigan 25
Total Points: 54
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Buffalo | 41 | Western Michigan | 48 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -1 | Western Michigan | 49.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Buffalo | 17 | Western Michigan | 24 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -7 | NA | 59.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Buffalo | 68 | Western Michigan | 71 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -7 | Buffalo | 51.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/19 | Western Michigan | 38 | Buffalo | 0 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -34 | Western Michigan | 55.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 10/12 | Western Michigan | 0 | Buffalo | 33 | Buffalo | Buffalo -11 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | Buffalo | 29 | Western Michigan | 24 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2009 | 10/24 | Western Michigan | 34 | Buffalo | 31 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | Buffalo | 28 | Western Michigan | 34 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | Western Michigan | 31 | Buffalo | 21 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Buffalo | 17 | Western Michigan | 31 | Western Michigan |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 2 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Western Michigan | 8 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 6 | 2 - 2 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#103) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan has won 2 straight
Western Michigan has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 5 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#108)
Western Michigan Secondary is very good (#108)
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan commits very few Penalties (#91)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan has won 2 straight
Western Michigan has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 5 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#108)
Western Michigan Secondary is very good (#108)
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan commits very few Penalties (#91)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BUFF | WMU |
| OverallOver | #56 | #31 |
| OffenseOff | #77 | #7 |
| DefenseDef | #31 | #83 |
| Special TeamsST | #90 | #58 |
| PassingPass | #85 | #60 |
| RushingRush | #84 | #27 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #52 | #3 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #85 | #19 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #60 | #45 |
| TacklingTkl | #16 | #71 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #44 | #84 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #77 | #78 |
| Coverage DefCov | #21 | #72 |
(#106) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wolff | 191 | 285 | 67% | 2214 | 17 | 7 | 7.8 |
| Broc Lowry (Tr) | 4 | 8 | 50% | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Nixon | 132 | 874 | 12 | 6.6 | 92 |
| Jalen Buckley | 120 | 657 | 8 | 5.5 | 61 |
| Zahir Abdus-Salaam | 104 | 567 | 3 | 5.5 | 70 |
| Broc Lowry (Tr) | 22 | 123 | 3 | 5.6 | 40 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Womack | 34 | 456 | 1 | 13.4 | 41 |
| Blake Bosma | 37 | 403 | 6 | 10.9 | 55 |
| Anthony Sambucci | 31 | 376 | 2 | 12.1 | 54 |
| Zahir Abdus-Salaam | 28 | 227 | 1 | 8.1 | 31 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Willis | 109 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Tate Hallock | 84 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jacob Wahlberg | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bilhal Kone | 70 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Walker | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Mason Nelson | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah Green | 28 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Donald Willis | 109 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilhal Kone | 70 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Nyquan Washington | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Corey Walker | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ogbonna | 190 | 336 | 57% | 2381 | 19 | 5 | 7.1 |
| Gunnar Gray | 4 | 11 | 36% | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 204 | 1078 | 9 | 5.3 | 68 |
| CJ Ogbonna | 122 | 346 | 8 | 2.8 | 26 |
| Jacqez Barksdale | 82 | 306 | 2 | 3.7 | 19 |
| Messiah Burch | 29 | 153 | 2 | 5.3 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 55 | 651 | 6 | 11.8 | 46 |
| JJ Jenkins (Tr) | 36 | 536 | 4 | 14.9 | 90 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 19 | 238 | 1 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Taji Johnson (Tr) | 19 | 215 | 2 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Stewart (Tr) | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Antonio Colclough (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |