Kent State at Buffalo - 2022 Matchup Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes at Buffalo Bulls

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (1:00 PM EST)
Buffalo -4.5 (51.0)
Kent State 30 - Buffalo: 27 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (19 - 24)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (18 - 43 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -4)
Projected Score: KENT: 21 - BUFF: 31 (52)
BUFF Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
KENT Travel: 183 miles

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kent State at Washington	+23.5	61.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kent State at Oklahoma	+33.5	73.0	L 3 - 33	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kent State vs Long Island University	-40.0	64.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Kent State at Georgia	+45.0	61.5	L 22 - 39	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kent State vs Ohio	-13.0	65.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Kent State at Miami (OH)	-5.0	56.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kent State at Toledo	+7.0	62.5	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/22	Kent State vs Akron	-16.0	65.0	W 33 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Kent State vs Ball State	-7.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Wed 11/9	Kent State at Bowling Green	-2.5	55.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	-7.5	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+4.5	51.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0	66.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.5	W 50 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0	55.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5	61.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5	51.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	.3	50%	21.3	53%	3.58	249	47%	245	3.6	.3	49%	33.6	49%	49%	4.43	70.9	0.9	1.8
BUFF	.18	43%	24	45%	3.16	196	42%	215	3.82	.31	44%	23.5	45%	43%	3.67	52	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	14	21.3	17.7	50.2%	3.6	0.9	26	493	249	245	5.4	56%	44%	53%	47%	17%	.3
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	24.1	43.9%	3.67	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	19%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	14	33.6	42.9	48.6%	4.43	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	49%	49%	15%	.3
BUFF Offense	12	24	24.6	43.2%	3.82	1.6	24	410	196	215	4.4	56%	43%	45%	42%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	14	26:28	25.9	44%	48%	7.8	70.9	0.9	1.8	5.2	1.6	0	29.4
Buffalo	12	31:35	23.8	47%	58%	5.4	52	1.6	1.3	7.3	3.1	0	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	14	56%	53%	46.2	248.7	5.4	36	.33	3.58	81%	12%	1.03
BUFF Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.17	72%	14%	1.37

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.38	67%	9%	1.09
BUFF Offense	12	56%	45%	44.9	195.5	4.4	30	.16	3.16	83%	9%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	14	44%	47%	18.6	28.9	244.6	8.5	13.1	21	6	.26	1.4	28%	33%	.34	5%	2
BUFF Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.37	1.8	32%	39%	.59	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	14	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.36	1.5	29%	40%	.51	7%	1.9
BUFF Offense	12	43%	42%	18.2	30.6	214.9	7	11.8	12	11	.26	1.5	28%	31%	.3	5%	1.9

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: NR
Kent State's Offense Rating: NR
Kent State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kent State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kent State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #109
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: Buffalo: -2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -13.1 Buffalo: -9.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.9

Kent State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 31
Kent State 21

Projected Total Points: 52

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Kent State	28	Buffalo	31	Buffalo -23.5	Kent State	48.5	Over
2024	11/26	Buffalo	43	Kent State	7	Buffalo -23.5	Buffalo	50.5	Under
2023	10/21	Kent State	6	Buffalo	24	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	44.0	Under
2022	11/26	Buffalo	27	Kent State	30	Buffalo -4.5	Kent State	51.0	Over
2021	10/09	Kent State	48	Buffalo	38	Kent State -7	Kent State	66.0	Over
2020	11/28	Buffalo	70	Kent State	41	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	70.0	Over
2019	11/14	Kent State	30	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -6	Kent State	54.5	Over
2018	11/06	Buffalo	48	Kent State	14	Buffalo -17	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2017	09/30	Kent State	13	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	41.0	Under
2016	10/08	Buffalo	20	Kent State	44	Buffalo -2	Kent State	42.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kent State	17	Buffalo	18	Buffalo -3	Kent State	43.5	Under
2013	10/26	Kent State	21	Buffalo	41	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	0
2012	09/19	Buffalo	7	Kent State	23
2009	11/27	Kent State	6	Buffalo	9
2008	11/28	Buffalo	21	Kent State	24
2007	11/24	Kent State	23	Buffalo	30
2006	11/04	Buffalo	41	Kent State	14
2005	11/12	Kent State	6	Buffalo	10
2004	11/06	Buffalo	7	Kent State	33
2003	11/22	Kent State	34	Buffalo	24
2002	10/26	Buffalo	12	Kent State	16
2001	10/20	Kent State	35	Buffalo	13
2000	11/03	Buffalo	20	Kent State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	13	6	7 Overs
Kent State	10	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 14	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 9	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#) KENT at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#98
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#99
OffenseOff	#55	#107
DefenseDef	#79	#60
Spec TeamsST	#106	#115
TalentTal	#113	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kent State Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#19	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#16	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#119	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Buffalo -4.5 (51.0)
Kent State won at Buffalo this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (31-28)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2024 (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)

KENT's OC Andrew Sowder (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD