Buffalo at Eastern Michigan Game Matchup

Buffalo Bulls at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Wednesday, November 20th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Eastern Michigan -1 (53.5) (-112) Open: -1.5
Buffalo 37 - Eastern Michigan: 20 (Mid-American)

Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Our Line: Buffalo -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -9.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 29 - EMU: 25 (54)
EMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 253 miles

Eagles (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (52 - 68)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Buffalo vs Lafayette	-3.5	45.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Buffalo at Missouri	+34.5	53.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Buffalo vs Massachusetts	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Buffalo at Northern Illinois	+13.0	42.5	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Buffalo at UConn	+6.0	44.5	L 3 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Buffalo vs Toledo	+10.5	44.5	W 30 - 15	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+1.0	49.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Buffalo at Ohio	+4.0	46.5	L 16 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/2	Buffalo at Akron	+1.0	49.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12	Buffalo vs Ball State	-3.5	55.5	W 51 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/20	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+1.0	53.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Tue 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-23.5	50.5	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 1/4	Buffalo vs Liberty	-4.5	50.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	+2.5	49.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Eastern Michigan at Washington	+25.0	48.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Eastern Michigan vs Jacksonville State	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-25.5	45.5	W 36 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Eastern Michigan at Kent State	-14.0	46.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+3.0	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	52.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Eastern Michigan at Akron	-2.5	50.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/2	Eastern Michigan vs Toledo	+10.0	54.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Eastern Michigan at Ohio	+10.5	51.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Wed 11/20	Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo	-1.0	53.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/30	Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.5	56.5	L 18 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#130 (.03)	37% (116)	28.8	43% (67)	2.93 (102)	134	32% (129)	185	3.54 (95)	#41 (.14)	39% (33)	26.4	37% (25)	42% (68)	3.55 (48)	41.6	1.6	1.6
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	25.9	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	27.9	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	28.8	20	37.4%	3.54	1.6	17	319	134	185	3.7	51%	48%	43%	32%	16%	.03
EMU Defense	13	27.9	28.7	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	26.4	33.7	38.7%	3.55	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	37%	42%	18%	.14
EMU Offense	13	25.9	28.8	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	30:32	17.2	34%	37%	4.8	41.6	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.4	2	29.4
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	51% (61)	43% (67)	36.3	133.6	3.7	15 (100)	.09 (102)	2.93 (102)	65% (119)	9% (40)	0.92 (103)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56% (119)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	.15 (76)	2.82 (24)	65% (25)	12% (19)	1.25 (131)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	48% (77)	32% (129)	17.7	32.8	185.3	5.6	10.5	14 (106)	11 (68)	.04 (130)	1.5 (99)	32% (68)	26% (108)	.16 (116)	8% (119)	1.9 (109)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43% (13)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (29)	1.4 (18)	35% (32)	28% (39)	.23 (30)	5% (95)	2 (54)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -12.53 Eastern Michigan: -12.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Eastern Michigan: -13.3

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -12.69 #116
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
2024 Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Eastern Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/20	Eastern Michigan	20	Buffalo	37	Buffalo	Eastern Michigan -1	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2023	11/21	Buffalo	11	Eastern Michigan	24	Eastern Michigan	Buffalo -6.5	Eastern Michigan	38.5	Under
2022	09/24	Eastern Michigan	31	Buffalo	50	Buffalo	Eastern Michigan -6.5	Buffalo	57.5	Over
2019	11/02	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo	43	Buffalo	Buffalo -1	Buffalo	50.5	Over
2018	09/15	Buffalo	35	Eastern Michigan	28	Buffalo	Buffalo -3	Buffalo	54.0	Over
2014	10/11	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	27	Eastern Michigan	Buffalo -14	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	10/05	Buffalo	42	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo	Buffalo -13	Buffalo	0
2011	11/12	Eastern Michigan	30	Buffalo	17	Eastern Michigan
2010	11/20	Buffalo	17	Eastern Michigan	21	Eastern Michigan
2005	11/19	Buffalo	14	Eastern Michigan	38	Eastern Michigan
2004	09/02	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	34	Eastern Michigan
2001	10/27	Eastern Michigan	24	Buffalo	20	Eastern Michigan

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	7	2	4 Overs
Buffalo	5	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 1	3 - 2

(#106) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all

Buffalo Ratings Matchup Eastern Michigan

Power #106

#116

Off #104

#114

Def #93

#100

Talent #120

#87

SP+ #87

#114

SP+ Off #84

#110

SP+ Def #93

#115

Rematch from Week 13
Eastern Michigan -1.0 (53.5)
Buffalo won at Eastern Michigan this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (50-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 36° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | EMU
Depth Chart: BUFF | EMU
Rosters: BUFF | EMU

(#116) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.69 #116
Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 542.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Eastern Michigan Notes
(11/18) Off was awful & Def all. 21 pts in 2H in Ohio L
(11/2) Def 22 pt 4th Q collapse cost them vs Toledo
(10/20) Synder 17-38, 300, 3 TDs, Run Def all 285 yds
(10/13) Def awful vs M-Oh. Snyder bad, Rgame bad
(10/4) Off good, Def v bad. QB Synder best in MAC?
(9/14) 52 car/152 yds vs Jax St? QB Snyder good
(9/1) Good W @ UMass. Off Ok, Def good wk 1
(8/15) Called the dirtiest team in the MAC.
(8/9) QB Snyder has 25 starts at Buffalo
(8/7) Stats LY are more like a 3-4 win team, bravo

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Ogbonna	190	336	57%	2381	19	5	7.1
Gunnar Gray	4	11	36%	41	0	1	3.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Al-Jay Henderson	204	1078	9	5.3	68
CJ Ogbonna	122	346	8	2.8	26
Messiah Burch	29	153	2	5.3	31
Lamar Sperling	39	150	1	3.8	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Victor Snow	55	651	6	11.8	46
JJ Jenkins (Tr)	36	536	4	14.9	90
Al-Jay Henderson	19	238	1	12.5	75
Taji Johnson (Tr)	19	215	2	11.3	34

View Buffalo's Full Roster

Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khalil Murdock	156	17	2	4	1
Solomon Brown	66	2	0	0	6
Dion Crawford	58	15	9	4	2
Marquis Cooper	55	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Stewart (Tr)	40	12	10	3	2
Dion Crawford	58	15	9	4	2
Antonio Colclough (Tr)	14	4	3	4	1
Khalil Murdock	156	17	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Marquis Cooper	55	3	1	8
Solomon Brown	66	2	0	6
Eddie Pleasant III (Tr)	11	0	0	5

Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder (Tr)	239	402	60%	2676	15	9	6.7
Jeremiah Salem	8	11	73%	126	1	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III (Tr)	182	799	9	4.4	41
Cole Snyder (Tr)	136	322	4	2.4	29
Elijah Jackson-Anderson	54	218	2	4.0	40
Joey Mattord	29	118	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terry Lockett	46	660	5	14.3	79
Oran Singleton Jr.	64	644	2	10.1	44
Markus Allen	42	636	3	15.1	78
Max Reese	27	232	2	8.6	34

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Luke Murphy (Tr)	94	5	0	4	0
Quentavius Scandrett	54	0	0	1	2
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam (Tr)	26	7	5	0	0
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Trey Laing (Tr)	21	6	3	2	1
Joseph Zelinsky	30	6	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Barry Manning	27	3	0	0	2