Buffalo at Eastern Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Wednesday, November 20th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Eastern Michigan -1 (53.5) (-112) Open: -1.5
Buffalo 37 - Eastern Michigan: 20 (Mid-American)

Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Buffalo -4.5 (SP+ BUFF -9.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 28 - EMU: 24 (52)
EMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 253 miles

Eagles (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (52 - 68)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (24 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Buffalo vs Lafayette	-3.5	45.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Buffalo at Missouri	+34.5	53.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Buffalo vs Massachusetts	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Buffalo at Northern Illinois	+13.0	42.5	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Buffalo at UConn	+6.0	44.5	L 3 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Buffalo vs Toledo	+10.5	44.5	W 30 - 15	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+1.0	49.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Buffalo at Ohio	+4.0	46.5	L 16 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/2	Buffalo at Akron	+1.0	49.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12	Buffalo vs Ball State	-3.5	55.5	W 51 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/20	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+1.0	53.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Tue 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-23.5	50.5	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 1/4	Buffalo vs Liberty	-4.5	50.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	+2.5	49.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Eastern Michigan at Washington	+25.0	48.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Eastern Michigan vs Jacksonville State	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-25.5	45.5	W 36 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Eastern Michigan at Kent State	-14.0	46.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+3.0	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	52.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Eastern Michigan at Akron	-2.5	50.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/2	Eastern Michigan vs Toledo	+10.0	54.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Eastern Michigan at Ohio	+10.5	51.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Wed 11/20	Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo	-1.0	53.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/30	Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.5	56.5	L 18 - 26	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#130 (.03)	37% (116)	24	43% (67)	2.93 (102)	134	32% (129)	185	3.54 (95)	#41 (.14)	39% (33)	23.5	37% (25)	42% (68)	3.55 (48)	41.6	1.6	1.6
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	24.1	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	29.8	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	24	23.2	37.4%	3.54	1.6	17	319	134	185	3.7	51%	48%	43%	32%	16%	.03
EMU Defense	13	29.8	24.8	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	22.6	38.7%	3.55	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	37%	42%	18%	.14
EMU Offense	13	24.1	23.7	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	30:32	17.2	34%	37%	4.8	41.6	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.4	2	29.4
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	51% (61)	43% (67)	36.3	133.6	3.7	15 (100)	.09 (102)	2.93 (102)	65% (119)	9% (40)	0.92 (103)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56% (119)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	.15 (76)	2.82 (24)	65% (25)	12% (19)	1.25 (131)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	48% (77)	32% (129)	17.7	32.8	185.3	5.6	10.5	14 (106)	11 (68)	.04 (130)	1.5 (99)	32% (68)	26% (108)	.16 (116)	8% (119)	1.9 (109)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43% (13)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (29)	1.4 (18)	35% (32)	28% (39)	.23 (30)	5% (95)	2 (54)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 181.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -12.53 Eastern Michigan: -12.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Eastern Michigan: -13.3

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -12.69 #116
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
2024 Talent Rating: 261.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 28
Eastern Michigan 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Buffalo	31	Eastern Michigan	30	Buffalo -9.5	Eastern Michigan	53.5	Over
2024	11/20	Eastern Michigan	20	Buffalo	37	Eastern Michigan -1	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2023	11/21	Buffalo	11	Eastern Michigan	24	Buffalo -6.5	Eastern Michigan	38.5	Under
2022	09/24	Eastern Michigan	31	Buffalo	50	Eastern Michigan -6.5	Buffalo	57.5	Over
2019	11/02	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo	43	Buffalo -1	Buffalo	50.5	Over
2018	09/15	Buffalo	35	Eastern Michigan	28	Buffalo -3	Buffalo	54.0	Over
2014	10/11	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -14	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	10/05	Buffalo	42	Eastern Michigan	14	Buffalo -13	Buffalo	0
2011	11/12	Eastern Michigan	30	Buffalo	17
2010	11/20	Buffalo	17	Eastern Michigan	21
2005	11/19	Buffalo	14	Eastern Michigan	38
2004	09/02	Eastern Michigan	37	Buffalo	34
2001	10/27	Eastern Michigan	24	Buffalo	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	7	3	5 Overs
Buffalo	6	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 4	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 3	1 - 1	4 - 2

(#106) BUFF at (#116) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#106	#116
SP+SP+	#87	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#86
OffenseOff	#96	#87
DefenseDef	#42	#72
Spec TeamsST	#110	#114
TalentTal	#121	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Buffalo Notes(11/27) Hot finish, note it was vs bottom of MAC
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
(9/12) Staff upgrade for Buffalo under Lembo & staff
Buffalo Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Notes(11/25) 4 str L's, Rgame awful vs Buff. Vs WMU for bowl
(11/18) Off was awful & Def all. 21 pts in 2H in Ohio L
(11/2) Def 22 pt 4th Q collapse cost them vs Toledo
(10/20) Synder 17-38, 300, 3 TDs, Run Def all 285 yds
(10/13) Def awful vs M-Oh. Snyder bad, Rgame bad
(10/4) Off good, Def v bad. QB Synder best in MAC?
(9/14) 52 car/152 yds vs Jax St? QB Snyder good
(9/1) Good W @ UMass. Off Ok, Def good wk 1
(8/15) Called the dirtiest team in the MAC.
(8/9) QB Snyder has 25 starts at Buffalo
(8/7) Stats LY are more like a 3-4 win team, bravo
(7/30) MAC Dean Creighton great job, W last 2 to bowl
Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#72
SuccessSuc	#116	#74
ExplosiveExp	#121	#48
PPAPPA	#130	#73
PowerPwr	#104	#100
SP+SP+	#84	#115
Pts POPPO	#95	#58
HavocHav	#79	#99

Buffalo Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#106
Run ExplRExp	#103	#33
PPAExp	#102	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#116
TackleTak	-	#26

Buffalo Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BUFF Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#129
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#108
PPAExp	#130	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#101	#19
F7 HavocF7	#40	#102
DB HavocDB	#119	#76

Eastern Michigan on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#42
SuccessSuc	#127	#33
ExplosiveExp	#127	#99
PPAPPA	#123	#41
PowerPwr	#114	#93
SP+SP+	#110	#93
Pts POPPO	#74	#48
HavocHav	#112	#39

Eastern Michigan Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#126	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#25
Run ExplRExp	#104	#131
PPAExp	#109	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#32
TackleTak	-	#18

Eastern Michigan Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#18
PPAExp	#122	#29
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#67	#90
F7 HavocF7	#97	#19
DB HavocDB	#115	#95

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Eastern Michigan -1.0 (53.5)
Buffalo won at Eastern Michigan this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (31-30)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Ogbonna	190	336	57%	2381	19	5	7.1
Gunnar Gray	4	11	36%	41	0	1	3.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Al-Jay Henderson	204	1078	9	5.3	68
CJ Ogbonna	122	346	8	2.8	26
Jacqez Barksdale	82	306	2	3.7	19
Messiah Burch	29	153	2	5.3	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Victor Snow	55	651	6	11.8	46
JJ Jenkins (Tr)	36	536	4	14.9	90
Al-Jay Henderson	19	238	1	12.5	75
Taji Johnson (Tr)	19	215	2	11.3	34

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaun Dolac (Tr)	168	18	5	4	5
Khalil Murdock	156	17	2	4	1
Solomon Brown	66	2	0	0	6
Dion Crawford	58	15	9	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Stewart (Tr)	40	12	10	3	2
Dion Crawford	58	15	9	4	2
Shaun Dolac (Tr)	168	18	5	4	5
Antonio Colclough (Tr)	14	4	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marquis Cooper	55	3	0	1	8
Solomon Brown	66	2	0	0	6
Shaun Dolac (Tr)	168	18	5	4	5

EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder (Tr)	239	402	60%	2676	15	9	6.7
Jeremiah Salem	8	11	73%	126	1	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III (Tr)	182	799	9	4.4	41
Cole Snyder (Tr)	136	322	4	2.4	29
Elijah Jackson-Anderson	54	218	2	4.0	40
Joey Mattord	29	118	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terry Lockett	46	660	5	14.3	79
Oran Singleton Jr.	64	644	2	10.1	44
Markus Allen	42	636	3	15.1	78
Max Reese	27	232	2	8.6	34

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Ben Needham (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Luke Murphy (Tr)	94	5	0	4	0
Quentavius Scandrett	54	0	0	1	2
Peyton Price	51	9	4	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam (Tr)	26	7	5	0	0
Justin Jefferson	34	5	4	9	0
Peyton Price	51	9	4	6	0
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Bryce Llewellyn (Tr)	8	0	0	0	2