Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -23.5 (48.5) (-2800) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 31 - Kent State: 28 (Mid-American)
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Buffalo -12.5 (SP+ BUFF -16)
Projected Score: BUFF: 31 - KENT: 19 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles
Projected Score: BUFF: 31 - KENT: 19 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles
Golden Flashes (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +16.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -37.0 | 48.0 | W 45 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Buffalo at Kent State | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Buffalo vs Troy | -6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Buffalo vs UConn | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Buffalo vs Akron | -17 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/12 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -14.5 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -10 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Buffalo vs Ohio | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Kent State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kent State vs Merrimack | -5.5 | 50.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kent State at Texas Tech | +48.5 | 60.0 | L 14 - 62 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kent State vs Buffalo | +23.5 | 48.5 | L 28 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Kent State at Florida State | +45.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kent State at Oklahoma | +49 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Kent State vs Massachusetts | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kent State at Toledo | +30 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kent State vs Bowling Green | +6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/5 | Kent State at Ball State | +0 | |||||
| Tue 11/11 | Kent State at Akron | +3 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Kent State vs Central Michigan | -4.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Kent State at Northern Illinois | +15.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #73 (.19) | 41% (91) | 28.7 | 45% (62) | 3.02 (67) | 186 | 35% (113) | 186 | 4.58 (43) | #79 (.15) | 40% (74) | 19 | 34% (32) | 46% (105) | 2.3 (27) | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| KENT | #135 (-.08) | 29% (134) | 21 | 26% (135) | 1.91 (133) | 102 | 33% (116) | 215 | 2.33 (126) | #92 (.18) | 39% (66) | 36.7 | 40% (76) | 38% (58) | 4 (89) | 47.7 | 1 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| KENT | #131 (.01) | 30% (134) | 33% (132) | 2.57 (128) | 78 | 29% (134) | 155 | 2.89 (130) | #133 (.35) | 50% (131) | 50% (123) | 51% (130) | 4.34 (115) | 35.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 20.5 | 40.8% | 4.58 | 1.3 | 21 | 372 | 186 | 186 | 4.8 | 60% | 39% | 45% | 35% | 11% | .19 |
| KENT Defense | 3 | 36.7 | 24 | 39% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 40% | 38% | 10% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 19 | 25.5 | 40.2% | 2.3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 46% | 12% | .15 |
| KENT Offense | 3 | 21 | 24.5 | 29.3% | 2.33 | 1 | 15 | 317 | 102 | 215 | 2.7 | 56% | 44% | 26% | 33% | 18% | -.08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 3 | 27:09 | 21.3 | 43% | 50% | 3.7 | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 0 | 32.3 |
| Kent State | 3 | 31:54 | 15 | 32% | 44% | 6.3 | 47.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 60% (18) | 45% (62) | 38.7 | 185.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (55) | 3.02 (67) | 83% (28) | 6% (23) | 0.97 (65) |
| KENT Defense | 3 | 48% (54) | 40% (76) | - | - | - | - | .14 (99) | 2.65 (53) | 44% (15) | 7% (115) | 1.09 (96) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 47% (53) | 34% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (20) | 2.93 (84) | 75% (80) | 7% (117) | 0.65 (9) |
| KENT Offense | 3 | 56% (38) | 26% (135) | 38 | 102.3 | 2.7 | 3 (95) | -.19 (135) | 1.91 (133) | 57% (114) | 12% (116) | 0.66 (129) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 39% (120) | 35% (113) | 17 | 27.3 | 186 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (72) | 1.6 (48) | 29% (56) | 30% (81) | .25 (87) | 5% (63) | 1.4 (126) |
| KENT Defense | 3 | 52% (84) | 38% (58) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .22 (70) | 1.5 (68) | 33% (62) | 40% (124) | .44 (105) | 3% (125) | 1.6 (33) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 53% (87) | 46% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (113) | 1.6 (90) | 34% (57) | 32% (85) | .27 (71) | 6% (76) | 1.6 (23) |
| KENT Offense | 3 | 44% (95) | 33% (116) | 15 | 25.7 | 215 | 8.4 | 14.3 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .06 (123) | 2 (6) | 39% (126) | 16% (131) | -.09 (134) | 6% (92) | 2.6 (8) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.16 Kent State: -17.26
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Kent State: -21.7
Buffalo: -4.16 Kent State: -17.26
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -5.5 Kent State: -21.7
Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.26 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.26 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 31
Kent State 19
Total Points: 50
Buffalo 31
Kent State 19
Total Points: 50
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | Kent State | 28 | Buffalo | 31 | Buffalo | Buffalo -23.5 | Kent State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/26 | Buffalo | 43 | Kent State | 7 | Buffalo | Buffalo -23.5 | Buffalo | 50.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Kent State | 6 | Buffalo | 24 | Buffalo | Buffalo -6.5 | Buffalo | 44.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Buffalo | 27 | Kent State | 30 | Kent State | Buffalo -4.5 | Kent State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Kent State | 48 | Buffalo | 38 | Kent State | Kent State -7 | Kent State | 66.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/28 | Buffalo | 70 | Kent State | 41 | Buffalo | Buffalo -7.5 | Buffalo | 70.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/14 | Kent State | 30 | Buffalo | 27 | Kent State | Buffalo -6 | Kent State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/06 | Buffalo | 48 | Kent State | 14 | Buffalo | Buffalo -17 | Buffalo | 44.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/30 | Kent State | 13 | Buffalo | 27 | Buffalo | Buffalo -7.5 | Buffalo | 41.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Buffalo | 20 | Kent State | 44 | Kent State | Buffalo -2 | Kent State | 42.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/05 | Kent State | 17 | Buffalo | 18 | Buffalo | Buffalo -3 | Kent State | 43.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Kent State | 21 | Buffalo | 41 | Buffalo | Buffalo -2 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/19 | Buffalo | 7 | Kent State | 23 | Kent State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | Kent State | 6 | Buffalo | 9 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Buffalo | 21 | Kent State | 24 | Kent State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/24 | Kent State | 23 | Buffalo | 30 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Buffalo | 41 | Kent State | 14 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Kent State | 6 | Buffalo | 10 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2004 | 11/06 | Buffalo | 7 | Kent State | 33 | Kent State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Kent State | 34 | Buffalo | 24 | Kent State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Buffalo | 12 | Kent State | 16 | Kent State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/20 | Kent State | 35 | Buffalo | 13 | Kent State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Buffalo | 20 | Kent State | 17 | Buffalo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 10 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| Buffalo | 13 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 14 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 2 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 9 | 5 - 7 | 3 - 3 | 2 - 4 |
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Power Rating: -4.16 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | KENT | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #99 | #44 |
| OffenseOff | #111 | #43 |
| DefenseDef | #65 | #60 |
| Special TeamsST | #107 | #32 |
| PassingPass | #55 | #67 |
| RushingRush | #107 | #71 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #116 | #19 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #119 | #30 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #76 | #69 |
| TacklingTkl | #44 | #33 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #38 | #41 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #84 | #38 |
| Coverage DefCov | #79 | #88 |
Rematch from Week 3
Buffalo 23.5 (48.5)
Buffalo won at Kent State this year (31-28)
Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)
Kent State beat Buffalo in 2022 (30-27)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | KENT
Depth Chart: BUFF | KENT
Rosters: BUFF | KENT
(#124) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -17.26 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kent State has lost 1 straight
Kent State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY
Kent State Highlights
Kent State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Power Rating: -17.26 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kent State has lost 1 straight
Kent State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY
Kent State Highlights
Kent State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 50 | 80 | 63% | 558 | 5 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Gunnar Gray | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 50 | 198 | 3 | 4.0 | 38 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 28 | 158 | 2 | 5.6 | 40 |
| James McNeil Jr. | 10 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Lamar Sperling | 13 | 50 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 40 |
| Nik McMillan | 10 | 148 | 1 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Chance Morrow | 6 | 99 | 1 | 16.5 | 26 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 10 | 80 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Greer (Tr) | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dion Crawford | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Junior Poyser | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen McNair | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Deshields | 35 | 57 | 61% | 513 | 4 | 0 | 9.0 |
| CJ Montes (Tr) | 10 | 19 | 53% | 140 | 1 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Garcia | 45 | 135 | 0 | 3.0 | 11 |
| Dru Deshields | 24 | 61 | 2 | 2.5 | 10 |
| Jahzae Kimbrough | 16 | 45 | 0 | 2.8 | 12 |
| Maurice Stephens | 1 | 31 | 1 | 31.0 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Wolford | 7 | 223 | 4 | 31.9 | 79 |
| Terik Mulder (Tr) | 7 | 89 | 1 | 12.7 | 50 |
| Wayne Harris | 7 | 75 | 0 | 10.7 | 27 |
| Ardell Banks | 4 | 75 | 0 | 18.8 | 38 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Young | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Woods | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaire Rawlison | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Joel Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Campbell | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamond Mathis (Tr) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Jelani Davis (Tr) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Thomas Aden (Tr) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaire Rawlison | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Terrell Miller | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Darian Blachewicz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |