Buffalo at Ohio - 2022 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Ohio Bobcats  Ohio logo
Tuesday, November 1st 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -2.5 (61.0)
Ohio 45 - Buffalo: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF coming off BYE
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: -5  (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - OHIO: 28 (50)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles
Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Buffalo at Maryland+24.066.0L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/10 Buffalo vs Holy Cross-6.051.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Coastal Carolina+12.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+6.557.5W 50 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-3.050.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Buffalo at Bowling Green-2.055.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/15 Buffalo at Massachusetts-17.047.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Buffalo vs Toledo+7.056.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Buffalo at Ohio-2.561.0L 24 - 45ON
Wed 11/9 Buffalo at Central Michigan+3.054.0L 27 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Buffalo vs Akron-14.043.5
Sat 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-4.551.0L 27 - 30ON
Fri 12/2 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 23 - 22UN
Tue 12/27 Buffalo vs Georgia Southern+6.067.0W 23 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Ohio's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Florida Atlantic+6.051.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Penn State+28.055.0L 10 - 46ON
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Iowa State+20.048.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Fordham-16.573.5W 59 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Kent State+13.065.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Akron-10.058.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 10/15 Ohio at Western Michigan+2.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Ohio vs Northern Illinois+2.565.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Ohio vs Buffalo+2.561.0W 45 - 24OY
Tue 11/8 Ohio at Miami (OH)-2.552.0W 37 - 21OY
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Ball State-3.557.5W 32 - 18UY
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Bowling Green-5.552.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 12/3 Ohio vs Toledo+3.554.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/30 Ohio vs Wyoming-3.043.0W 30 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1843%2445%3.1619642%2153.82.3144%23.545%43%3.67521.61.3
OHIO.2245%27.847%3.4918743%1843.85.2747%21.945%50%4.0158.61.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.2%3.821.6244101962154.456%43%45%42%14%.18
OHIO Defense1221.92047%4.010.8 - - - - - 51%49%45%50%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%19%.31
OHIO Offense1227.836.344.9%3.851.3203711871845.256%44%47%43%16%.22

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:3523.847%58%5.4521.61.37.33.1026
Ohio1229:4620.236%65%6.258.61.30.84.61.3129
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1256%45%44.9195.54.430.163.1683%9%0.91
OHIO Defense1251%45% - - - - .23.3364%8%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256%45% - - - - .323.1772%14%1.37
OHIO Offense1256%47%36.2187.35.220.283.4971%11%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1243%42%18.230.6214.9711.81211.261.528%31%.35%1.9
OHIO Defense1249%50% - - - - - - 6.351.426%33%.394%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 3.371.832%39%.595%2.1
OHIO Offense1244%43%16.726.1184.17.111.1118.181.331%30%.315%1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2  #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ohio: 0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2   Ohio: -4.6




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 0.2 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Buffalo26Ohio31Ohio -7.0Buffalo44.5Over
202410/26Ohio47Buffalo16Ohio -4.0Ohio46.5Over
202311/07Buffalo10Ohio20Ohio -9.5Ohio45.5Under
202211/01Ohio45Buffalo24Buffalo -2.5Ohio61.0Over
202110/16Buffalo27Ohio26Buffalo -7.5Ohio54.5Under
201910/05Buffalo20Ohio21Ohio -3Buffalo53.0Under
201811/14Ohio52Buffalo17Ohio -2.5Ohio66.0Over
201711/24Buffalo31Ohio24Ohio -7Buffalo56.0Under
201611/03Ohio34Buffalo10Ohio -19Ohio51.5Under
201510/24Buffalo41Ohio17Ohio -2Buffalo53.0Over
201411/05Ohio37Buffalo14Ohio -2Ohio0
201311/05Buffalo30Ohio3Buffalo -2.5Buffalo0
201210/06Ohio38Buffalo31
201110/08Buffalo38Ohio37
201011/04Ohio34Buffalo17
200911/10Buffalo24Ohio27
200810/28Ohio19Buffalo32
200710/06Buffalo31Ohio10
200610/21Ohio42Buffalo7
200510/29Buffalo20Ohio34
200409/25Ohio34Buffalo0
200310/25Buffalo26Ohio17
200209/28Ohio34Buffalo32
200111/03Buffalo44Ohio0
200010/06Ohio42Buffalo20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1675 Overs
Buffalo955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 610 - 25 - 15 - 1
Road Teams6 - 192 - 101 - 51 - 5

(#) BUFF at (#) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #86
Perf GradeGrade #99 #66
OffenseOff #107 #25
DefenseDef #60 #120
Spec TeamsST #115 #47
TalentTal #117 #119
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #119 #92
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #102 #124
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #62 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #96
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #12 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #60
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Buffalo 2.5 (61.0)
Ohio won vs Buffalo this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (31-26)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2024 (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)

  
BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD