Buffalo at Ohio - 2022 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 1st 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -2.5 (61.0)
Ohio 45 - Buffalo: 24 (Mid-American)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BUFF coming off BYE
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: -5 (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 29 - OHIO: 28 (57)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles

Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (44 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0	66.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.5	W 50 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0	55.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5	61.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5	51.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Ohio's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio vs Florida Atlantic	+6.0	51.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Ohio at Penn State	+28.0	55.0	L 10 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ohio at Iowa State	+20.0	48.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/24	Ohio vs Fordham	-16.5	73.5	W 59 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/1	Ohio at Kent State	+13.0	65.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio vs Akron	-10.0	58.5	W 55 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ohio at Western Michigan	+2.0	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ohio vs Northern Illinois	+2.5	65.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ohio vs Buffalo	+2.5	61.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/8	Ohio at Miami (OH)	-2.5	52.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Tue 11/15	Ohio at Ball State	-3.5	57.5	W 32 - 18	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-5.5	52.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Ohio vs Toledo	+3.5	54.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/30	Ohio vs Wyoming	-3.0	43.0	W 30 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.17	44%	28.5	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	26.7	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2
OHIO	.23	44%	31.8	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	28.3	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	13	28.5	29.9	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17
OHIO Defense	14	28.3	29.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	13	26.7	27.1	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27
OHIO Offense	14	31.8	43.7	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Ohio: 0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2 Ohio: -4.6

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 0.2 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.9
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.1

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Ohio 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 30
Ohio 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 32
Buffalo 29

Total Points: 61

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.8

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Buffalo	26	Ohio	31	Ohio -7.0	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2024	10/26	Ohio	47	Buffalo	16	Ohio -4.0	Ohio	46.5	Over
2023	11/07	Buffalo	10	Ohio	20	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	45.5	Under
2022	11/01	Ohio	45	Buffalo	24	Buffalo -2.5	Ohio	61.0	Over
2021	10/16	Buffalo	27	Ohio	26	Buffalo -7.5	Ohio	54.5	Under
2019	10/05	Buffalo	20	Ohio	21	Ohio -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2018	11/14	Ohio	52	Buffalo	17	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	66.0	Over
2017	11/24	Buffalo	31	Ohio	24	Ohio -7	Buffalo	56.0	Under
2016	11/03	Ohio	34	Buffalo	10	Ohio -19	Ohio	51.5	Under
2015	10/24	Buffalo	41	Ohio	17	Ohio -2	Buffalo	53.0	Over
2014	11/05	Ohio	37	Buffalo	14	Ohio -2	Ohio	0
2013	11/05	Buffalo	30	Ohio	3	Buffalo -2.5	Buffalo	0
2012	10/06	Ohio	38	Buffalo	31
2011	10/08	Buffalo	38	Ohio	37
2010	11/04	Ohio	34	Buffalo	17
2009	11/10	Buffalo	24	Ohio	27
2008	10/28	Ohio	19	Buffalo	32
2007	10/06	Buffalo	31	Ohio	10
2006	10/21	Ohio	42	Buffalo	7
2005	10/29	Buffalo	20	Ohio	34
2004	09/25	Ohio	34	Buffalo	0
2003	10/25	Buffalo	26	Ohio	17
2002	09/28	Ohio	34	Buffalo	32
2001	11/03	Buffalo	44	Ohio	0
2000	10/06	Ohio	42	Buffalo	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	16	7	5 Overs
Buffalo	9	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 6	10 - 2	5 - 1	5 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 19	2 - 10	1 - 5	1 - 5

(#) BUFF at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#99	#66
OffenseOff	#107	#25
DefenseDef	#60	#120
Spec TeamsST	#115	#47
TalentTal	#117	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#120
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#119	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#130

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#100	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#62	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Buffalo 2.5 (61.0)
Ohio won vs Buffalo this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2022 (45-24)

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD