Akron at Buffalo - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -14.0 (43.5)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY (Mid-American)

Zips (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 34 (21 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ BUFF -14)
Projected Score: AKR: 25 - BUFF: 32 (57)
BUFF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
AKR Travel: 193 miles

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Akron vs St. Francis (PA)	-12
Sat 9/10	Akron at Michigan State	+34.5	56.0	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Tennessee	+47.5	67.0	L 6 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Akron at Liberty	+26.5	52.5	L 12 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron vs Bowling Green	+9.0	49.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Akron at Ohio	+10.0	58.5	L 34 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Central Michigan	+12.0	60.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Akron at Kent State	+16.0	65.0	L 27 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+9.0	51.5	L 9 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8	Akron vs Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.0	L 28 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Akron at Buffalo	+14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Akron at Northern Illinois	+9.5	51.5	W 44 - 12	O	Y
Fri 12/2	Akron at Buffalo	+12.0	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0	66.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.5	W 50 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0	55.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5	61.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5	51.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	44%	21.8	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	33.5	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8
BUFF	.17	44%	28.5	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	26.7	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	21.8	20.7	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14
BUFF Defense	13	26.7	27.2	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	33.5	37	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27
BUFF Offense	13	28.5	27.8	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Akron's 2022 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.4 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #113
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: Buffalo: -2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -23.4 Buffalo: -9.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Akron's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 32
Akron 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 32
Akron 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 32
Akron 24

Total Points: 56

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Buffalo	16	Akron	24	Buffalo -10	Akron	48.5	Under
2024	11/02	Akron	30	Buffalo	41	Akron -1	Buffalo	49.0	Over
2023	09/30	Akron	10	Buffalo	13	Akron -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2022	12/02	Buffalo	23	Akron	22	Buffalo -12.0	Akron	55.0	Under
2021	10/23	Akron	10	Buffalo	45	Buffalo -13.5	Buffalo	58.5	Under
2020	12/12	Buffalo	56	Akron	7	Buffalo -33.5	Buffalo	58.5	Over
2019	10/19	Akron	0	Buffalo	21	Buffalo -17.5	Buffalo	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Buffalo	24	Akron	6	Buffalo -12	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2017	10/28	Akron	21	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -3	Akron	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Buffalo	41	Akron	20	Akron -14.5	Buffalo	63.0	Under
2015	11/21	Akron	42	Buffalo	21	Akron -2.5	Akron	45.0	Over
2014	11/11	Buffalo	55	Akron	24	Akron -2.5	Buffalo	0
2011	11/19	Buffalo	51	Akron	10
2010	11/26	Akron	22	Buffalo	14
2009	10/17	Buffalo	21	Akron	17
2008	11/13	Akron	40	Buffalo	43
2007	10/27	Buffalo	26	Akron	10
2006	11/09	Akron	31	Buffalo	16
2005	10/08	Buffalo	7	Akron	13
2004	10/09	Akron	44	Buffalo	21
2003	09/27	Buffalo	21	Akron	38
2001	11/17	Buffalo	14	Akron	41
2000	11/10	Akron	49	Buffalo	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	13	8	3 Overs
Akron	10	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 14	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#) AKR at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#98
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#99
OffenseOff	#100	#107
DefenseDef	#125	#60
Spec TeamsST	#106	#115
TalentTal	#95	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Akron Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#101	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#83	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#119	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#95

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#83
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Buffalo -12.0 (55.0)
Buffalo won vs Akron this year (23-22)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

AKR's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD