Buffalo at Akron - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Akron -3 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 13 - Akron: 10 (Mid-American)

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -2.5 (SP+ BUFF -6.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 26 - AKR: 24 (50)
AKR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.17	44%	24	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	23.5	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2
AKR	.14	44%	22.3	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	27.4	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	13	24	23.2	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17
AKR Defense	12	27.4	18.5	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	13	23.5	22.6	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27
AKR Offense	12	22.3	27.5	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23 Akron: -15.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1 Akron: -21.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 445.02 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 26
Akron 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Buffalo	16	Akron	24	Buffalo -10	Akron	48.5	Under
2024	11/02	Akron	30	Buffalo	41	Akron -1	Buffalo	49.0	Over
2023	09/30	Akron	10	Buffalo	13	Akron -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2022	12/02	Buffalo	23	Akron	22	Buffalo -12.0	Akron	55.0	Under
2021	10/23	Akron	10	Buffalo	45	Buffalo -13.5	Buffalo	58.5	Under
2020	12/12	Buffalo	56	Akron	7	Buffalo -33.5	Buffalo	58.5	Over
2019	10/19	Akron	0	Buffalo	21	Buffalo -17.5	Buffalo	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Buffalo	24	Akron	6	Buffalo -12	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2017	10/28	Akron	21	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -3	Akron	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Buffalo	41	Akron	20	Akron -14.5	Buffalo	63.0	Under
2015	11/21	Akron	42	Buffalo	21	Akron -2.5	Akron	45.0	Over
2014	11/11	Buffalo	55	Akron	24	Akron -2.5	Buffalo	0
2011	11/19	Buffalo	51	Akron	10
2010	11/26	Akron	22	Buffalo	14
2009	10/17	Buffalo	21	Akron	17
2008	11/13	Akron	40	Buffalo	43
2007	10/27	Buffalo	26	Akron	10
2006	11/09	Akron	31	Buffalo	16
2005	10/08	Buffalo	7	Akron	13
2004	10/09	Akron	44	Buffalo	21
2003	09/27	Buffalo	21	Akron	38
2001	11/17	Buffalo	14	Akron	41
2000	11/10	Akron	49	Buffalo	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	10	4	3 Overs
Buffalo	13	8	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 14	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#120) BUFF at (#130) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#120	#130
SP+SP+	#117	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#114	#134
OffenseOff	#130	#136
DefenseDef	#52	#92
Spec TeamsST	#22	#110
TalentTal	#131	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Buffalo Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#92
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#125	#63
SP+SP+	#125	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#90	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#37

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#89	#111
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#52
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#129	#50
SP+SP+	#132	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#98	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#121

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#84
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Akron -3.0 (53.0)
Buffalo won at Akron this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Buffalo last year (24-16)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2024 (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder	203	372	55%	2109	13	9	5.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	8	21	38%	87	1	2	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ron Cook Jr.	148	609	6	4.1	36
Michael Washington	90	362	2	4.0	49
Jacqez Barksdale	52	248	2	4.8	39
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	51	214	3	4.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marlyn Johnson	40	495	4	12.4	80
Darrell Harding Jr.	23	451	3	19.6	52
Boobie Curry	29	303	1	10.4	48
Cole Harrity	35	294	3	8.4	29

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)	82	11	1	2	2
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Marcus Fuqua	51	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
George Wolo	23	6	4	3	1
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Jaylon Bass	12	2	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Oliver	17	1	0	0	5
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5