Buffalo at Akron - 2023 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Akron ZipsAkron logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Akron -3 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 13 - Akron: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (19 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -2.5   (SP+ BUFF -6.5)

Projected Score: BUFF: 26 - AKR: 24 (50)
AKR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles
Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Akron's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Akron at Temple+9.555.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Akron vs Morgan State-25.046.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/16 Akron at Kentucky+25.048.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Akron at Indiana+16.545.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 Akron vs Buffalo-3.053.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Akron vs Northern Illinois+4.042.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 10/14 Akron at Central Michigan+10.544.0L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Akron at Bowling Green+7.037.0L 14 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Akron vs Kent State-4.039.0W 31 - 27ON
Wed 11/8 Akron at Miami (OH)+17.537.5L 0 - 19UN
Tue 11/14 Akron at Eastern Michigan+3.539.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/24 Akron vs Ohio+13.541.5L 14 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#130 (.03)37% (116)20.943% (67)2.93 (102)13432% (129)1853.54 (95)#41 (.14)39% (33)27.437% (25)42% (68)3.55 (48)41.61.61.6
AKR#129 (.04)36% (124)16.341% (86)2.74 (123)8134% (121)1982.59 (131)#29 (.12)39% (37)2841% (53)38% (22)3.78 (68)60.21.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1220.919.237.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03
AKR Defense122828.239.2%3.780.9 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1227.425.538.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14
AKR Offense1216.318.636.4%2.591.817279811982.840%58%41%34%18%.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Akron1229:3316.733%35%6.960.21.80.95.21.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (119)9% (40)0.92 (103)
AKR Defense1252% (100)41% (53) - - - - .11 (49)2.91 (38)72% (62)10% (77)1.09 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (25)12% (19)1.25 (131)
AKR Offense1240% (124)41% (86)28.8812.812 (116).09 (97)2.74 (123)81% (16)10% (72)0.9 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)
AKR Defense1247% (34)38% (22) - - - - - - 6 (120).18 (19)1.7 (102)35% (23)30% (63).31 (67)5% (112)2.2 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)
AKR Offense1258% (14)34% (121)21.535.4197.65.69.210 (120)15 (116).07 (127)1.4 (128)35% (118)24% (120).13 (122)8% (121)2.1 (54)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Akron: -15.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Akron: -21.6




Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 26
Akron 24


Total Points: 50

Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Akron30Buffalo41BuffaloAkron -1Buffalo49.0Over
202309/30Akron10Buffalo13BuffaloAkron -3Buffalo53.0Under
202212/02Buffalo23Akron22BuffaloBuffalo -12.0Akron55.0Under
202110/23Akron10Buffalo45BuffaloBuffalo -13.5Buffalo58.5Under
202012/12Buffalo56Akron7BuffaloBuffalo -33.5Buffalo58.5Over
201910/19Akron0Buffalo21BuffaloBuffalo -17.5Buffalo48.0Under
201810/13Buffalo24Akron6BuffaloBuffalo -12Buffalo55.0Under
201710/28Akron21Buffalo20AkronBuffalo -3Akron49.5Under
201610/27Buffalo41Akron20BuffaloAkron -14.5Buffalo63.0Under
201511/21Akron42Buffalo21AkronAkron -2.5Akron45.0Over
201411/11Buffalo55Akron24BuffaloAkron -2.5Buffalo0
201111/19Buffalo51Akron10Buffalo
201011/26Akron22Buffalo14Akron
200910/17Buffalo21Akron17Buffalo
200811/13Akron40Buffalo43Buffalo
200710/27Buffalo26Akron10Buffalo
200611/09Akron31Buffalo16Akron
200510/08Buffalo7Akron13Akron
200410/09Akron44Buffalo21Akron
200309/27Buffalo21Akron38Akron
200111/17Buffalo14Akron41Akron
200011/10Akron49Buffalo14Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Akron933 Overs
Buffalo1387 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 86 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams8 - 145 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#120) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


Buffalo has lost 4 straight
Buffalo has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a good run defense (#32)
Buffalo Defensive Line is very good (#84)
Buffalo Front 7 is disruptive (#117)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)

Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo has a really bad Offense
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo offense is not Explosive (#89)
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Buffalo does not Sack the QB (#13)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAKRBUFF
OverallOver#113#95
OffenseOff#116#111
DefenseDef#70#44
Special TeamsST#88#22
PassingPass#112#99
RushingRush#70#63
Run BlockRBLK#94#97
Pass BlockPBLK#103#77
Route RunningWR Rt#110#101
TacklingTkl#33#103
Run DefenseR Def#68#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#84#66
Coverage DefCov#66#70

Rematch from Week 5
Akron -3.0 (53.0)
Buffalo won at Akron this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | AKR
Depth Chart: BUFF | AKR
Rosters: BUFF | AKR
(#130) Akron Info
Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80


Akron has lost 2 straight
Akron has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (1 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

Akron Highlights
Akron has a good pass defense (#87)

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron has a really bad Offense at Home
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Akron throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron offense is not Explosive (#119)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#54)


  
Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)8211122
Devin Grant782003
Khalil Murdock558220
Marcus Fuqua513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Michel4510414
George Wolo236431
Khalil Murdock558220
Jaylon Bass122211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Oliver171005
Max Michel4510414
Devin Grant782003

Akron's OC Billy Fessler
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Undercuffler13822462%1378496.2
DJ Irons8813366%722335.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)14364144.571
DJ Irons6121523.547
Tahj Bullock (Tr)6216542.727
Drake Anderson4013213.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jasaiah Gathings55575110.539
Daniel George52529110.250
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)3735629.677
Alex Adams2218828.529

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish854130
Bryan McCoy815100
Darrian Lewis652113
C.J. Nunnally5812582
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5812582
Bennett Adler245310
Antonio Smith32220
Shammond Cooper (Tr)416210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant301026
Kerry Martin Jr.442106
Judson Tallandier393015