Buffalo at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -29 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 38 - Buffalo: 17

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
Our Line: Wisconsin -24   (SP+ WIS -25)
Projected Score: BUFF: 13 - WIS: 37 (51)
WIS Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
BUFF Travel: 537 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82043.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
WIS Defense1323.120.436.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.741.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
WIS Offense1322.621.442.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 37
Buffalo 13

Projected Total Points: 51
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Wisconsin38Buffalo17WisconsinWisconsin -29Buffalo52.5Over
200611/18Wisconsin35Buffalo3Wisconsin
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin201 Overs
Buffalo010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #120
#28
Off #125
#67
Def #50
#26
Talent #116
#29
SP+ #117
#28
SP+ Off #125
#90
SP+ Def #87
#6

Rematch from Week 1
Wisconsin -29.0 (52.5)
Wisconsin won vs Buffalo this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Buffalo in 2023 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | WIS
Depth Chart: BUFF | WIS
Rosters: BUFF | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder23940260%26761596.7
Michael Washington010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Cole Snyder13632242.429
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Jacob Orlando (Tr)0100.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson1716909.922
Javien Cuff11155114.128
Tadd Barr7128118.342
Jacob Orlando (Tr)1110129.234

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Marcus Fuqua554002
Devin Grant518223
Kameron Olds427621
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Kameron Olds427621
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Marcus Fuqua554002

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682