Buffalo at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -29 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 38 - Buffalo: 17

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Wisconsin -24  (SP+ WIS -25)
Projected Score: BUFF: 11 - WIS: 35 (47)
WIS Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
BUFF Travel: 537 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%2444%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%23.540%44%3.7943.51.32
WIS.1642%12.845%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%21.635%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense132423.243.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
WIS Defense1321.618.336.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1323.522.641.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
WIS Offense1312.815.642.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23  #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90  #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32  #50
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09  #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27  #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47  #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78  #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22  #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 35
Buffalo 11

Projected Total Points: 47
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Wisconsin38Buffalo17Wisconsin -29Buffalo52.5Over
200611/18Wisconsin35Buffalo3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin201 Overs
Buffalo010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#120) BUFF at (#28) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #120 #28
SP+SP+ #117 #28
Perf GradeGrade #114 #55
OffenseOff #130 #72
DefenseDef #52 #29
Spec TeamsST #22 #53
TalentTal #131 #30
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #31
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #130 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #125 #26
SP+SP+ #125 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #90 #38
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #128 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #22
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #118 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #89 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #52
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #67 #50
SP+SP+ #90 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #97 #44
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #55 #86
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #84
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Wisconsin -29.0 (52.5)
Wisconsin won vs Buffalo this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Buffalo in 2023 (38-17)

  
BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)8211122
Devin Grant782003
Khalil Murdock558220
Marcus Fuqua513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Michel4510414
George Wolo236431
Khalil Murdock558220
Jaylon Bass122211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Oliver171005
Max Michel4510414
Devin Grant782003

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)20431465%2065946.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)7615250%778515.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braelon Allen181984125.452
Jackson Acker7232224.533
Chez Mellusi5130746.089
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)9030343.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Pauling (Tr)74837611.353
Bryson Green (Tr)32480215.054
Chimere Dike19328117.341
Skyler Bell3829717.830

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Jake Chaney807310
Jordan Turner617332
Maema Njongmeta599351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson4710542
C.J. Goetz5911452
James Thompson Jr.296312
Jordan Turner617332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Ricardo Hallman343005
Alexander Smith273105