Buffalo at Bowling Green - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -2 (55.5)
Buffalo 38 - Bowling Green: 7 (Mid-American)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ BUFF -9)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - BGSU: 21 (44)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BUFF Travel: 272 miles

Falcons (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Scot Loeffler (7 - 22)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0	66.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.5	W 50 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0	55.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5	61.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5	51.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at UCLA	+24.0	56.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky	-7.5	57.0	L 57 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Marshall	+17.0	50.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Mississippi State	+31.0	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green at Akron	-9.0	49.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+2.0	55.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	+5.5	51.0	W 34 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-5.0	48.0	W 13 - 9	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+2.5	55.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+14.5	47.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Tue 11/22	Bowling Green at Ohio	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Mon 12/26	Bowling Green vs New Mexico State	-3.0	51.0	L 19 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.18	43%	24	45%	3.16	196	42%	215	3.82	.31	44%	23.5	45%	43%	3.67	52	1.6	1.3
BGSU	.08	36%	20.5	37%	2.53	102	36%	215	3.6	.17	43%	24.3	48%	35%	4.2	71.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	24	23.2	43.2%	3.82	1.6	24	410	196	215	4.4	56%	43%	45%	42%	14%	.18
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	19.5	42.8%	4.2	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	48%	35%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	22.6	43.9%	3.67	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	19%	.31
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	17	36.2%	3.6	1.4	16	317	102	215	3.3	41%	59%	37%	36%	22%	.08

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	31:35	23.8	47%	58%	5.4	52	1.6	1.3	7.3	3.1	0	26
Bowling Green	12	29:39	15.6	34%	33%	8	71.1	1.4	1.5	6.8	2.3	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	56%	45%	44.9	195.5	4.4	30	.16	3.16	83%	9%	0.91
BGSU Defense	12	60%	48%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.47	88%	12%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.17	72%	14%	1.37
BGSU Offense	12	41%	37%	30.8	102.3	3.3	15	.06	2.53	63%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	43%	42%	18.2	30.6	214.9	7	11.8	12	11	.26	1.5	28%	31%	.3	5%	1.9
BGSU Defense	12	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	29%	21%	.13	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.37	1.8	32%	39%	.59	5%	2.1
BGSU Offense	12	59%	36%	19.8	33.9	214.8	6.3	10.8	12	9	.12	1.4	38%	26%	.23	8%	2.1

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Bowling Green: -6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2 Bowling Green: -18.1

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -6.55 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2022 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 #123
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #88
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 23
Bowling Green 21

Projected Total Points: 44

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Bowling Green	3	Buffalo	28	Bowling Green -2.5	Buffalo	44.5	Under
2023	10/14	Buffalo	14	Bowling Green	24	Buffalo -3	Bowling Green	44.5	Under
2022	10/08	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo	38	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	55.5	Under
2021	10/30	Buffalo	44	Bowling Green	56	Buffalo -13.5	Bowling Green	51.5	Over
2020	11/17	Bowling Green	17	Buffalo	42	Buffalo -31.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Over
2019	11/29	Buffalo	49	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo -28	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2018	11/23	Bowling Green	14	Buffalo	44	Buffalo -16	Buffalo	62.0	Under
2017	11/07	Buffalo	38	Bowling Green	28	Buffalo -7	Buffalo	61.0	Over
2016	11/25	Bowling Green	27	Buffalo	19	Bowling Green -11	Buffalo	60.0	Under
2015	10/03	Buffalo	22	Bowling Green	28	Bowling Green -6.5	Buffalo	67.5	Under
2014	10/04	Bowling Green	36	Buffalo	35	Bowling Green -5	Buffalo	0
2013	11/29	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	52.0	Under
2012	11/23	Bowling Green	21	Buffalo	7
2011	11/25	Buffalo	28	Bowling Green	42
2010	10/02	Bowling Green	26	Buffalo	28
2009	11/03	Buffalo	29	Bowling Green	30
2008	11/21	Bowling Green	34	Buffalo	40
2007	11/17	Buffalo	17	Bowling Green	31
2006	09/09	Bowling Green	48	Buffalo	40
2005	10/15	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	27
2001	09/08	Bowling Green	35	Buffalo	0
2000	09/22	Buffalo	20	Bowling Green	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	13	4	4 Overs
Buffalo	9	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 14	4 - 8	2 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 8	8 - 4	3 - 2	5 - 2

(#) BUFF at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#123
Perf GradeGrade	#99	#91
OffenseOff	#107	#101
DefenseDef	#60	#63
Spec TeamsST	#115	#97
TalentTal	#117	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#119	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#104

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#100	#13
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#97	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Buffalo 2.0 (55.5)
Buffalo won at Bowling Green this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Bowling Green last year (28-3)
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD