Lafayette at Buffalo Game Matchup
Lafayette logo Lafayette Leopards at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -3.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 30 - Lafayette: 13

 
Leopards (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (13 - 30 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6   (SP+ BUFF -4)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lafayette's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Lafayette at Buffalo+3.545.5L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Lafayette-3.545.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Missouri+34.553.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-3.545.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/21 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+13.042.5W 23 - 20OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at UConn+6.044.5L 3 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Buffalo vs Toledo+10.544.5W 30 - 15OY
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+1.049.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Ohio+4.046.5L 16 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Akron+1.049.0W 41 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Buffalo vs Ball State-3.555.5W 51 - 48ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+1.053.5W 37 - 20OY
Tue 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-23.550.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 1/4 Buffalo vs Liberty-4.550.5W 26 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%130%000%000%300%0%0000
BUFF#130 (.03)37% (116)28.843% (67)2.93 (102)13432% (129)1853.54 (95)#41 (.14)39% (33)26.437% (25)42% (68)3.55 (48)41.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Defense1226.422.338.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense130300%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Offense1228.838.237.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (25)12% (19)1.25 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (119)9% (40)0.92 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: #NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: #NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Lafayette's 2024 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Buffalo: -5.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Buffalo: -4.0




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Lafayette's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 32
Lafayette 19

Projected Total Points: 49
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29Buffalo30Lafayette13BuffaloBuffalo -3.5Buffalo45.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo110 Overs
Lafayette001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Lafayette Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






,
,







Lafayette     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #NR
#106
Off #NR
#104
Def #NR
#93
Talent #
#120
SP+ #N/A
#87
SP+ Off #N/A
#84
SP+ Def #N/A
#93

Rematch from Week 1
Buffalo -3.5 (45.5)
Buffalo won vs Lafayette this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Lafayette last year (30-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: LAF | BUFF
Depth Chart: LAF | BUFF
Rosters: LAF | BUFF
(#106) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.765 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 384.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all


  
Lafayette's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Lafayette's Full Roster
Lafayette's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Ogbonna19033657%23811957.1
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
CJ Ogbonna12234682.826
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Lamar Sperling3915013.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
JJ Jenkins (Tr)36536414.990
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Taji Johnson (Tr)19215211.334

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
Marquis Cooper553018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart (Tr)40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Antonio Colclough (Tr)144341
Khalil Murdock15617241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Eddie Pleasant III (Tr)110005