Lafayette at Buffalo - 2024 Matchup Preview
Lafayette logo Lafayette Leopards at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -3.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 30 - Lafayette: 13

 
Leopards (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (13 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ BUFF -4)
BUFF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lafayette's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Lafayette at Buffalo+3.545.5L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Buffalo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Lafayette-3.545.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Missouri+34.553.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-3.545.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/21 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+13.042.5W 23 - 20OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at UConn+6.044.5L 3 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Buffalo vs Toledo+10.544.5W 30 - 15OY
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+1.049.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Ohio+4.046.5L 16 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Akron+1.049.0W 41 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Buffalo vs Ball State-3.555.5W 51 - 48ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+1.053.5W 37 - 20OY
Tue 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-23.550.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 1/4 Buffalo vs Liberty-4.550.5W 26 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%130%000%000%300%0%0000
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)28.838% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)26.443% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Defense1326.422.342.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense130300%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BUFF Offense1328.838.239.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lafayette's 2024 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Buffalo: -5.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Buffalo: -4.0




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.765  #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34  #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34  #93
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Lafayette's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 27
Lafayette 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 23
Lafayette 18

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 32
Lafayette 19

Total Points: 51
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29Buffalo30Lafayette13Buffalo -3.5Buffalo45.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo110 Overs
Lafayette001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) LAF at (#106) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAFBUFF
Power RatePwrNR #106
SP+SP+NR #87
Perf GradeGradeNR #79
OffenseOffNR #96
DefenseDefNR #42
Spec TeamsSTNR #110
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Hot finish, note it was vs bottom of MAC
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
(9/12) Staff upgrade for Buffalo under Lembo & staff
Buffalo Injury Report
Lafayette on Offense
CategoryCat
LAF OffBUFF Def
Perf GradePerfNR #42
SuccessSucNR #82
ExplosiveExpNR #97
PPAPPANR #72
PowerPwrNR #93
SP+SP+NR #93
Pts POPPONR #74
HavocHavNR #33
Lafayette Run Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNR #55
Run SuccessRSucNR #71
Run ExplRExpNR #45
PPAExpNR #47
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #68
Stuff RateStuffNR #64
TackleTak -  #18
Lafayette Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNR #29
Pass SuccessPSucNR #97
Pass ExplPExlNR #97
PPAExpNR #91
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #90
F7 HavocF7NR #35
DB HavocDBNR #38
Buffalo on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffLAF Def
Perf GradePerf #96NR
SuccessSuc #104NR
ExplosiveExp #41NR
PPAPPA #77NR
PowerPwr #104NR
SP+SP+ #84NR
Pts POPPO #41NR
HavocHav #91NR
Buffalo Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
BUFF OffLAF Def
Run GameRun #116NR
Run SuccessRSuc #115NR
Run ExplRExp #17NR
PPAExp #96NR
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #117NR
Stuff RateStuff #96NR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffLAF Def
Pass GamePass #108NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #70NR
Pass ExplPExl #80NR
PPAExp #47NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101NR
F7 HavocF7 #84NR
DB HavocDB #89NR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

LAF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Buffalo -3.5 (45.5)
Buffalo won vs Lafayette this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Lafayette last year (30-13)

  
LAF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Lafayette's Full Roster

LAF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Forney70000
Tyree Morris60002
Neriyan Brown60000
Saiku White60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Forney70000
Terell Cannon20000
Ethan Hosak10000
Davis Oliver-Goodwin10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyree Morris60002
Gabe DuBois50001
Jaylon Joseph42011

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Ogbonna19033657%23811957.1
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
CJ Ogbonna12234682.826
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
JJ Jenkins (Tr)36536414.990
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Taji Johnson (Tr)19215211.334

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac (Tr)16818545
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart (Tr)40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Shaun Dolac (Tr)16818545
Antonio Colclough (Tr)144341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Shaun Dolac (Tr)16818545