Miami (OH) at Buffalo - 2022 Matchup Preview
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Miami (OH) RedHawks at Buffalo Bulls

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Saturday, October 1st 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -3 (50.0)
Buffalo 24 - Miami (OH): 20  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ BUFF -4)
Projected Score: M-OH: 23 - BUFF: 23 (46)
BUFF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
M-OH Travel: 392 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Kentucky+15.055.0L 13 - 37UN
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris-30.054.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+24.051.0L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Northwestern+7.550.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+3.050.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+5.056.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green-7.045.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.044.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Akron-9.051.5W 27 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+2.552.0L 21 - 37ON
Wed 11/16 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+1.044.0W 29 - 23OY
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-2.545.0W 18 - 17UN
Fri 12/16 Miami (OH) vs UAB+11.044.5L 20 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Buffalo at Maryland+24.066.0L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/10 Buffalo vs Holy Cross-6.051.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Coastal Carolina+12.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+6.557.5W 50 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-3.050.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Buffalo at Bowling Green-2.055.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/15 Buffalo at Massachusetts-17.047.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Buffalo vs Toledo+7.056.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Buffalo at Ohio-2.561.0L 24 - 45ON
Wed 11/9 Buffalo at Central Michigan+3.054.0L 27 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Buffalo vs Akron-14.043.5
Sat 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-4.551.0L 27 - 30ON
Fri 12/2 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 23 - 22UN
Tue 12/27 Buffalo vs Georgia Southern+6.067.0W 23 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.2742%23.541%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%21.741%43%3.7560.80.91.3
BUFF.1843%2445%3.1619642%2153.82.3144%23.545%43%3.67521.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1323.519.841.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27
BUFF Defense1223.524.143.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%19%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1321.721.241.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
BUFF Offense122424.643.2%3.821.6244101962154.456%43%45%42%14%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Buffalo1231:3523.847%58%5.4521.61.37.33.1026
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99
BUFF Defense1256%45% - - - - .323.1772%14%1.37
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
BUFF Offense1256%45%44.9195.54.430.163.1683%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2
BUFF Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 3.371.832%39%.595%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
BUFF Offense1243%42%18.230.6214.9711.81211.261.528%31%.35%1.9

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Buffalo: -2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.7   Buffalo: -9.2




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2  #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 23
Buffalo 23

Projected Total Points: 46
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/19Buffalo20Miami (OH)37Miami (OH) -2.5Miami (OH)38.5Over
202311/15Miami (OH)23Buffalo10Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)36.5Under
202210/01Buffalo24Miami (OH)20Buffalo -3Buffalo50.0Under
202111/09Miami (OH)45Buffalo18Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)58.0Over
202011/10Buffalo42Miami (OH)10Buffalo -7.5Buffalo55.0Under
201909/28Miami (OH)34Buffalo20Buffalo -2.5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201810/30Buffalo51Miami (OH)42Buffalo -7Buffalo53.0Over
201710/21Miami (OH)24Buffalo14Miami (OH) -3Miami (OH)47.0Under
201611/12Buffalo24Miami (OH)35Miami (OH) -12Buffalo50.5Over
201510/29Miami (OH)24Buffalo29Buffalo -9.5Miami (OH)50.0Over
201409/27Buffalo35Miami (OH)27Buffalo -6.5Buffalo0
201311/19Miami (OH)7Buffalo44Buffalo -24Buffalo0
201211/03Buffalo27Miami (OH)24
201110/29Miami (OH)41Buffalo13
201010/30Buffalo9Miami (OH)21
200911/18Miami (OH)17Buffalo42
200811/04Buffalo37Miami (OH)17
200711/03Miami (OH)31Buffalo28
200610/14Buffalo31Miami (OH)38
200511/05Miami (OH)54Buffalo13
200410/16Buffalo7Miami (OH)25
200310/11Miami (OH)59Buffalo3
200210/19Buffalo0Miami (OH)49
200110/06Miami (OH)31Buffalo14
200011/17Buffalo16Miami (OH)17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo966 Overs
Miami (OH)1664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 1010 - 27 - 03 - 2
Road Teams10 - 152 - 102 - 30 - 7

(#) M-OH at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #98
Perf GradeGrade #116 #99
OffenseOff #116 #107
DefenseDef #97 #60
Spec TeamsST #41 #115
TalentTal #112 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #109 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #96
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #129 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #60
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #119 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #102 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #100 #116
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Buffalo -3.0 (50.0)
Buffalo won vs Miami (OH) this year (24-20)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo last year (37-20)
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)

  
M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD