Buffalo at Toledo Game Matchup
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Tuesday, October 31st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -14 (47.0) (-700)  Open: -14.0 | 52.5
Toledo 31 - Buffalo: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Snowfall Predicted
BUFF coming off BYE
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -21   (SP+ TOL -19)
Projected Score: BUFF: 15 - TOL: 36 (53)
TOL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BUFF Travel: 264 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6UN
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23OY
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82043.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.741.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
TOL Offense1428.331.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Toledo: 8.135

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 36
Buffalo 15

Projected Total Points: 53
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Buffalo30Toledo15BuffaloToledo -10.5Buffalo44.5Over
202310/31Toledo31Buffalo13ToledoToledo -14Toledo47.0Under
202210/22Buffalo34Toledo27BuffaloToledo -7.0Buffalo56.0Over
201911/20Buffalo49Toledo30BuffaloBuffalo -9.5Buffalo55.0Over
201810/20Toledo17Buffalo31BuffaloToledo -3Buffalo63.0Under
201311/12Toledo51Buffalo41ToledoToledo -3.5Toledo0
201210/27Buffalo20Toledo25Toledo
200710/13Buffalo43Toledo33Buffalo
200510/22Toledo38Buffalo15Toledo
200311/01Toledo56Buffalo29Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo523 Overs
Buffalo542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 25 - 13 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 81 - 50 - 21 - 3

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #120
#29
Off #125
#30
Def #50
#24
Talent #116
#82
SP+ #117
#51
SP+ Off #125
#65
SP+ Def #87
#35

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -14.0 (47.0)
Toledo won vs Buffalo this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Toledo last year (30-15)
Toledo beat Buffalo in 2023 (31-13)
Buffalo beat Toledo in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Snowfall
Temp: 32°Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | TOL
Depth Chart: BUFF | TOL
Rosters: BUFF | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.135 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Team Profile






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Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder23940260%26761596.7
Michael Washington010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Cole Snyder13632242.429
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Jacob Orlando (Tr)0100.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson1716909.922
Javien Cuff11155114.128
Tadd Barr7128118.342
Jacob Orlando (Tr)1110129.234

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Marcus Fuqua554002
Devin Grant518223
Kameron Olds427621
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Kameron Olds427621
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Marcus Fuqua554002

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Peny Boone3420826.159
Dequan Finn216623.139
Jerjuan Newton1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Justin Stephens117017.017

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Jackson Barrow649202
Cavon Butler456310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Darius Alexander358425
Martez Poynter257400
Daniel Bolden918320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Alexander358425
Maxen Hook1082004
Jackson Barrow649202