Buffalo at Kent State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kent State -7 (66.0)
Kent State 48 - Buffalo: 38 (Mid-American)

Bulls (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT 2nd straight Home Game
KENT is playing their 6th straight game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ KENT -3)
Projected Score: BUFF: 25 - KENT: 34 (59)
KENT Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles

Golden Flashes (7 - 7) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (13 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 36 (47 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
KENT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Buffalo vs Wagner	-44.0	54.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Buffalo at Nebraska	+13.5	54.0	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/18	Buffalo vs Coastal Carolina	+14.0	58.0	L 25 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Buffalo at Old Dominion	-13.0	50.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	59.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Buffalo at Kent State	+7.0	66.0	L 38 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/16	Buffalo vs Ohio	-7.5	54.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/23	Buffalo at Akron	-13.5	58.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-13.5	51.5	L 44 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/9	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.0	58.0	L 18 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/17	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+2.0	59.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Tue 11/23	Buffalo at Ball State	+6.0	59.5	L 3 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Kent State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kent State at Texas A&M	+29.5	67.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/11	Kent State vs VMI	-19.0	73.0	W 60 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Kent State at Iowa	+22.0	55.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/25	Kent State at Maryland	+13.0	71.5	L 16 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/2	Kent State vs Bowling Green	-16.5	56.0	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/9	Kent State vs Buffalo	-7.0	66.0	W 48 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Kent State at Western Michigan	+7.0	68.5	L 31 - 64	O	N
Sat 10/23	Kent State at Ohio	-5.0	68.5	W 34 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	-3.5	72.0	W 52 - 47	O	Y
Wed 11/10	Kent State at Central Michigan	+2.5	76.5	L 30 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/20	Kent State at Akron	-13.5	72.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+1.0	68.0	W 48 - 47	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	-3.5	75.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Tue 12/21	Kent State vs Wyoming	+3.0	61.0	L 38 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.18	43%	29.3	45%	3.16	196	42%	215	3.82	.31	44%	29.9	45%	43%	3.67	52	1.6	1.3
KENT	.3	50%	33	53%	3.58	249	47%	245	3.6	.3	49%	36.3	49%	49%	4.43	70.9	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	29.3	23.7	43.2%	3.82	1.6	24	410	196	215	4.4	56%	43%	45%	42%	14%	.18
KENT Defense	14	36.3	32.4	48.6%	4.43	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	49%	49%	15%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	29.9	30.8	43.9%	3.67	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	19%	.31
KENT Offense	14	33	47	50.2%	3.6	0.9	26	493	249	245	5.4	56%	44%	53%	47%	17%	.3

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	31:35	23.8	47%	58%	5.4	52	1.6	1.3	7.3	3.1	0	26
Kent State	14	26:28	25.9	44%	48%	7.8	70.9	0.9	1.8	5.2	1.6	0	29.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	56%	45%	44.9	195.5	4.4	30	.16	3.16	83%	9%	0.91
KENT Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.38	67%	9%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.17	72%	14%	1.37
KENT Offense	14	56%	53%	46.2	248.7	5.4	36	.33	3.58	81%	12%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	43%	42%	18.2	30.6	214.9	7	11.8	12	11	.26	1.5	28%	31%	.3	5%	1.9
KENT Defense	14	48%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.36	1.5	29%	40%	.51	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.37	1.8	32%	39%	.59	5%	2.1
KENT Offense	14	44%	47%	18.6	28.9	244.6	8.5	13.1	21	6	.26	1.4	28%	33%	.34	5%	2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2021 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #104
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #90
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Kent State: -0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.5 Kent State: -6.4

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -0.7 NR
Kent State's Offense Rating: NR
Kent State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kent State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kent State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4 #94
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #45
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Buffalo's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Kent State 34
Buffalo 25

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Kent State 33
Buffalo 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kent State 35
Buffalo 31

Total Points: 66

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 47
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.4

Kent State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Kent State	28	Buffalo	31	Buffalo -23.5	Kent State	48.5	Over
2024	11/26	Buffalo	43	Kent State	7	Buffalo -23.5	Buffalo	50.5	Under
2023	10/21	Kent State	6	Buffalo	24	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	44.0	Under
2022	11/26	Buffalo	27	Kent State	30	Buffalo -4.5	Kent State	51.0	Over
2021	10/09	Kent State	48	Buffalo	38	Kent State -7	Kent State	66.0	Over
2020	11/28	Buffalo	70	Kent State	41	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	70.0	Over
2019	11/14	Kent State	30	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -6	Kent State	54.5	Over
2018	11/06	Buffalo	48	Kent State	14	Buffalo -17	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2017	09/30	Kent State	13	Buffalo	27	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	41.0	Under
2016	10/08	Buffalo	20	Kent State	44	Buffalo -2	Kent State	42.5	Over
2015	11/05	Kent State	17	Buffalo	18	Buffalo -3	Kent State	43.5	Under
2013	10/26	Kent State	21	Buffalo	41	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	0
2012	09/19	Buffalo	7	Kent State	23
2009	11/27	Kent State	6	Buffalo	9
2008	11/28	Buffalo	21	Kent State	24
2007	11/24	Kent State	23	Buffalo	30
2006	11/04	Buffalo	41	Kent State	14
2005	11/12	Kent State	6	Buffalo	10
2004	11/06	Buffalo	7	Kent State	33
2003	11/22	Kent State	34	Buffalo	24
2002	10/26	Buffalo	12	Kent State	16
2001	10/20	Kent State	35	Buffalo	13
2000	11/03	Buffalo	20	Kent State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kent State	10	6	7 Overs
Buffalo	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 14	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 9	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#) BUFF at (#) KENT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	KENT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#94
Perf GradeGrade	#96	#81
OffenseOff	#99	#24
DefenseDef	#72	#116
Spec TeamsST	#89	#37
TalentTal	#124	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Kent State Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#116
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#70	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#1	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#16

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#64	#8
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67°Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 6
Kent State -7.0 (66.0)
Kent State won vs Buffalo this year (48-38)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)
Kent State beat Buffalo in 2022 (30-27)

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Cauthen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KENT's OC Andrew Sowder (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Tom Kaufman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD