Buffalo at Miami (OH) - 2023 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Wednesday, November 15th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (36.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 23 - Buffalo: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -17  (SP+ M-OH -19)
Projected Score: BUFF: 13 - M-OH: 30 (43)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 392 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%2444%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%23.540%44%3.7943.51.32
M-OH.137%23.536%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%21.739%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense132423.243.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
M-OH Defense1321.722.740.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1323.522.641.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
M-OH Offense1323.532.337.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23  #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90  #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32  #50
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09  #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27  #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90  #20
2023 Talent Rating: 408.16  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7  #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 30
Buffalo 13

Projected Total Points: 43
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/19Buffalo20Miami (OH)37Miami (OH) -2.5Miami (OH)38.5Over
202311/15Miami (OH)23Buffalo10Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)36.5Under
202210/01Buffalo24Miami (OH)20Buffalo -3Buffalo50.0Under
202111/09Miami (OH)45Buffalo18Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)58.0Over
202011/10Buffalo42Miami (OH)10Buffalo -7.5Buffalo55.0Under
201909/28Miami (OH)34Buffalo20Buffalo -2.5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201810/30Buffalo51Miami (OH)42Buffalo -7Buffalo53.0Over
201710/21Miami (OH)24Buffalo14Miami (OH) -3Miami (OH)47.0Under
201611/12Buffalo24Miami (OH)35Miami (OH) -12Buffalo50.5Over
201510/29Miami (OH)24Buffalo29Buffalo -9.5Miami (OH)50.0Over
201409/27Buffalo35Miami (OH)27Buffalo -6.5Buffalo0
201311/19Miami (OH)7Buffalo44Buffalo -24Buffalo0
201211/03Buffalo27Miami (OH)24
201110/29Miami (OH)41Buffalo13
201010/30Buffalo9Miami (OH)21
200911/18Miami (OH)17Buffalo42
200811/04Buffalo37Miami (OH)17
200711/03Miami (OH)31Buffalo28
200610/14Buffalo31Miami (OH)38
200511/05Miami (OH)54Buffalo13
200410/16Buffalo7Miami (OH)25
200310/11Miami (OH)59Buffalo3
200210/19Buffalo0Miami (OH)49
200110/06Miami (OH)31Buffalo14
200011/17Buffalo16Miami (OH)17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1666 Overs
Buffalo964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 1010 - 27 - 03 - 2
Road Teams10 - 152 - 102 - 30 - 7

(#120) BUFF at (#62) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #120 #62
SP+SP+ #117 #52
Perf GradeGrade #114 #28
OffenseOff #130 #66
DefenseDef #52 #25
Spec TeamsST #22 #1
TalentTal #131 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #130 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #125 #20
SP+SP+ #125 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #90 #35
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #128 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #118 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #89 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #52
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #100 #50
SP+SP+ #106 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #95 #44
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #48 #86
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #84
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Miami (OH) -7.5 (36.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Buffalo this year (23-10)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo last year (37-20)
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)

  
BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)8211122
Devin Grant782003
Khalil Murdock558220
Marcus Fuqua513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Michel4510414
George Wolo236431
Khalil Murdock558220
Jaylon Bass122211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Oliver171005
Max Michel4510414
Devin Grant782003

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert11118859%16341458.7
Aveon Smith489650%638226.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2101075135.166
Aveon Smith7528013.750
Kenny Tracy4625025.442
Keyon Mozee3415124.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gage Larvadain43696716.299
Cade McDonald28355312.742
Joe Wilkins25343113.749
Javon Tracy21331115.852

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1379333
Ty Wise1229855
Jacquez Warren715004
Brian Ugwu62128100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caiden Woullard41121091
Ty Wise1229855
Brian Ugwu62128100
Matthew Salopek1379333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5720012
Yahsyn McKee5820011
Austin Ertl392165