Buffalo at Miami (OH) - 2023 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Wednesday, November 15th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (36.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 23 - Buffalo: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -17   (SP+ M-OH -19)
Projected Score: BUFF: 13 - M-OH: 30 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 392 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23UN
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82043.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
M-OH Defense1318.81540.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.741.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
M-OH Offense1324.128.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Miami (OH): 4.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 30
Buffalo 13

Projected Total Points: 49
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/15Miami (OH)23Buffalo10Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)36.5Under
202210/01Buffalo24Miami (OH)20BuffaloBuffalo -3Buffalo50.0Under
202111/09Miami (OH)45Buffalo18Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)58.0Over
202011/10Buffalo42Miami (OH)10BuffaloBuffalo -7.5Buffalo55.0Under
201909/28Miami (OH)34Buffalo20Miami (OH)Buffalo -2.5Miami (OH)47.5Over
201810/30Buffalo51Miami (OH)42BuffaloBuffalo -7Buffalo53.0Over
201710/21Miami (OH)24Buffalo14Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -3Miami (OH)47.0Under
201611/12Buffalo24Miami (OH)35Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -12Buffalo50.5Over
201510/29Miami (OH)24Buffalo29BuffaloBuffalo -9.5Miami (OH)50.0Over
201409/27Buffalo35Miami (OH)27BuffaloBuffalo -6.5Buffalo0
201311/19Miami (OH)7Buffalo44BuffaloBuffalo -24Buffalo0
201211/03Buffalo27Miami (OH)24Buffalo
201110/29Miami (OH)41Buffalo13Miami (OH)
201010/30Buffalo9Miami (OH)21Miami (OH)
200911/18Miami (OH)17Buffalo42Buffalo
200811/04Buffalo37Miami (OH)17Buffalo
200711/03Miami (OH)31Buffalo28Miami (OH)
200610/14Buffalo31Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)
200511/05Miami (OH)54Buffalo13Miami (OH)
200410/16Buffalo7Miami (OH)25Miami (OH)
200310/11Miami (OH)59Buffalo3Miami (OH)
200210/19Buffalo0Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200110/06Miami (OH)31Buffalo14Miami (OH)
200011/17Buffalo16Miami (OH)17Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1555 Overs
Buffalo964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 910 - 17 - 03 - 1
Road Teams9 - 151 - 101 - 30 - 7

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #120
#62
Off #125
#100
Def #50
#20
Talent #116
#69
SP+ #117
#52
SP+ Off #125
#106
SP+ Def #87
#14

Rematch from Week 12
Miami (OH) -7.5 (36.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Buffalo this year (23-10)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)
Buffalo beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (24-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | M-OH
Depth Chart: BUFF | M-OH
Rosters: BUFF | M-OH
(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.27 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder23940260%26761596.7
Michael Washington010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington15871384.547
Cole Snyder13632242.429
Jacqez Barksdale8230623.719
Jacob Orlando (Tr)0100.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson1716909.922
Javien Cuff11155114.128
Tadd Barr7128118.342
Jacob Orlando (Tr)1110129.234

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Marcus Fuqua554002
Devin Grant518223
Kameron Olds427621
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Kameron Olds427621
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaun Dolac16818545
Devin Grant518223
Marcus Fuqua554002

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Alec Bevelhimer010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Gage Larvadain21507.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135
Gage Larvadain19223111.744
Jack Coldiron13139010.722

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Ty Wise8911521
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Caiden Woullard133221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Brian Ugwu59158163
Ambe' Caldwell291012