Huskies (1 - 2) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 28 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 28 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UConn -6 (SP+ CONN -5)
Projected Score: CONN: 32 - BUFF: 26 (58)
CONN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 326 miles
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UConn -6 (SP+ CONN -5)
Projected Score: CONN: 32 - BUFF: 26 (58)
CONN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CONN Travel: 326 miles
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| UConn's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | UConn vs Central Connecticut | -29.5 | 51.5 | W 59 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | UConn at Syracuse | +7.0 | 57.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | UConn at Delaware | -8.5 | 52.5 | L 41 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | UConn vs Ball State | -21.0 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UConn at Buffalo | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UConn vs Florida International | -14 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | UConn at Boston College | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | UConn at Rice | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | UConn vs UAB | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UConn vs Duke | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UConn vs Air Force | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UConn at Florida Atlantic | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Buffalo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Buffalo at Minnesota | +16.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA) | -37.0 | 48.0 | W 45 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Buffalo at Kent State | -23.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Buffalo vs Troy | -6.0 | 42.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Buffalo vs UConn | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan | -16 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Buffalo at Massachusetts | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Buffalo vs Akron | -17 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Buffalo at Bowling Green | -4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/12 | Buffalo at Central Michigan | -14.5 | |||||
| Wed 11/19 | Buffalo vs Miami (OH) | -10 | |||||
| Fri 11/28 | Buffalo vs Ohio | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | #24 (.37) | 48% (39) | 40 | 46% (57) | 1.8 (135) | 145 | 50% (32) | 221 | 4.46 (47) | #54 (.09) | 42% (79) | 28 | 46% (101) | 38% (60) | 2.36 (29) | 36.7 | 0 | 0.7 |
| BUFF | #73 (.19) | 41% (91) | 28.7 | 45% (62) | 3.02 (67) | 186 | 35% (113) | 186 | 4.58 (43) | #79 (.15) | 40% (74) | 19 | 34% (32) | 46% (105) | 2.3 (27) | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | #67 (.19) | 42% (82) | 43% (82) | 3.07 (58) | 184 | 40% (84) | 187 | 4.09 (51) | #25 (.1) | 39% (37) | 42% (63) | 37% (23) | 3.36 (26) | 50.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | ||
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Offense | 3 | 40 | 30.5 | 48.2% | 4.46 | 0 | 15 | 366 | 145 | 221 | 6.7 | 45% | 55% | 46% | 50% | 15% | .37 |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 19 | 6 | 40.2% | 2.3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 34% | 46% | 12% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Defense | 3 | 28 | 35.5 | 41.6% | 2.36 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 58% | 46% | 38% | 20% | .09 |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 28.7 | 45 | 40.8% | 4.58 | 1.3 | 21 | 372 | 186 | 186 | 4.8 | 60% | 39% | 45% | 35% | 11% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn | 3 | 20:20 | 15.3 | 48% | 40% | 4 | 36.7 | 0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 27.7 |
| Buffalo | 3 | 27:09 | 21.3 | 43% | 50% | 3.7 | 38.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6.7 | 3 | 0 | 32.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Offense | 3 | 45% (98) | 46% (57) | 21.7 | 145 | 6.7 | 5 (62) | .34 (24) | 1.8 (135) | 71% (67) | 7% (38) | 1.3 (19) |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 47% (53) | 34% (32) | - | - | - | - | -.1 (20) | 2.93 (84) | 75% (80) | 7% (117) | 0.65 (9) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Defense | 3 | 42% (20) | 46% (101) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (26) | 1.91 (7) | 38% (4) | 11% (54) | 0.7 (16) |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 60% (18) | 45% (62) | 38.7 | 185.7 | 4.8 | 6 (49) | .17 (55) | 3.02 (67) | 83% (28) | 6% (23) | 0.97 (65) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Offense | 3 | 55% (35) | 50% (32) | 17.3 | 27.3 | 220.7 | 8.1 | 12.7 | 5 (54) | 0 (1) | .4 (46) | 1.3 (115) | 33% (97) | 24% (111) | .24 (90) | 8% (119) | 2 (63) |
| BUFF Defense | 3 | 53% (87) | 46% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .38 (113) | 1.6 (90) | 34% (57) | 32% (85) | .27 (71) | 6% (76) | 1.6 (23) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN Defense | 3 | 58% (120) | 38% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .22 (69) | 1.5 (73) | 27% (125) | 33% (95) | .59 (123) | 9% (12) | 2.1 (77) |
| BUFF Offense | 3 | 39% (120) | 35% (113) | 17 | 27.3 | 186 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (72) | 1.6 (48) | 29% (56) | 30% (81) | .25 (87) | 5% (63) | 1.4 (126) |
UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 7.48 #63
UConn's Offense Rating: 16.24 #44
UConn's Defense Rating: 8.76 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UConn's Power Rating: 7.48 #63
UConn's Offense Rating: 16.24 #44
UConn's Defense Rating: 8.76 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: 7.48 Buffalo: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -0.3 Buffalo: -5.5
UConn: 7.48 Buffalo: -2.33
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -0.3 Buffalo: -5.5
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UConn Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.5
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5
UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 1
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.5
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5
UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 1
Projected Score
UConn 32
Buffalo 26
Total Points: 58
UConn 32
Buffalo 26
Total Points: 58
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6
Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/28 | UConn | 47 | Buffalo | 3 | UConn | UConn -6 | UConn | 44.5 | Over |
| 2013 | 09/28 | Buffalo | 41 | UConn | 12 | Buffalo | Connecticut -2.5 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | UConn | 24 | Buffalo | 17 | UConn | ||||
| 2011 | 09/24 | Buffalo | 3 | UConn | 17 | UConn | ||||
| 2010 | 09/25 | UConn | 45 | Buffalo | 21 | UConn | ||||
| 2008 | 01/03 | UConn | 38 | Buffalo | 20 | UConn | ||||
| 2005 | 09/01 | UConn | 38 | Buffalo | 0 | UConn | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | UConn | 29 | Buffalo | 0 | UConn | ||||
| 2003 | 09/20 | Buffalo | 7 | UConn | 38 | UConn | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | Buffalo | 3 | UConn | 24 | UConn | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | UConn | 20 | Buffalo | 37 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Buffalo | 21 | UConn | 24 | UConn |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 2 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| UConn | 10 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 5 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 7 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#63) UConn Info
Power Rating: 7.48 #63
Offense Rating: 16.24 #44
Defense Rating: 8.76 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Good Pass Success 50%
Good OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
UConn has lost 3 straight
UConn has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
UConn Notes
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Highlights
UConn offense is good on 3rd downs
UConn defense is really good in red zone (#29)
UConn Defensive Line is very good (#7)
UConn Secondary is very good (#12)
UConn has a great TO Margin (#1)
UConn commits very few Penalties (#25)
UConn Deficiencies
Power Rating: 7.48 #63
Offense Rating: 16.24 #44
Defense Rating: 8.76 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Good Pass Success 50%
Good OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 2.36 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
UConn has lost 3 straight
UConn has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
UConn Notes
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Highlights
UConn offense is good on 3rd downs
UConn defense is really good in red zone (#29)
UConn Defensive Line is very good (#7)
UConn Secondary is very good (#12)
UConn has a great TO Margin (#1)
UConn commits very few Penalties (#25)
UConn Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BUFF | CONN |
| OverallOver | #44 | #22 |
| OffenseOff | #43 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #60 | #49 |
| Special TeamsST | #32 | #47 |
| PassingPass | #67 | #21 |
| RushingRush | #71 | #37 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #7 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #30 | #36 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #51 |
| TacklingTkl | #33 | #30 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #41 | #40 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #38 | #29 |
| Coverage DefCov | #88 | #78 |
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)
Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fagnano | 70 | 106 | 66% | 865 | 5 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Nick Evers | 8 | 11 | 73% | 83 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn Edwards | 50 | 306 | 3 | 6.1 | 73 |
| Jayden Brown | 16 | 159 | 1 | 9.9 | 49 |
| Victor Rosa | 8 | 80 | 2 | 10.0 | 31 |
| Oliver Lundberg-Coleman | 5 | 36 | 0 | 7.2 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Bell | 22 | 332 | 2 | 15.1 | 80 |
| Reymello Murphy (Tr) | 11 | 128 | 2 | 11.6 | 27 |
| Louis Hansen | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 19 |
| John Neider | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryun Parham (Tr) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oumar Diomande | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyquan King (Tr) | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cam Chadwick | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryun Parham (Tr) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyquan King (Tr) | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Donovan Branch | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oumar Diomande | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Mon Brinson | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Tyrece Mills (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Lee Molette III | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 50 | 80 | 63% | 558 | 5 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Gunnar Gray | 1 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 50 | 198 | 3 | 4.0 | 38 |
| Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr) | 28 | 158 | 2 | 5.6 | 40 |
| James McNeil Jr. | 10 | 66 | 1 | 6.6 | 26 |
| Lamar Sperling | 13 | 50 | 0 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 40 |
| Nik McMillan | 10 | 148 | 1 | 14.8 | 38 |
| Chance Morrow | 6 | 99 | 1 | 16.5 | 26 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 10 | 80 | 0 | 8.0 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Greer (Tr) | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dion Crawford | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Khalil Murdock | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Junior Poyser | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saveon Brown | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Solomon Brown | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen McNair | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |