Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY  (Mid-American)

 
Eagles (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 43 (25 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
EMU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF 3rd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
EMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -16   (SP+ BUFF -16)

Projected Score: EMU: 23 - BUFF: 39 (61)
BUFF Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
EMU Travel: 253 miles
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 19 (45 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan-1
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+16
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+9
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green+4.5
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan-2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-6.042.5
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+6
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.5
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-17
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green-4
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan-14.5
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-10
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio-3.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#62 (.22)41% (94)24.340% (96)3.1 (58)13241% (87)2563.89 (72)#132 (.43)50% (126)42.749% (114)52% (126)5.43 (132)31.70.30
BUFF#73 (.19)41% (91)28.745% (62)3.02 (67)18635% (113)1864.58 (43)#79 (.15)40% (74)1934% (32)46% (105)2.3 (27)38.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense324.32540.6%3.890.3203881322564.544%56%40%41%11%.22
BUFF Defense319640.2%2.31 - - - - - 47%53%34%46%12%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense342.75050%5.430 - - - - - 61%38%49%52%11%.43
BUFF Offense328.74540.8%4.581.3213721861864.860%39%45%35%11%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan327:0420.337%43%4.331.70.3040.3024.9
Buffalo327:0921.343%50%3.738.71.316.73032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense344% (100)40% (96)29.31324.54 (79).18 (51)3.1 (58)50% (124)7% (32)1.18 (33)
BUFF Defense347% (53)34% (32) - - - - -.1 (20)2.93 (84)75% (80)7% (117)0.65 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense361% (126)49% (114) - - - - .25 (118)3.23 (114)62% (42)6% (121)1.04 (87)
BUFF Offense360% (18)45% (62)38.7185.74.86 (49).17 (55)3.02 (67)83% (28)6% (23)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense356% (32)41% (87)2235.3255.77.211.64 (72)1 (23).26 (75)1.4 (94)31% (74)25% (107).39 (56)4% (37)2.3 (29)
BUFF Defense353% (87)46% (105) - - - - - - 1 (87).38 (113)1.6 (90)34% (57)32% (85).27 (71)6% (76)1.6 (23)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense338% (11)52% (126) - - - - - - 0.65 (132)1.8 (117)28% (115)46% (131).54 (117)5% (94)1.5 (17)
BUFF Offense339% (120)35% (113)1727.31866.810.95 (54)3 (92).28 (72)1.6 (48)29% (56)30% (81).25 (87)5% (63)1.4 (126)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.55   Buffalo: -2.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -21.9   Buffalo: -5.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 42.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 50

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 39
Eastern Michigan 23


Total Points: 61

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/20Eastern Michigan20Buffalo37BuffaloEastern Michigan -1Buffalo53.5Over
202311/21Buffalo11Eastern Michigan24Eastern MichiganBuffalo -6.5Eastern Michigan38.5Under
202209/24Eastern Michigan31Buffalo50BuffaloEastern Michigan -6.5Buffalo57.5Over
201911/02Eastern Michigan14Buffalo43BuffaloBuffalo -1Buffalo50.5Over
201809/15Buffalo35Eastern Michigan28BuffaloBuffalo -3Buffalo54.0Over
201410/11Eastern Michigan37Buffalo27Eastern MichiganBuffalo -14Eastern Michigan0
201310/05Buffalo42Eastern Michigan14BuffaloBuffalo -13Buffalo0
201111/12Eastern Michigan30Buffalo17Eastern Michigan
201011/20Buffalo17Eastern Michigan21Eastern Michigan
200511/19Buffalo14Eastern Michigan38Eastern Michigan
200409/02Eastern Michigan37Buffalo34Eastern Michigan
200110/27Eastern Michigan24Buffalo20Eastern Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo554 Overs
Eastern Michigan721 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 42 - 31 - 1
Road Teams6 - 64 - 31 - 13 - 2

(#114) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134
Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Eastern Michigan has lost 5 straight
Eastern Michigan has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Eastern Michigan Notes
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Eastern Michigan commits very few Penalties (#30)
Eastern Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Eastern Michigan does not Sack the QB (#130)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defense (#126)
Eastern Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#103)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)
Eastern Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBUFFEMU
OverallOver#44#100
OffenseOff#43#70
DefenseDef#60#110
Special TeamsST#32#69
PassingPass#67#38
RushingRush#71#43
Run BlockRBLK#19#77
Pass BlockPBLK#30#93
Route RunningWR Rt#69#62
TacklingTkl#33#118
Run DefenseR Def#41#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#38#109
Coverage DefCov#88#117

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (50-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | BUFF
Depth Chart: EMU | BUFF
Rosters: EMU | BUFF
(#89) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -2.33 #89
Offense Rating: 5.28 #102
Defense Rating: 9.44 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Buffalo has lost 2 straight
Buffalo has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Buffalo Notes
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though

Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo is Undefeated at Home
Buffalo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Buffalo does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#19)

Buffalo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Buffalo defense is really good in red zone (#27)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)

Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo pass game is really bad (#113)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#124)


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)6610563%767417.3
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan3021917.340
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)267412.819
Noah Kim (Tr)204312.220
Joey Mattord53817.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett16230114.464
Joshua Long9108112.025
Dontae McMillan790112.933
Ben Prosper774010.622

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Marco Patierno (Tr)191010
Sterling Miles142011
Barry Manning121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Messiah Blair61100
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Jaivian Norman41001
Javon Thomas10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Scott110002
Caleb Coley50002
Bryce Llewellyn192001

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)508063%558527.0
Gunnar Gray1250%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson5019834.038
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)2815825.640
James McNeil Jr.106616.626
Lamar Sperling135003.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow11168315.340
Nik McMillan10148114.838
Chance Morrow699116.526
Al-Jay Henderson108008.022

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock323100
Miles Greer (Tr)221001
Dion Crawford200010
Solomon Brown180002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Saveon Brown133222
Khalil Murdock323100
Kobe Stewart62120
Junior Poyser41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Saveon Brown133222
Solomon Brown180002
Jalen McNair151012