Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -9.5 (53.5) (-325)  Open: -9.5
Buffalo 31 - Eastern Michigan: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Eagles (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
EMU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF 3rd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
EMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -6.5  (SP+ BUFF -7)
Projected Score: EMU: 23 - BUFF: 30 (53)
BUFF Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 253 miles
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Pete Lembo (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+3.055.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+9.553.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+12.547.5L 30 - 44ON
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+11.560.5L 21 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green-3.049.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-2.548.5W 24 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+10.049.0L 21 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Buffalo at Minnesota+16.545.5L 10 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-37.048.0W 45 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-23.548.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy-5.543.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+3.051.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.553.5W 31 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-16.547.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-10.048.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green+2.544.5W 28 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan+2.544.5L 19 - 38ON
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+2.538.5L 20 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.044.5L 26 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)24.143% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)29.845% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)2438% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)23.543% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1224.124.542.2%3.471.4213781422353.647%53%43%42%19%.09
BUFF Defense1323.524.142.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1229.834.745%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%46%19%.19
BUFF Offense132424.639.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1231:0621.341%55%6.562.41.41.35.92.1129.2
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1247% (90)43% (87)39.3142.33.617 (84).01 (119)2.98 (82)57% (131)11% (91)0.85 (122)
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1253% (102)45% (84) - - - - .09 (51)3.07 (82)60% (10)14% (6)0.9 (34)
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1253% (44)42% (66)20.734.6235.36.811.417 (79)10 (63).16 (105)1.5 (116)32% (70)34% (36).36 (59)8% (124)2 (88)
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1246% (31)46% (116) - - - - - - 5 (117).36 (117)1.7 (100)28% (119)34% (112).32 (77)5% (107)1.8 (23)
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -9.19  #96
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 10.71  #83
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 19.90  #106
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.7  #119
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.19   Buffalo: -5.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.7   Buffalo: -7.5




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -5.635  #94
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 4.27  #120
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 13.04  #62
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #118
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Eastern Michigan 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Buffalo31Eastern Michigan30Buffalo -9.5Eastern Michigan53.5Over
202411/20Eastern Michigan20Buffalo37Eastern Michigan -1Buffalo53.5Over
202311/21Buffalo11Eastern Michigan24Buffalo -6.5Eastern Michigan38.5Under
202209/24Eastern Michigan31Buffalo50Eastern Michigan -6.5Buffalo57.5Over
201911/02Eastern Michigan14Buffalo43Buffalo -1Buffalo50.5Over
201809/15Buffalo35Eastern Michigan28Buffalo -3Buffalo54.0Over
201410/11Eastern Michigan37Buffalo27Buffalo -14Eastern Michigan0
201310/05Buffalo42Eastern Michigan14Buffalo -13Buffalo0
201111/12Eastern Michigan30Buffalo17
201011/20Buffalo17Eastern Michigan21
200511/19Buffalo14Eastern Michigan38
200409/02Eastern Michigan37Buffalo34
200110/27Eastern Michigan24Buffalo20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo655 Overs
Eastern Michigan731 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 63 - 52 - 41 - 1
Road Teams6 - 75 - 31 - 14 - 2

(#96) EMU at (#94) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatEMUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #96 #94
SP+SP+ #119 #95
Perf GradeGrade #112 #58
OffenseOff #82 #80
DefenseDef #129 #36
Spec TeamsST #130 #23
TalentTal #86 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Eastern Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB Kim really good, OL & RB McMillian good too
(10/31) Def 2nd worst in MAC, bottom 5 in all CFB
(10/31) DC Ben Needham must go, Def killing season
(9/20) Huge W vs ULL, 400+ yds Off, QB Kim better
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl
Eastern Michigan Injury Report
Buffalo Notes
(11/20) Hard L vs M-OH. QB Roberson great, 3 TO's cost
(10/31) Avg OL/DL, QB Roberson OK but good mobility
(10/31) WR Snow best MAC weapon, RB Henderson good
(10/31) Bulls look like frauds, 4 W's vs truly awful teams
(10/31) Same staff, but regressing badly vs #135 SOS?
(9/20) Could have lost to Kent. Allowed 420+? Yikes
(9/20) Blew 17-0 4th Q lead vs Troy at home? Bad loss
(9/20) Off really bad, Def shockingly avg at best.
(8/29) Def v good vs Minn, Roberson/run tough go
(7/28) Can QB Roberson finally rise to his talent?
(7/17) OL 4/5 back, interior good, OT ?. 1 portal
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
Buffalo Injury Report
Eastern Michigan on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82 #36
SuccessSuc #74 #82
ExplosiveExp #121 #97
PPAPPA #117 #72
PowerPwr #83 #62
SP+SP+ #113 #70
Pts POPPO #105 #74
HavocHav #116 #33
Eastern Michigan Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #105 #42
Run SuccessRSuc #87 #71
Run ExplRExp #122 #45
PPAExp #119 #47
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #82 #68
Stuff RateStuff #69 #64
TackleTak -  #13
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #60 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #66 #97
Pass ExplPExl #116 #97
PPAExp #105 #91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #91 #19
F7 HavocF7 #91 #35
DB HavocDB #124 #38
Buffalo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffEMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #129
SuccessSuc #104 #105
ExplosiveExp #41 #61
PPAPPA #77 #83
PowerPwr #120 #106
SP+SP+ #118 #114
Pts POPPO #41 #38
HavocHav #91 #24
Buffalo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
BUFF OffEMU Def
Run GameRun #111 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #84
Run ExplRExp #17 #34
PPAExp #96 #51
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #82
Stuff RateStuff #96 #70
TackleTak -  #135
Buffalo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatBUFF OffEMU Def
Pass GamePass #116 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #116
Pass ExplPExl #80 #100
PPAExp #47 #117
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #115
F7 HavocF7 #84 #6
DB HavocDB #89 #107
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Buffalo -9.5 (53.5)
Buffalo won vs Eastern Michigan this year (31-30)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (31-30)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)

  
EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)24740261%281718117.0
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan177101445.754
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)10642854.036
Noah Kim (Tr)7918662.420
Joey Mattord64818.024
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Devereaux34510715.045
Dontae McMillan33375311.450
Joshua Long3735739.627
Harold Mack20333216.751

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Ben Needham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Barry Manning756222
Andrew Marshall614130
Donovan Green573220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Byas226350
Barry Manning756222
Ronn Hardin113210
Donovan Green573220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Joshua Scott290004
Caleb Coley100014

BUFF's OC Dave Patenaude (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)20635658%252017127.1
Gunnar Gray295355%228224.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson18275564.141
Terrance Shelton Jr.5724414.320
Lamar Sperling3923416.063
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)8312531.540
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nik McMillan61975316.055
Victor Snow62815813.175
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)36410311.439
Al-Jay Henderson2518117.222

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Joe Bowen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Dion Crawford795431
Miles Greer (Tr)743313
Mitchell Gonser (Tr)706120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock14214511
Malin White559440
Junior Poyser305420
Dion Crawford795431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobi Blackwell200007
Solomon Brown560005
Keontez Bradley (Tr)280004