Eastern Michigan at Buffalo Game Matchup
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
UB Stadium - Amherst, NY  (Mid-American)

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
EMU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF 3rd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
EMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Buffalo -9.5   (SP+ BUFF -7)
Projected Score: EMU: 22 - BUFF: 32 (54)
BUFF Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 253 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.00.0
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-9
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+22
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+5.5
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+3.5
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+9.5
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+1.5
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+5.5
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green-1.5
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Buffalo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Buffalo at Minnesota+18.50.0
Sat 9/6 Buffalo vs St. Francis (PA)-16
Sat 9/13 Buffalo at Kent State-16
Sat 9/20 Buffalo vs Troy+0.5
Sat 9/27 Buffalo vs UConn+1
Sat 10/4 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Buffalo at Massachusetts-12.5
Sat 10/25 Buffalo vs Akron-14.5
Sat 11/1 Buffalo at Bowling Green-3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Buffalo at Central Michigan-3.5
Wed 11/19 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-6.5
Fri 11/28 Buffalo vs Ohio+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)25.943% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)27.945% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)28.838% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)26.443% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense1225.92342.2%3.471.4213781422353.647%53%43%42%19%.09
BUFF Defense1326.422.342.8%3.841.5 - - - - - 46%53%43%43%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense1227.927.245%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%46%19%.19
BUFF Offense1328.838.239.6%4.221173291531764.255%45%38%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan1231:0621.341%55%6.562.41.41.35.92.1129.2
Buffalo1326:2017.234%52%439.311.56.32.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense1247% (90)43% (87)39.3142.33.617 (84).01 (119)2.98 (82)57% (131)11% (91)0.85 (122)
BUFF Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .08 (47)3.01 (68)63% (16)12% (35)0.94 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense1253% (102)45% (84) - - - - .09 (51)3.07 (82)60% (10)14% (6)0.9 (34)
BUFF Offense1355% (36)38% (115)36.2153.34.223 (52).08 (96)2.7 (117)61% (122)10% (84)1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense1253% (44)42% (66)20.734.6235.36.811.417 (79)10 (63).16 (105)1.5 (116)32% (70)34% (36).36 (59)8% (124)2 (88)
BUFF Defense1353% (109)43% (97) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (91)1.7 (97)32% (58)29% (40).18 (18)7% (38)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense1246% (31)46% (116) - - - - - - 5 (117).36 (117)1.7 (100)28% (119)34% (112).32 (77)5% (107)1.8 (23)
BUFF Offense1345% (99)42% (70)14.225.2175.8712.419 (65)6 (10).29 (47)1.5 (80)33% (97)31% (75).34 (66)6% (89)1.9 (106)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -15.01   Buffalo: -4.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.2   Buffalo: -7.1




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.975 #87
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.44 #101
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 16.29 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Buffalo's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Buffalo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #91
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #104
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 32
Eastern Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 54
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/20Eastern Michigan20Buffalo37BuffaloEastern Michigan -1Buffalo53.5Over
202311/21Buffalo11Eastern Michigan24Eastern MichiganBuffalo -6.5Eastern Michigan38.5Under
202209/24Eastern Michigan31Buffalo50BuffaloEastern Michigan -6.5Buffalo57.5Over
201911/02Eastern Michigan14Buffalo43BuffaloBuffalo -1Buffalo50.5Over
201809/15Buffalo35Eastern Michigan28BuffaloBuffalo -3Buffalo54.0Over
201410/11Eastern Michigan37Buffalo27Eastern MichiganBuffalo -14Eastern Michigan0
201310/05Buffalo42Eastern Michigan14BuffaloBuffalo -13Buffalo0
201111/12Eastern Michigan30Buffalo17Eastern Michigan
201011/20Buffalo17Eastern Michigan21Eastern Michigan
200511/19Buffalo14Eastern Michigan38Eastern Michigan
200409/02Eastern Michigan37Buffalo34Eastern Michigan
200110/27Eastern Michigan24Buffalo20Eastern Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo554 Overs
Eastern Michigan721 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 42 - 31 - 1
Road Teams6 - 64 - 31 - 13 - 2

(#106) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Eastern Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) WR Lockett back, Tucker (Ga St) via portal
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl
Eastern Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #106
#87
Off #121
#101
Def #99
#78
Talent #89
#94
SP+ #113
#91
SP+ Off #116
#104
SP+ Def #111
#78

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan last year (37-20)
Eastern Michigan beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-11)
Buffalo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (50-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | BUFF
Depth Chart: EMU | BUFF
Rosters: EMU | BUFF
(#87) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.975 #87
Offense Rating: 8.44 #101
Defense Rating: 16.29 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78
Talent Rating: 552.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Buffalo Notes
(3/26) QB Roberson (KSU) added, some depth
(3/26) RB Henderson (1k LY) back, some depth
(3/26) WR Snow back, have depth options for 2/3
(3/26) OL bad LY, 4/5 back, confident w/ no portals?
(3/26) Def OK LY, inconsistent, returns a ton
(3/26) Only added 5 portals, QB, 2 LB, 2 DBs
(3/26) Lembo/staff incredible job LY 9-4, bowl W
(3/26) A lot returning in '25, must find a QB though


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)305654%333415.9
Jeremiah Salem81173%1261111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Mattord2911814.113
Dontae McMillan238703.814
James Jointer126105.121
Terry Lockett32006.711
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett46660514.379
Zyell Griffin6151125.289
Joey Mattord10115011.527
J.B. Mitchell337012.314

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barry Manning273002
Jefferson Adam267500
Zach Mowchan261010
Jaivian Norman252102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jefferson Adam267500
Carter Evans153121
Donovan Green192120
Sterling Miles112120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barry Manning273002
Jaivian Norman252102
Dramarian McNulty231002

Buffalo's OC Dave Patenaude
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Gray41136%41013.7
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Al-Jay Henderson204107895.368
Messiah Burch2915325.331
Lamar Sperling3915013.822
Terrance Shelton Jr.238803.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow55651611.846
Al-Jay Henderson19238112.575
Messiah Burch999011.030
Nik McMillan576115.231

View Buffalo's Full Roster
Buffalo's DC Joe Bowen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Murdock15617241
Solomon Brown662006
Dion Crawford5815942
Marquis Cooper553018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Stewart40121032
Dion Crawford5815942
Khalil Murdock15617241
Malin White213240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marquis Cooper553018
Solomon Brown662006
Eddie Pleasant III110005