Buffalo at Maryland - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -24 (66.0)
Maryland 31 - Buffalo: 10

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ MD -20)
Projected Score: BUFF: 25 - MD: 24 (49)
MD Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
BUFF Travel: 293 miles

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (12 - 23)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0	66.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0	60.0	L 26 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5	57.5	W 50 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0	55.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5	61.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0	54.0	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5	51.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 23 - 22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Maryland's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Maryland vs Buffalo	-24.0	66.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Maryland at Charlotte	-28.0	65.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Maryland vs SMU	-3.0	74.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Maryland at Michigan	+17.0	66.0	L 27 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	58.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Maryland vs Purdue	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Maryland at Indiana	-11.0	63.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/22	Maryland vs Northwestern	-14.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Maryland at Wisconsin	+5.0	47.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Maryland at Penn State	+10.5	56.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Maryland vs Ohio State	+26.5	62.5	L 30 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Maryland vs Rutgers	-14.5	48.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.18	43%	24	45%	3.16	196	42%	215	3.82	.31	44%	23.5	45%	43%	3.67	52	1.6	1.3
MD	.26	49%	23.5	47%	2.94	136	50%	305	3.8	.22	44%	26.5	46%	41%	3.81	56.8	1.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	24	23.2	43.2%	3.82	1.6	24	410	196	215	4.4	56%	43%	45%	42%	14%	.18
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	43.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	41%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	22.6	43.9%	3.67	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	19%	.31
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	48.7%	3.8	1.4	23	441	136	305	4	41%	59%	47%	50%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	31:35	23.8	47%	58%	5.4	52	1.6	1.3	7.3	3.1	0	26
Maryland	13	29:24	23.3	38%	50%	6.7	56.8	1.4	0.8	4.9	2.4	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	56%	45%	44.9	195.5	4.4	30	.16	3.16	83%	9%	0.91
MD Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.01	75%	8%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.17	72%	14%	1.37
MD Offense	13	41%	47%	33.8	136.2	4	20	.13	2.94	69%	10%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	43%	42%	18.2	30.6	214.9	7	11.8	12	11	.26	1.5	28%	31%	.3	5%	1.9
MD Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.7	30%	33%	.47	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.37	1.8	32%	39%	.59	5%	2.1
MD Offense	13	59%	50%	26.1	37.6	304.6	8.1	11.7	27	12	.36	1.4	28%	32%	.43	5%	2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Maryland: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2 Maryland: 11.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2022 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #32
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #39
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Maryland 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	Maryland	31	Buffalo	10	Maryland -24	Buffalo	66.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	1	0	0 Overs
Buffalo	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BUFF at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#99	#68
OffenseOff	#107	#62
DefenseDef	#60	#90
Spec TeamsST	#115	#49
TalentTal	#117	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#119	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#100	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#74	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Maryland -24.0 (66.0)
Maryland won vs Buffalo this year (31-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD