Georgia Southern at Buffalo - 2022 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Buffalo Bulls

Tuesday, December 27th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -6.0 (67.0) (-175) Open: -4.0 | 63.5
Buffalo 23 - Georgia Southern: 21 (Camellia Bowl)

Eagles (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ GASO -3)
Projected Score: GASO: 24 - BUFF: 29 (53)
GASO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
GASO Travel: 263 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
GASO Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Southern vs Morgan State	-39.5W59–7	53.5	W59–7	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Georgia Southern at Nebraska	+23.5W45–42	64.0	W45–42	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia Southern at UAB	+11.5L21–35	59.0	L21–35	U	N
Sat 9/24	Georgia Southern vs Ball State	-9.5W34–23	67.0	W34–23	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	+10.0L30–34	69.5	L30–34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	+2.5L33–41	67.5	L33–41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Georgia Southern vs James Madison	+13.0W45–38	68.0	W45–38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Georgia Southern at Old Dominion	+1.5W28–23	66.0	W28–23	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/5	Georgia Southern vs South Alabama	+3.5L31–38	60.5	L31–38	O	N
Thu 11/10	Georgia Southern at Louisiana	+3.5L17–36	63.0	L17–36	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia Southern vs Marshall	+6.0L10–23	52.5	L10–23	U	N
Sat 11/26	Georgia Southern vs App State	+6.5W51–48	66.0	W51–48	O	Y
Tue 12/27	Georgia Southern vs Buffalo	-6.0L21–23	67.0	L21–23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Buffalo's 2022 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Buffalo at Maryland	+24.0L10–31	66.0	L10–31	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Buffalo vs Holy Cross	-6.0L31–37	51.5	L31–37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Buffalo at Coastal Carolina	+12.0L26–38	60.0	L26–38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Buffalo at Eastern Michigan	+6.5W50–31	57.5	W50–31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-3.0W24–20	50.0	W24–20	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-2.0W38–7	55.5	W38–7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Buffalo at Massachusetts	-17.0W34–7	47.5	W34–7	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Buffalo vs Toledo	+7.0W34–27	56.0	W34–27	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/1	Buffalo at Ohio	-2.5L24–45	61.0	L24–45	O	N
Wed 11/9	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+3.0L27–31	54.0	L27–31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Buffalo vs Akron	-14.0	43.5	—	—	—
Sat 11/26	Buffalo vs Kent State	-4.5L27–30	51.0	L27–30	O	N
Fri 12/2	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0W23–22	55.0	W23–22	U	N
Tue 12/27	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0W23–21	67.0	W23–21	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.11	36%	27.9	37%	2.84	193	33%	147	2.81	.3	44%	32.3	43%	46%	3.72	45.3	1.4	0.7
BUFF	.18	43%	24	45%	3.16	196	42%	215	3.82	.31	44%	23.5	45%	43%	3.67	52	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	27.9	19.5	35.6%	2.81	1.4	18	340	193	147	4.3	62%	37%	37%	33%	23%	.11
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	24.1	43.9%	3.67	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	19%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	32.3	35.3	44.1%	3.72	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	43%	46%	19%	.3
BUFF Offense	12	24	24.6	43.2%	3.82	1.6	24	410	196	215	4.4	56%	43%	45%	42%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	30:44	17.9	35%	44%	5.7	45.3	1.4	0.7	6.6	2.2	2	28.2
Buffalo	12	31:35	23.8	47%	58%	5.4	52	1.6	1.3	7.3	3.1	0	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	62%	37%	44.7	193.3	4.3	22	.18	2.84	78%	15%	1.3
BUFF Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.32	3.17	72%	14%	1.37

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	72%	13%	1
BUFF Offense	12	56%	45%	44.9	195.5	4.4	30	.16	3.16	83%	9%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	37%	33%	11.8	22.9	147.1	6.4	12.5	5	12	.07	1.4	35%	25%	.24	9%	2.1
BUFF Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.37	1.8	32%	39%	.59	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.44	1.7	31%	31%	.41	7%	2.2
BUFF Offense	12	43%	42%	18.2	30.6	214.9	7	11.8	12	11	.26	1.5	28%	31%	.3	5%	1.9

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4 #88
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #35
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Buffalo: -4.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -6.4 Buffalo: -9.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -4.6 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 #97
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #103

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Georgia Southern 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/27	Buffalo	23	Georgia Southern	21	Georgia Southern -6.0	Buffalo	67.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	1	1	0 Overs
Georgia Southern	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Georgia Southern Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Camellia Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Buffalo	-6.0	67.0	L 21 - 23
2020	Orleans Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	48.0	W 38 - 3
2019	Cure Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Liberty	-5.0	59.0	L 16 - 23
2018	Camellia Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 23 - 21

Buffalo Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Camellia Bowl	Buffalo vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	67.0	W 23 - 21
2020	Camellia Bowl	Buffalo vs Marshall	-5.5	53.5	W 17 - 10
2019	Bahamas Bowl	Buffalo vs Charlotte	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 9
2018	General Bowl	Buffalo vs Troy	-2.0	50.5	L 32 - 42

(#) GASO at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	BUFF
Game ControlGC	#115	#102
Momentum ControlMC	#94	#54
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#97
Perf GradeGrade	#97	#99
OffenseOff	#69	#107
DefenseDef	#118	#60
Spec TeamsST	#126	#115
TalentTal	#109	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BUFF Def
Game ControlGC	#119	#102
Momentum ControlMC	#122	#42
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#69	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#103
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#44	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#101	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	GASO Def
Game ControlGC	#105	#109
Momentum ControlMC	#69	#78
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#119	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#111

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cramton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Southern 6.0 (67.0)
Buffalo won vs Georgia Southern this year (23-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Will Harris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD