Buffalo Bulls at Ohio Bobcats
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -4.0 (46.5) (-235) Open: -6.0 | 46.0
Ohio 47 - Buffalo: 16 (Mid-American)
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Ohio -8 (SP+ OHIO -6)
Projected Score: BUFF: 20 - OHIO: 28 (49)
OHIO Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles
Projected Score: BUFF: 20 - OHIO: 28 (49)
OHIO Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
| Buffalo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Buffalo vs Lafayette | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Buffalo at Missouri | +34.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Buffalo at Northern Illinois | +13.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Buffalo at UConn | +6.0 | 44.5 | L 3 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Buffalo vs Toledo | +10.5 | 44.5 | W 30 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Buffalo vs Western Michigan | +1.0 | 49.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Buffalo at Ohio | +4.0 | 46.5 | L 16 - 47 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Buffalo at Akron | +1.0 | 49.0 | W 41 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Buffalo vs Ball State | -3.5 | 55.5 | W 51 - 48 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/20 | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | +1.0 | 53.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Buffalo vs Kent State | -23.5 | 50.5 | W 43 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 1/4 | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Ohio's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Ohio at Syracuse | +17.5 | 47.5 | L 22 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Ohio vs South Alabama | +1.5 | 55.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ohio vs Morgan State | -24.5 | 45.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ohio at Kentucky | +19.0 | 42.0 | L 6 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ohio vs Akron | -8.5 | 46.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Ohio at Central Michigan | -3.0 | 50.5 | W 27 - 25 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ohio at Miami (OH) | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ohio vs Buffalo | -4.0 | 46.5 | W 47 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Ohio at Kent State | -20.5 | 53.5 | W 41 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Ohio vs Eastern Michigan | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 35 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Ohio at Toledo | +1.5 | 47.0 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ohio vs Ball State | -17.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Ohio vs Miami (OH) | +2.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Ohio vs Jacksonville State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 28.8 | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 26.4 | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 29.3 | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 18.1 | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 20 | 39.6% | 4.22 | 1 | 17 | 329 | 153 | 176 | 4.2 | 55% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 17% | .17 |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 18.1 | 13.8 | 36.9% | 3.79 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 54% | 34% | 40% | 20% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 26.4 | 33.7 | 42.8% | 3.84 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 29.3 | 33.7 | 45.8% | 4.15 | 1.6 | 22 | 406 | 214 | 193 | 5.2 | 59% | 41% | 47% | 45% | 14% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 13 | 26:20 | 17.2 | 34% | 52% | 4 | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 31.2 |
| Ohio | 14 | 32:43 | 21.9 | 48% | 60% | 5.5 | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 55% (36) | 38% (115) | 36.2 | 153.3 | 4.2 | 23 (52) | .08 (96) | 2.7 (117) | 61% (122) | 10% (84) | 1.11 (17) |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 45% (15) | 34% (3) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (6) | 2.49 (8) | 74% (69) | 13% (13) | 1 (72) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .08 (47) | 3.01 (68) | 63% (16) | 12% (35) | 0.94 (45) |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 59% (13) | 47% (35) | 40.7 | 213.5 | 5.2 | 35 (8) | .24 (18) | 3.1 (52) | 78% (31) | 9% (52) | 1.12 (13) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 45% (99) | 42% (70) | 14.2 | 25.2 | 175.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 19 (65) | 6 (10) | .29 (47) | 1.5 (80) | 33% (97) | 31% (75) | .34 (66) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 54% (121) | 40% (57) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .22 (60) | 1.5 (53) | 35% (22) | 24% (2) | .18 (19) | 7% (40) | 2.2 (107) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 53% (109) | 43% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .28 (91) | 1.7 (97) | 32% (58) | 29% (40) | .18 (18) | 7% (38) | 2.2 (100) |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 41% (119) | 45% (35) | 15.5 | 24.7 | 192.5 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 15 (98) | 12 (85) | .23 (80) | 1.4 (128) | 29% (32) | 37% (13) | .45 (23) | 5% (43) | 1.8 (120) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -12.53 Ohio: -0.48
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Ohio: 2.3
Buffalo: -12.53 Ohio: -0.48
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Ohio: 2.3
Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Buffalo 20
Total Points: 49
Ohio 28
Buffalo 20
Total Points: 49
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Ohio | 47 | Buffalo | 16 | Ohio | Ohio -4.0 | Ohio | 46.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/07 | Buffalo | 10 | Ohio | 20 | Ohio | Ohio -9.5 | Ohio | 45.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/01 | Ohio | 45 | Buffalo | 24 | Ohio | Buffalo -2.5 | Ohio | 61.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Buffalo | 27 | Ohio | 26 | Buffalo | Buffalo -7.5 | Ohio | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio | 21 | Ohio | Ohio -3 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/14 | Ohio | 52 | Buffalo | 17 | Ohio | Ohio -2.5 | Ohio | 66.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/24 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | 24 | Buffalo | Ohio -7 | Buffalo | 56.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/03 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 10 | Ohio | Ohio -19 | Ohio | 51.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Buffalo | 41 | Ohio | 17 | Buffalo | Ohio -2 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/05 | Ohio | 37 | Buffalo | 14 | Ohio | Ohio -2 | Ohio | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/05 | Buffalo | 30 | Ohio | 3 | Buffalo | Buffalo -2.5 | Buffalo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Ohio | 38 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | Buffalo | 38 | Ohio | 37 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/04 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 17 | Ohio | ||||
| 2009 | 11/10 | Buffalo | 24 | Ohio | 27 | Ohio | ||||
| 2008 | 10/28 | Ohio | 19 | Buffalo | 32 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Buffalo | 31 | Ohio | 10 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | Ohio | 42 | Buffalo | 7 | Ohio | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio | 34 | Ohio | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 0 | Ohio | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Buffalo | 26 | Ohio | 17 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Ohio | 34 | Buffalo | 32 | Ohio | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Buffalo | 44 | Ohio | 0 | Buffalo | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Ohio | 42 | Buffalo | 20 | Ohio |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 15 | 7 | 4 Overs |
| Buffalo | 9 | 4 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 19 - 5 | 9 - 2 | 5 - 1 | 4 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 19 | 2 - 9 | 1 - 4 | 1 - 5 |
(#106) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has lost 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | OHIO | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #45 | #56 |
| OffenseOff | #61 | #77 |
| DefenseDef | #43 | #31 |
| Special TeamsST | #68 | #90 |
| PassingPass | #53 | #85 |
| RushingRush | #46 | #84 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #52 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #102 | #85 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #48 | #60 |
| TacklingTkl | #107 | #16 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #62 | #44 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #24 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #52 | #21 |
Rematch from Week 9
Ohio -4.0 (46.5)
Ohio won vs Buffalo this year (47-16)
Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2022 (45-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | OHIO
Depth Chart: BUFF | OHIO
Rosters: BUFF | OHIO
(#93) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has lost 1 straight
Ohio has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has lost 1 straight
Ohio has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ogbonna | 190 | 336 | 57% | 2381 | 19 | 5 | 7.1 |
| Gunnar Gray | 4 | 11 | 36% | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 204 | 1078 | 9 | 5.3 | 68 |
| CJ Ogbonna | 122 | 346 | 8 | 2.8 | 26 |
| Jacqez Barksdale | 82 | 306 | 2 | 3.7 | 19 |
| Messiah Burch | 29 | 153 | 2 | 5.3 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 55 | 651 | 6 | 11.8 | 46 |
| JJ Jenkins (Tr) | 36 | 536 | 4 | 14.9 | 90 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 19 | 238 | 1 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Taji Johnson (Tr) | 19 | 215 | 2 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Stewart (Tr) | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Antonio Colclough (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Navarro | 195 | 295 | 66% | 2423 | 13 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Nick Poulos | 22 | 49 | 45% | 271 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Tyus III (Tr) | 237 | 1215 | 9 | 5.1 | 46 |
| Parker Navarro | 160 | 1047 | 18 | 6.5 | 55 |
| Rickey Hunt | 76 | 393 | 2 | 5.2 | 59 |
| Nick Poulos | 28 | 149 | 1 | 5.3 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Owen (Tr) | 78 | 1235 | 8 | 15.8 | 75 |
| Chase Hendricks | 40 | 471 | 1 | 11.8 | 56 |
| Rodney Harris II | 23 | 299 | 0 | 13.0 | 52 |
| Mason Williams | 19 | 211 | 2 | 11.1 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Leake (Tr) | 94 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Dustin Johnson (Tr) | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Weaver | 44 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Kadin Schmitz | 32 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Parodie | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| DJ Walker | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tank Pearson | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |