Buffalo Bulls at Northern Illinois Huskies
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -13.0 (42.5) (-550) Open: -15.5 | 45.0
Buffalo 23 - Northern Illinois: 20 (Mid-American)
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pete Lembo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU coming off BYE
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -7.5 (SP+ NIU -1)
Projected Score: BUFF: 19 - NIU: 27 (46)
NIU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 515 miles, 1 hrs ahead
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -7.5 (SP+ NIU -1)
Projected Score: BUFF: 19 - NIU: 27 (46)
NIU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BUFF Travel: 515 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Buffalo's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Buffalo vs Lafayette | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 30 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Buffalo at Missouri | +34.5 | 53.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Buffalo vs Massachusetts | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Buffalo at Northern Illinois | +13.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Buffalo at UConn | +6.0 | 44.5 | L 3 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Buffalo vs Toledo | +10.5 | 44.5 | W 30 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Buffalo vs Western Michigan | +1.0 | 49.5 | L 41 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Buffalo at Ohio | +4.0 | 46.5 | L 16 - 47 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Buffalo at Akron | +1.0 | 49.0 | W 41 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/12 | Buffalo vs Ball State | -3.5 | 55.5 | W 51 - 48 | O | N | |
| Wed 11/20 | Buffalo at Eastern Michigan | +1.0 | 53.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Tue 11/26 | Buffalo vs Kent State | -23.5 | 50.5 | W 43 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 1/4 | Buffalo vs Liberty | -4.5 | 50.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 54 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Illinois at Notre Dame | +28.5 | 46.5 | W 16 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Northern Illinois vs Buffalo | -13.0 | 42.5 | L 20 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Northern Illinois at NC State | +7.0 | 46.0 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts | -14.0 | 41.0 | W 34 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Northern Illinois at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 46.5 | W 17 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northern Illinois vs Toledo | -3.0 | 42.5 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northern Illinois at Ball State | -13.5 | 47.5 | L 23 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Northern Illinois at Western Michigan | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Northern Illinois vs Akron | -14.0 | 43.5 | W 29 - 16 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) | +1.5 | 43.0 | L 9 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan | -16.5 | 41.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Mon 12/23 | Northern Illinois vs Fresno State | -2.0 | 41.0 | W 28 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 28.8 | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 26.4 | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 |
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 24.5 | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 18.5 | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | #77 (.17) | 40% (104) | 38% (115) | 2.7 (117) | 153 | 42% (70) | 176 | 4.22 (41) | #72 (.17) | 43% (82) | 43% (71) | 43% (97) | 3.84 (74) | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | ||
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 20 | 39.6% | 4.22 | 1 | 17 | 329 | 153 | 176 | 4.2 | 55% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 17% | .17 |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 18.5 | 17.2 | 37.7% | 3.08 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 41% | 35% | 17% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 26.4 | 33.7 | 42.8% | 3.84 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 24.5 | 27.8 | 42.1% | 3.39 | 1.2 | 21 | 383 | 204 | 179 | 4.8 | 59% | 41% | 44% | 40% | 15% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 13 | 26:20 | 17.2 | 34% | 52% | 4 | 39.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 31.2 |
| Northern Illinois | 13 | 33:20 | 21.5 | 42% | 45% | 4.2 | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 55% (36) | 38% (115) | 36.2 | 153.3 | 4.2 | 23 (52) | .08 (96) | 2.7 (117) | 61% (122) | 10% (84) | 1.11 (17) |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 49% (44) | 41% (52) | - | - | - | - | .08 (45) | 3.06 (79) | 74% (73) | 11% (53) | 0.9 (33) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .08 (47) | 3.01 (68) | 63% (16) | 12% (35) | 0.94 (45) |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 59% (11) | 44% (72) | 42.8 | 204.2 | 4.8 | 22 (55) | .14 (66) | 3.25 (33) | 72% (83) | 9% (60) | 1 (54) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Offense | 13 | 45% (99) | 42% (70) | 14.2 | 25.2 | 175.8 | 7 | 12.4 | 19 (65) | 6 (10) | .29 (47) | 1.5 (80) | 33% (97) | 31% (75) | .34 (66) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
| NIU Defense | 13 | 51% (93) | 35% (9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .04 (4) | 1.5 (55) | 36% (15) | 25% (10) | .18 (16) | 7% (37) | 2 (67) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF Defense | 13 | 53% (109) | 43% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .28 (91) | 1.7 (97) | 32% (58) | 29% (40) | .18 (18) | 7% (38) | 2.2 (100) |
| NIU Offense | 13 | 41% (124) | 40% (86) | 16.5 | 28.5 | 179.1 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 16 (87) | 8 (40) | .23 (84) | 1.6 (58) | 31% (68) | 30% (89) | .17 (117) | 5% (39) | 1.9 (116) |
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo's Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Buffalo's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Buffalo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -12.53 Northern Illinois: -0.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Northern Illinois: -3.5
Buffalo: -12.53 Northern Illinois: -0.635
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -4.0 Northern Illinois: -3.5
Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7
Buffalo's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 27
Buffalo 19
Total Points: 46
Northern Illinois 27
Buffalo 19
Total Points: 46
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/21 | Northern Illinois | 20 | Buffalo | 23 | Buffalo | Northern Illinois -13.0 | Buffalo | 42.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/17 | Buffalo | 27 | Northern Illinois | 33 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -2 | Northern Illinois | 59.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Northern Illinois | 30 | Buffalo | 49 | Buffalo | Buffalo -14 | Buffalo | 53.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/30 | Buffalo | 29 | Northern Illinois | 30 | Northern Illinois | Buffalo -3 | Northern Illinois | 51.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Buffalo | 13 | Northern Illinois | 14 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -8 | Buffalo | 50.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Northern Illinois | 44 | Buffalo | 7 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -20 | Northern Illinois | 61.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/11 | Buffalo | 30 | Northern Illinois | 41 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -5 | Northern Illinois | 55.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Northern Illinois | 45 | Buffalo | 3 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Buffalo | 30 | Northern Illinois | 31 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | Northern Illinois | 45 | Buffalo | 14 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2006 | 09/16 | Northern Illinois | 31 | Buffalo | 13 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Buffalo | 9 | Northern Illinois | 40 | Northern Illinois | ||||
| 2000 | 10/27 | Northern Illinois | 73 | Buffalo | 10 | Northern Illinois |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 11 | 4 | 5 Overs |
| Buffalo | 2 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 8 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 5 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 1 |
(#106) Buffalo Info
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -12.53 #106
Offense Rating: 15.34 #104
Defense Rating: 12.34 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Buffalo Notes
(11/27) Killed Kent, Rgame great, Ogbonna good
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat EMU. Alive, barely, for MAC title
(11/13) Def torched, Off & QB Semonza great in Buf L
(10/20) Def torched by WMU. Off great but bad start
(10/18) DL is really undersized but linebackers very good
(10/13) Rgame 230+ yds, Run Def great in upset W (Tol)
(10/11) This may be worst Off in CFB. #133 Success
(10/4) OG'd 537-198 (UConn), Rgame awful/QBs worse
(9/23) Beat N Ill despite outgained 2-1. Off awful
(9/13) QB Ogbonna has not shown he can throw at all
Buffalo Highlights
Buffalo has a great TO Margin (#82)
Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#16)
Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo offense is really bad (#91)
Buffalo run game is really bad (#62)
Buffalo offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NIU | BUFF |
| OverallOver | #37 | #56 |
| OffenseOff | #65 | #77 |
| DefenseDef | #18 | #31 |
| Special TeamsST | #34 | #90 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #85 |
| RushingRush | #65 | #84 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #18 | #52 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #53 | #85 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #102 | #60 |
| TacklingTkl | #3 | #16 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #17 | #44 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #64 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #22 | #21 |
Rematch from Week 4
Northern Illinois -13.0 (42.5)
Buffalo won at Northern Illinois this year (23-20)
Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Northern Illinois last year (23-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | NIU
Depth Chart: BUFF | NIU
Rosters: BUFF | NIU
(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has won 2 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has won 2 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ogbonna | 190 | 336 | 57% | 2381 | 19 | 5 | 7.1 |
| Gunnar Gray | 4 | 11 | 36% | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Jay Henderson | 204 | 1078 | 9 | 5.3 | 68 |
| CJ Ogbonna | 122 | 346 | 8 | 2.8 | 26 |
| Jacqez Barksdale | 82 | 306 | 2 | 3.7 | 19 |
| Messiah Burch | 29 | 153 | 2 | 5.3 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Snow | 55 | 651 | 6 | 11.8 | 46 |
| JJ Jenkins (Tr) | 36 | 536 | 4 | 14.9 | 90 |
| Al-Jay Henderson | 19 | 238 | 1 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Taji Johnson (Tr) | 19 | 215 | 2 | 11.3 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Khalil Murdock | 156 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Stewart (Tr) | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Dion Crawford | 58 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Antonio Colclough (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Cooper | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Solomon Brown | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Shaun Dolac (Tr) | 168 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hampton | 143 | 245 | 58% | 1608 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Josh Holst | 65 | 111 | 59% | 593 | 2 | 2 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 139 | 749 | 4 | 5.4 | 71 |
| Antario Brown | 115 | 567 | 4 | 4.9 | 49 |
| Telly Johnson Jr. | 103 | 480 | 4 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Josh Holst | 49 | 230 | 1 | 4.7 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Rudolph | 37 | 403 | 1 | 10.9 | 48 |
| Cam Thompson | 27 | 388 | 3 | 14.4 | 54 |
| Grayson Barnes | 31 | 338 | 4 | 10.9 | 60 |
| Andrew McElroy (Tr) | 26 | 264 | 0 | 10.2 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Fuhrman (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Dolphin | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte O'Malley | 38 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Roy Williams | 38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nevaeh Sanders | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Skyler Gill-Howard | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Jacob Finley | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |