Buffalo at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -10.5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana 45 - Buffalo: 38

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (19 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - ULL: 35 (57)
ULL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
BUFF Travel: 1147 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 29 (36 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#130 (.03)	37% (116)	20.9	43% (67)	2.93 (102)	134	32% (129)	185	3.54 (95)	#41 (.14)	39% (33)	27.4	37% (25)	42% (68)	3.55 (48)	41.6	1.6	1.6
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	32.2	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	28.6	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	20.9	19.2	37.4%	3.54	1.6	17	319	134	185	3.7	51%	48%	43%	32%	16%	.03
ULL Defense	13	28.6	26	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	27.4	25.5	38.7%	3.55	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	37%	42%	18%	.14
ULL Offense	13	32.2	36.2	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	30:32	17.2	34%	37%	4.8	41.6	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.4	2	29.4
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	51% (61)	43% (67)	36.3	133.6	3.7	15 (100)	.09 (102)	2.93 (102)	65% (119)	9% (40)	0.92 (103)
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	56% (119)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	.15 (76)	2.82 (24)	65% (25)	12% (19)	1.25 (131)
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	48% (77)	32% (129)	17.7	32.8	185.3	5.6	10.5	14 (106)	11 (68)	.04 (130)	1.5 (99)	32% (68)	26% (108)	.16 (116)	8% (119)	1.9 (109)
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	43% (13)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.2 (29)	1.4 (18)	35% (32)	28% (39)	.23 (30)	5% (95)	2 (54)
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23 Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1 Louisiana: 0.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 35
Buffalo 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 38
Buffalo 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 30
Buffalo 24

Total Points: 54

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Louisiana	45	Buffalo	38	Louisiana -10.5	Buffalo	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	1	0	1 Overs
Buffalo	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#120) BUFF at (#86) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	ULL
Power RatePwr	#120	#86
SP+SP+	#117	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#114	#42
OffenseOff	#130	#29
DefenseDef	#52	#82
Spec TeamsST	#22	#41
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Buffalo Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#130	#82
SuccessSuc	#116	#110
ExplosiveExp	#121	#9
PPAPPA	#130	#71
PowerPwr	#125	#107
SP+SP+	#125	#102
Pts POPPO	#95	#117
HavocHav	#79	#84

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#90	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#112
Run ExplRExp	#103	#15
PPAExp	#102	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#126
TackleTak	-	#85

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#63
PPAExp	#130	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#89	#48
F7 HavocF7	#40	#86
DB HavocDB	#119	#74

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	BUFF Def
Perf GradePerf	#29	#52
SuccessSuc	#35	#33
ExplosiveExp	#92	#99
PPAPPA	#48	#41
PowerPwr	#41	#50
SP+SP+	#37	#87
Pts POPPO	#42	#48
HavocHav	#82	#39

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	#55	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#25
Run ExplRExp	#45	#131
PPAExp	#61	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#32
TackleTak	-	#121

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#18
PPAExp	#49	#29
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#26	#84
F7 HavocF7	#99	#19
DB HavocDB	#30	#95

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 86° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.016

Rematch from Week 4
Louisiana -10.5 (57.5)
Louisiana won vs Buffalo this year (45-38)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Buffalo in 2023 (45-38)

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder	203	372	55%	2109	13	9	5.7
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	8	21	38%	87	1	2	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ron Cook Jr.	148	609	6	4.1	36
Michael Washington	90	362	2	4.0	49
Jacqez Barksdale	52	248	2	4.8	39
CJ Ogbonna (Tr)	51	214	3	4.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marlyn Johnson	40	495	4	12.4	80
Darrell Harding Jr.	23	451	3	19.6	52
Boobie Curry	29	303	1	10.4	48
Cole Harrity	35	294	3	8.4	29

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Robert Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Andreessen (Tr)	82	11	1	2	2
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Marcus Fuqua	51	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
George Wolo	23	6	4	3	1
Khalil Murdock	55	8	2	2	0
Jaylon Bass	12	2	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Oliver	17	1	0	0	5
Max Michel	45	10	4	1	4
Devin Grant	78	2	0	0	3

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	102	153	67%	1222	11	5	8.0
Chandler Fields	96	143	67%	1069	7	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Kibodi	129	729	7	5.7	69
Dre'Lyn Washington	92	515	2	5.6	62
Zeon Chriss	73	492	6	6.7	80
Zylan Perry	54	213	2	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bernard	39	476	1	12.2	43
Peter Leblanc	30	468	4	15.6	87
Robert Williams	31	385	4	12.4	60
Neal Johnson	30	383	5	12.8	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	95	5	1	3	0
Jasper Williams	78	5	2	0	0
Tyrone Lewis	74	1	1	0	3
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	44	9	8	3	0
Jordan Lawson	43	9	7	4	0
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3
Tyler Guidry	26	8	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keyon Martin	53	1	7
Caleb Anderson	23	1	5
Shadwell Nkuba II	13	0	5