Buffalo at Massachusetts - 2022 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 15th 2022 (1:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -17 (47.5)
Buffalo 34 - Massachusetts: 7

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Maurice Linguist (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS 2nd straight Home Game
UMASS is playing their 7th straight game
BUFF is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ BUFF -21)
Projected Score: BUFF: 30 - UMASS: 17 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BUFF Travel: 320 miles
Minutemen (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Buffalo at Maryland+24.066.0L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/10 Buffalo vs Holy Cross-6.051.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Coastal Carolina+12.060.0L 26 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan+6.557.5W 50 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-3.050.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Buffalo at Bowling Green-2.055.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/15 Buffalo at Massachusetts-17.047.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/22 Buffalo vs Toledo+7.056.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Buffalo at Ohio-2.561.0L 24 - 45ON
Wed 11/9 Buffalo at Central Michigan+3.054.0L 27 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Buffalo vs Akron-14.043.5
Sat 11/26 Buffalo vs Kent State-4.551.0L 27 - 30ON
Fri 12/2 Buffalo vs Akron-12.055.0W 23 - 22UN
Tue 12/27 Buffalo vs Georgia Southern+6.067.0W 23 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Massachusetts at Tulane+28.559.0L 10 - 42UN
Sat 9/10 Massachusetts at Toledo+28.049.0L 10 - 55ON
Sat 9/17 Massachusetts vs Stony Brook-1.044.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 9/24 Massachusetts at Temple+10.044.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 10/1 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+20.053.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 Massachusetts vs Liberty+22.545.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 10/15 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+17.047.5L 7 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Massachusetts vs New Mexico State+1.039.0L 13 - 23UN
Fri 11/4 Massachusetts at UConn+15.039.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Massachusetts at Arkansas State+17.049.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Massachusetts at Texas A&M+32.046.0L 3 - 20UY
Sat 11/26 Massachusetts vs Army+20.045.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1843%2445%3.1619642%2153.82.3144%23.545%43%3.67521.61.3
UMASS.0938%11.143%3.0314732%1533.34.4249%38.650%48%5.0659.51.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.2%3.821.6244101962154.456%43%45%42%14%.18
UMASS Defense1238.634.748.7%5.060.8 - - - - - 59%41%50%48%13%.42
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%19%.31
UMASS Offense1211.112.837.5%3.341.7163001471534.253%46%43%32%21%.09

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:3523.847%58%5.4521.61.37.33.1026
Massachusetts1229:4516.333%44%6.359.51.70.83.80.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1256%45%44.9195.54.430.163.1683%9%0.91
UMASS Defense1259%50% - - - - .313.2177%8%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1256%45% - - - - .323.1772%14%1.37
UMASS Offense1253%43%34.71474.214.183.0365%14%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1243%42%18.230.6214.9711.81211.261.528%31%.35%1.9
UMASS Defense1241%48% - - - - - - 2.581.829%37%.75%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 3.371.832%39%.595%2.1
UMASS Offense1246%32%13.627.6152.75.511.21111.041.634%28%.317%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2  #98
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #79
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Massachusetts: -12.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -9.2   Massachusetts: -30.3




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -12.65 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2022 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.3  #133
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.5  #132
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #110

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Massachusetts 17

Projected Total Points: 47
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Massachusetts21Buffalo28Buffalo -16.5Massachusetts47.5Over
202409/14Buffalo34Massachusetts3Buffalo -3.5Buffalo45.5Under
202210/15Massachusetts7Buffalo34Buffalo -17Buffalo47.5Under
201511/27Buffalo26Massachusetts31Buffalo -6Massachusetts55.0Over
201411/28Massachusetts21Buffalo41Buffalo -1Buffalo0
201310/19Buffalo32Massachusetts3Buffalo -20.5Buffalo0
201211/17Massachusetts19Buffalo29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts122 Overs
Buffalo642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 53 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams5 - 23 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#) BUFF at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #133
Perf GradeGrade #99 #135
OffenseOff #107 #135
DefenseDef #60 #116
Spec TeamsST #115 #134
TalentTal #117 #124
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107 #116
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #119 #104
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #109
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #102 #106
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #83
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #132 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBUFF Def
Run GameRun #129 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #96
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePass #135 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #60
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Buffalo 17.0 (47.5)
Buffalo won at Massachusetts this year (34-7)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Massachusetts last year (28-21)
Buffalo beat Massachusetts in 2024 (34-3)

  
BUFF's OC Shane Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UMASS's OC Steve Casula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD